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DeLay's Indictment: The Perfect Storm?

This is music to our ears. Dan Balz of The Washington Post writes that the indictment of Tom DeLay, coupled with Bill Frist's problems, RoveGate and Bush's declining ratings due to Katrina, Iraq, gas prices may signal serious setbacks to the Republican Party in the next election cycle, and that Republican leaders in Congress recognize it.

Republican strategists were nearly unanimous in their private assessments yesterday that the party must brace for setbacks next year. On almost every front, Republicans see trouble. Bush is at the low point of his presidency, with Iraq, hurricane relief, rising gasoline prices and another Supreme Court vacancy all problems to be solved. Congressional Republicans have seen their approval ratings slide throughout the spring and summer; a Washington Post-ABC News poll in August found that just 37 percent of Americans approve of the way Congress is doing its job, the lowest rating in eight years.

On the ethics front, Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-Tenn.) is under investigation for selling stock in his family's medical business just before the price fell sharply. The probe of well-connected lobbyist Jack Abramoff, a former close associate of DeLay, threatens to create even more troubles for Republicans. Finally, the special counsel investigation into whether White House senior adviser Karl Rove or others in the administration broke the law by leaking the name of the CIA's Valerie Plame is nearing a conclusion.

Bush's popularity within his own party has been sinking along with his poll ratings:

At an earlier point, Bush could have provided political cover for scandals that touched one or another Republican elected official. But with his approval ratings in the low 40s, there is little to prop up the party's image when congressional leaders are under investigation. Already there have been signs that Bush's influence with members of his own party was beginning to wane as House Republicans look to 2006. Without DeLay in power, the prospects of further splintering increase, adding to perceptions of a party in growing disarray.

Let's just hope the Democrats figure out how to capitalize on the Republicans' problems. Splintering them isn't enough. Democrats need to win over voters.

For Democrats, there were many cautionary notes yesterday, despite their obvious glee over DeLay's indictment. On a practical level, the House is now so gerrymandered by redistricting that far fewer districts are genuinely competitive, making the Democrats' task of scoring big gains there more difficult. Nor is there much evidence yet that the voters see Democrats as an attractive alternative, no matter how sour they may be about the Republicans.

Update (by LNILR): See the NY Times: For G.O.P., DeLay Indictment Adds to a Sea of Troubles. Lost at sea, we hope.

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    Re: DeLay's Indictment: The Perfect Storm? (none / 0) (#1)
    by Ernesto Del Mundo on Sat Dec 17, 2005 at 01:04:29 PM EST
    Gas prices are the big thing. The SUV-commuting suburbanites are getting killed along with the small businesses by them. And wait til the winter heating oil/natural gas bills start arriving. The God/Guns/Gays strategy will really be tested next year. We'll see if prejudices are stronger than bread and butter issues once again.

    Re: DeLay's Indictment: The Perfect Storm? (none / 0) (#2)
    by Talkleft Visitor on Sat Dec 17, 2005 at 01:04:29 PM EST
    The Democratic party is missing one thing - an actual message. Right now, it seems to think that gainsaying is an argument. hasn't worked out so well over the last 4 years though. Now, I saw J.D. Hayworth on TV a bit ago, and he was plugging a new immigration enforcement effort. The Dems wilol demagogue that as racist, not paying any attention at all as to how angry people are about illegal (as opposed to legal, which is not a hot button issue) immigration. Watch the Democrats allow a winning issue to slide away from them, due to the sheer stupidity of their base.

    Re: DeLay's Indictment: The Perfect Storm? (none / 0) (#3)
    by Talkleft Visitor on Sat Dec 17, 2005 at 01:04:29 PM EST
    James cannot wait to repeat the GOPer talking points and I heard David Gregory of NothingButCrap news say the same thing. Gregory and others who repeat that crap must be illiterate because there is plenty of information available the problem is the obstructionist Republican government keeps good ideas down. There are plenty of examples of alternative policies to crapola of Bushco --including but not limited to being competent in managing their own iniatives --where is the 8 billion Bush lost in Iraq not too mention the over payments to the various Chneybutonn toughs. Democrats offered an alternative to what is going on in Iraq and on every ther major issue Pretending that didn't happen only works because the media kisses Bush's ass on a regular bais.

    Re: DeLay's Indictment: The Perfect Storm? (none / 0) (#4)
    by Talkleft Visitor on Sat Dec 17, 2005 at 01:04:29 PM EST
    I'm offering "Talking Points"? You must be kidding. The Democratic message on Iraq is muddled, because the party is split on the issue. I can't identify a specific Democratic policy initiative on anything else. Seriously.

    Re: DeLay's Indictment: The Perfect Storm? (none / 0) (#5)
    by scarshapedstar on Sat Dec 17, 2005 at 01:04:30 PM EST
    Um, JR, what on earth does that have to do with the Delay indictment? Can we put this guy on the troll list, please?

    Re: DeLay's Indictment: The Perfect Storm? (none / 0) (#6)
    by scarshapedstar on Sat Dec 17, 2005 at 01:04:30 PM EST
    Now that you mention it, though: can you name me a specific Republican policy initiative? I guess the ground rules are: "freedom" doesn't count. Nor does any other Orwellian retard-speak like "clean air" or "healthy forests" or "no child left behind". Aside from tax cuts for the rich and pork out the wazoo... I'm stumped. Oh, wait: Mars!

    Re: DeLay's Indictment: The Perfect Storm? (none / 0) (#7)
    by Talkleft Visitor on Sat Dec 17, 2005 at 01:04:31 PM EST
    JR - the topic is DeLay's Indictment and the trouble it may spell for Republicans. Please stay on topic.

    Re: DeLay's Indictment: The Perfect Storm? (none / 0) (#8)
    by Talkleft Visitor on Sat Dec 17, 2005 at 01:04:31 PM EST
    One Republican strategist noted that if one party is perceived as corrupt, the other party doesn't have to do or say anything to take advantage of the situation in order to profit politically from the situation. That's why JR is getting off topic, because admitting this fact doesn't leave much wiggle room for party 'loyalists' to say or do anything to ameliorate the problem at hand. TTFN, JR the wiffy.