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Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is High

Good news from the Pew Research Center -- the public is strongly favoring Democrats in the November elections and a mood of anti-incumbancy and anti-Bush rules the day.

As the congressional midterm campaign begins in earnest, the mood of the electorate is sharply drawn. Voters are disappointed with Congress and disapproving of President Bush. Anti-incumbent sentiment, while a bit lower than a few months ago, is far more extensive than in the previous two midterms and remains close to 1994 levels. Moreover, there are indications that voters are viewing the election through the prism of national issues and concerns. Many more voters see their vote as being against the president than at a comparable point in 1994, and a solid majority says party control of Congress will be a factor in their voting decision.

FigureVoters are expressing strong and consistent anti-Republican attitudes. The GOP lags well behind the Democratic Party on nearly all major issues, including the economy, Iraq, education, health care, the environment and the budget deficit. And the Republicans have lost ground in recent years even on such traditional strengths as terrorism and improving the nation's morality.

Here's the chart:

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    Brad Friedman has the Princeton findings on Diebold. Check out the video.

    Average IQ of bush voters vs. Kerry voters in 2004 We should have a swarm of so called right wing 'trolls' in here any moment now shilling for the democrats by giving us blindingly bright examples of how ignorant and dumb bushco supporters can be again, while actually believing they are helping the rethugs again, and doing their best to make sure no one else would want to be associated with them or vote for rethuglickers this fall... Desperation Politics
    So what's ahead for the rest of us? A midterm election, it seems, in which each party will operate in a parallel universe: That is, the Democrats will try to nationalize the election as a referendum on the president; the Republicans will instead try to localize each race. "If it's a referendum on the president, we lose," one top House Republican tells me. "We have to make sure we run good local races, and then we'll survive. Which is all we can ask for."
    ---edger

    Edgar, In two minutes I found that the source you quoted is a hoax, per Snopes

    bocajeff, I can only note that you offer no corroboration for your statement. I also note that spelling is not one of your strong points. Have a nice day. --edger

    Although this is great news, I've often wondered if the people being polled understand what the Senate is, because I'm always seen their disapproval ratings with Congress represented, but never any dissatisfaction with the Senate, which in my opinion, is even worse than Congress right now (and that's saying something). I wonder if the people being polled are expressing their dissatisfaction with both the House and the Senate when they give their low approval ratings of "Congress"? I hardly ever see any mention of the Senate in these polls, which is why I've pondered this.

    bocajeff, I'm not sure why, but you seem to be trying a hard as you can to prove my original point. It's working, too. Good job. ---edger

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#12)
    by eric on Fri Sep 15, 2006 at 12:57:46 PM EST
    That chart with the IQ's might be a hoax, but it sure isn't far from the truth.

    BocaBuddy, Snope is one site that claims what they claim, but, like you, offers no corroboration for their claims. FYI, here are 844,000 web pages about times snopes is wrong. I hope you're familiar with the term ratio? 1:844,000 Or perhaps the term corroboration? ---edger

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#14)
    by jimakaPPJ on Fri Sep 15, 2006 at 02:15:22 PM EST
    Gun Toting Liberal - The term "Congress refers to the Senate and the House of Representatives. edger - Who cares? Bush won. So maybe being smart doesn't carry much weight???

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#15)
    by jimakaPPJ on Fri Sep 15, 2006 at 02:25:38 PM EST
    edger - I hit the go button too quick.. Bush's approval rating per Rasmussen is 47%. You guys still want to play the "beat Bush game?"

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#16)
    by roy on Fri Sep 15, 2006 at 02:32:21 PM EST
    When did the level of discourse here drop to FARK standards? Ah well, I can play along. Democrats are wrong 20 million times. Republicans 18 million. Libertarians? A mere 7 million! Badnarick in '08!

    Or not. It's not in the bag yet. Senate will be 50/50 or at the very best 51/49 (with Lieberman being on the "Democratic" side). May even stay Republican... On the House side Dems should regain control but only by a slim margin. With lower fuel costs and republican advantages in money it should be very close.

    And I have all the faith in the world that the DNC will manage to f this up and blow it. When I hear an ounce of imagination from the Dems, then I'll believe any major electoral gains will be had. As of now, I've seen and heard nothing from them.

    I hit the go button too quick.. In other words, you're here to prove my original point too. Well, I suppose BocaBuddy needs all the help he can get. Rasmussen? Well! Yes, of course. They are one of, if not the most partisan pro-bush pollsters around. They need the gop contracts just to stay afloat. Here's a few more bush (non)approval polls from PollingReport{dot}com. For comparison purposes, you understand? Bye ;-) ---edger

    Nice argument Edger... I tried to put the link in but somehow it didn't make it on the site. Anyone can go right to Snopes. My interest is not to prove you wrong, but rather to find out the truth. Your interest is to find fault in my spelling rather than find out the truth. I'll try once again for the site.

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#5)
    by David on Fri Sep 15, 2006 at 05:33:02 PM EST
    I think you mean IncumbEncy, right?

    "The Senate Intelligence Committee -- that almost sounds like an oxymoron -- released a report this week saying there's no evidence that Saddam Hussein had a relationship with al Qaeda. Thank God we found that out before we did something crazy." --Jay Leno

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#18)
    by pigwiggle on Fri Sep 15, 2006 at 05:33:02 PM EST
    I predict the Democrats pick up six house seats, if they pick up more than 8 I further predict a Democratic landslide in the Presidential elections. edger- Oh, the sweet, sweet irony. You poor fool.

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#19)
    by cpinva on Fri Sep 15, 2006 at 05:33:02 PM EST
    edger - Who cares? Bush won. So maybe being smart doesn't carry much weight???
    that being the case, and i'm not saying it is or isn't, bush should be president-for-life. roy, care to enlighten us as to what the heck FARK stands for? i didn't get my weekly acronym update this week.

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#2)
    by cpinva on Fri Sep 15, 2006 at 06:16:00 PM EST
    this is hard "overwhelming". whelming maybe. come talk to me in a month, when 60 or 70% want to toss the bums out, then you might have something. if this is what the dems are relying on, they are deluding themselves. in standard military strategy, an attacking (challenger) force requires a minimum 2:1 ratio against a defending (incumbent) force, to be considered potentially successful. i don't see that here. the republicans have an ally in the MSM, who continually allow them a free ride, regardless of what they say and/or do. this would include the "journalists" of both the WP and NYT's. until such time as this situation is reversed, or the electorate gets smarter (i don't hear the sound of ice cracking in hell yet), the republicans, and their allies in both the corp. and religious arenas, can pretty much do what they will, and get re-elected. it's really just that simple.

    JimakaPPJ: Obviously, the House and the Senate make up Congress, but from what you are saying, this is specifically what the pollsters are asking the poll-ees when they call them and ask them for their approval of "Congress". I've always wondered about that... thanks for clarifying.

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#23)
    by jimakaPPJ on Fri Sep 15, 2006 at 07:01:24 PM EST
    Gun - You're welcome. edger - Okay, you only believe those you want to believe. No problem. anon - Yes, no doubt about it. Jay Leno is the place for info. et al - And what were tou guys saying about Kerry voters being smart?? It must be the weekend, Dark Avenger has joined us.

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#25)
    by jimakaPPJ on Sat Sep 16, 2006 at 07:14:25 AM EST
    Being unable to refute the fact that Bush's approval as increased, Dark Avenger decides to claim that it has not.

    bush approval has increased... sort of. Turn this page upside down to see how. ---edger

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#28)
    by Sailor on Sat Sep 16, 2006 at 09:14:57 AM EST
    No wonder ppj didn't link to the poll:
    Forty-four percent (44%) of American adults approve of the way that President Bush is performing his job. Fifty-four percent (54%) disapprove. This is the fifth consecutive day that the President's Job Approval has been at 44% or above. That's a modest improvement from the baseline of the past six months. In January and much of February, the President's Job Approval ratings were in the mid-40s. Then, they fell sharply and have hovered around 40% ever since.
    the MOE is 3.5 points.
    Bush's job approval rating held steady at 39%, in the poll conducted Sept. 7-10. His approval rating has averaged 39% over the last six Gallup polls, since early July.
    After weeks and weeks of screaming bedwetters, arresting brown people with cell phones and lying about the threat that iraq poses, bush has bounced like a watermelon on concrete.

    Bush won. So maybe being smart doesn't carry much weight???
    Bush didn't win. He's been a loser his entire life. The only reasons he's lived this long or is not in jail or staggering thru an alley somewhere with a bottle of cheap wine to keep him warm is because someone else carries the weight, and others footed the bill to install him on the throne... then they forgot to flush. He's an amoral dysfuntional retard on his own. Want a shot at real national security? Maybe duct tape will help. Till later... ---edger

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#29)
    by Sailor on Sat Sep 16, 2006 at 09:19:14 AM EST
    Being unable to refute the fact that Bush's approval as increased, Dark Avenger decides to claim that it has not.
    Being unable to prove that bush's approval rating has increased ppj decides it has.

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#30)
    by jimakaPPJ on Sat Sep 16, 2006 at 03:22:28 PM EST
    Sailor - Rasmussen said what Rasmussen said. Leave it, like it or lump it. edger - Yes, poor loser Bush. Fighter pilot, business executive, twice governor and twice President. Now, what's on your Resume?? Hmmmmmmm?

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#32)
    by Sailor on Sat Sep 16, 2006 at 04:34:13 PM EST
    Rasmussen said what Rasmussen said. Leave it, like it or lump it.
    ppj ignores the fact I linked to the rasmussen poll, something he was unable or unwilling to do. Why does ppj lie about what the Rasmussen poll actually says?

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#33)
    by jimakaPPJ on Sat Sep 16, 2006 at 04:48:41 PM EST
    Sailor - Yesterday the Poll was 47, to day it was 45... And either number is an improvement. Why do you have a problem with reality?

    Yesterday the Poll was 47, to day it was 45 Yesterday it was 45, today it was 44, PPJ, which you would know if you clicked the link today, as Sailor and I did. So the last three days have been, 47, 45, 44. Can you say 'downward trend'? You are either confused or being deceitful, either of which is enough to disqualify you to be taken seriously by any rational observer here.

    And I have all the faith in the world that the DNC will manage to f this up and blow it. When I hear an ounce of imagination from the Dems, then I'll believe any major electoral gains will be had. As of now, I've seen and heard nothing from them.
    I agree with this. Or if not the DNC, another branch of the party. Whenever you think this party might get it together, it self-implodes, then blames its more liberal elements for its losses.

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#35)
    by soccerdad on Sat Sep 16, 2006 at 09:26:39 PM EST
    Here's the only statistic you need to know how the election is going to turn out: 80% of the votes will be tallied using electronic machines. Its a slam dunk for Repubs, and the Dems as usual will do nothing

    Re: Pew Poll: Anti-Incumbant, Pro-Democrat Mood is (none / 0) (#37)
    by Sailor on Sun Sep 17, 2006 at 06:55:01 PM EST
    Since ppj relies so heavily on Rasmussen, here's the latest:
    The latest Bush bounce is over. Today, 41% of American adults approve of the way that President Bush is performing his job and 57% disapprove. That's exactly where the numbers were before the President's 9/11 speech. Overall, 21% of Americans Strongly Approve and 42% Strongly Disapprove.


    The latest Bush bounce is over. Yeah well, he never was very good at bouncing. Or at much else for that matter. Face it. He doesn't really ever bounce. He just kind of goes splat and spreads in a stinking slimy mess over everything. Bush Discredits Everything - Including the Bushes:
    Help us, Lord! Is there anything George W. Bush has not yet discredited? Perhaps, in a perverse sort of way, he has succeeded in not discrediting his father. Indeed, the longer Bush '43 carries on his fanatical war, redoubling his efforts when he has forgotten his aim, and "grows" the national debt, the more credible Bush '41 looks by comparison. But the same kind of comparison makes Carter '39 look like a tower of competence and Dukakis "00" appears a prophet before his time. Do you remember what Michael Dukakis said when he stood before the delegates and the nation to accept the Democratic Party's nomination for president in 1988? He said the election would not be about ideology, but about competence. He then proceeded to get buried by the most ideologically driven campaign in memory.... So today we have George the son (Spare us, O Lord, George the Holy Ghost) with deficits far exceeding those of his father.... We are the aggressors in the war we are in with no idea of how or when we're going to get out. That leaves us to wonder what claim the Republicans have left to any competence at all. It would be bad enough if this Republican president had merely devalued, as Nixon did, the currency. But he has a more all-encompassing reverse Midas touch. He devalues and discredits everything he touches. He has even devalued "values" as an issue for Republicans.
    The guy is poison. He's infectious and virulent and radioactive and I hope he has a really short half life. He's malignant. He causes cancer of the attitude. And he needs to be eradicated. Sprayed and dug out like a life sucking weed in pee pee jammie's garden and burned and consigned to spent the rest of his existence as a pile of ashes in a compost heap. At least he'd be good for something there. After all, it's been observed more than once that "roses grow best in sh*t". But bounce? Hah! ---edger [ that was fun. ;-) ]

    Bush and Republicans will embarrass the hell out of todays democraps. Democraps think they have already won: I ganurantee the "do nothing Congress" is going to embarrass the hell of democraps this november. Get ready to jump off tall buildings dumb democraps, Republicans are going to embarrass demo party so bad, democraps are going to move to France.