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Big Crime Drop in New York With Fewer Incarcerations

Is New York City now the safest city in the country?

It is one of the least-told stories in American crime-fighting. New York, the safest big city in the nation, achieved its now-legendary 70-percent drop in homicides even as it locked up fewer and fewer of its citizens during the past decade. The number of prisoners in the city has dropped from 21,449 in 1993 to 14,129 this past week. That runs counter to the national trend, in which prison admissions have jumped 72 percent during that time.

The national trend of lock em' up continues to be disturbing.

Nearly 2.2 million Americans now live behind bars, about eight times as many as in 1975 and the most per capita in the Western world. For three decades, Congress and dozens of legislatures have worked to write tougher anti-crime measures. Often the only controversy has centered on how to finance the construction of prison cells.

In New York, officials are shutting down prison cells. Elsewhere, it's a different story.

Perhaps as intriguing is the experience in states where officials spent billions of dollars to build prisons. From 1992 to 2002, Idaho's prison population grew by 174 percent. the largest percentage increase in the nation. Yet violent crime in that state rose by 14 percent. In West Virginia, the prison population increased by 171 percent, and violent crime rose 10 percent. In Texas, the prison population jumped by 168 percent, and crime dropped by 11 percent.

Other states are now beginning to re-think their overreliance on prisons:

In the past few years, legislators in such conservative states as Louisiana and Mississippi have passed sentencing reforms. Kansas and Nebraska are reconsidering prison expansion in favor of far less expensive drug treatment. The United States annually spends about $60 billion on prisons.

If you don't care because you don't know anyone in prison, you should. This affects you too.

"Crime is down and people realize, sure, we can lock up more people, but that's why your kid's pre-K class has 35 kids -- all the money is going to prisons," Jacobson says. "There's a sense of urgency that for the first time in two decades, we can talk about whether it makes sense to lock up even more people."

The pro- lock 'em up crowd thinks more people in prison reduces crime since fewer criminal are out there able to commit offenses. But, others point out:

The nation's prison population rose between 1985 and 1993 -- even as crime spiked sharply. New York was not the only city in which crime and imprisonment fell in tandem during the 1990s. From 1993 to 2001, homicides in San Diego declined by 62 percent while prison sentences dropped by 25 percent.

Casting an eye north of the border, Canada experienced a sharp drop in crime as its prison population fell.

Who's in jail these days?

Approximately 60 percent of U.S. convicts serve time for charges related to drug peddling and addiction. In California, 65,000 parolees fail drug tests each year and are recycled back to prison each year. They serve, on average, an additional four months, at a cost of $1 billion.

Then there's the social cost of incarceration:

Such heavy reliance on prison, epidemiologists note, carries a considerable social price tag. Hundreds of thousands of released felons cannot vote, cannot obtain driver's licenses and have trouble finding jobs -- a toll that falls disproportionately on blacks, Latinos and poor whites.

Don't give credit for lowering the jail population to Rudy Giuliani either:

No public official set out to drive down New York's prison and jail population in the early 1990s. Quite the opposite; crack-fueled homicides had topped 2,000, the middle class was fleeing and Giuliani was elected on a crime-fighting platform.

"If I told Rudy we needed to lock up 40,000, 50,000 people, he would have said fine," Jacobson said. "Rudy can say now that he's a genius, but the drop in prison population was entirely unintentional."

As for why crime may be lower in New York, consider this:

City and state prisons in New York also turned aggressively to drug treatment and mental health counseling. They did so as a matter of enlightened self-interest. The city prison system is the second-largest mental health provider in the nation; only the Los Angeles County system surpasses it.

Rehabilitation. Try it, it works.

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  • Display: Sort:
    Here's a book everyone should read: (none / 0) (#1)
    by Pneumatikon on Fri Nov 24, 2006 at 10:14:02 PM EST
    Social Intelligence by Daniel Goleman. Nobody should be allowed into any position of authority unless they'd read it and been thoroughly tested on it.

    Here's a hint: love really is the strongest power in the universe.

    i submit demographics (none / 0) (#2)
    by cpinva on Sat Nov 25, 2006 at 12:25:40 AM EST
    have something to do with it as well. the "crime prone" age group is, well.........aging. as people, especially males, get older, their propensity to commit crimes decreases. go to an area with a relatively young population, and they will have a higher than average level of crime.

    this doesn't account for the entire drop, but people do tend to "age out" of most petty crime.

    don't be surprised if there isn't a "post crime wave" dividend. prisons employ lots of people, they are industries all on their own. the areas they're located in aren't going to give them up easily.

    Economy (none / 0) (#3)
    by jimakaPPJ on Sat Nov 25, 2006 at 08:19:38 AM EST
    Gee, I thought it was the economy. But since that is good, I guess it can't be that.

    Jails and prisons are different. (none / 0) (#4)
    by JSN on Sat Nov 25, 2006 at 09:18:24 AM EST
    Most persons in jail for more than a week are held for pretrial on a new charge or some type of noncompliance (parole/probation violaton, failure to appear and other infractions). Persons in prison have been sentenced (for a year or longer) for a felony and in some cases an enhanced misdemeanor.

    The article uses the terms jail and prison as if there was no difference. The first paragraph appears to be about the New York City Jail which is larger than many state prison systems.

    It would have been helpful if they had explained why the jail population was decreasing. In San Diego they reduced their jail population by using strategies to reduce the number of failures to appear and by community supervision of return misdemeanants.

    crime drops in new york (none / 0) (#5)
    by vlu77 on Sat Nov 25, 2006 at 03:42:37 PM EST
    that washington post article was probably one of the best things i've read in a newspaper in a very long time. it's uplifting to see that it's not just those of us who have loved ones in prison who are starting to question it's effectiveness.

    Sceptical (none / 0) (#6)
    by squeaky on Sat Nov 25, 2006 at 04:22:40 PM EST
    So why doesn't LA have lower crime since they have an even bigger mental health and drug counseling program than NYC? I do not see a change in police attitude, and can't imagine that the wardens have seen the light.

    Bloomberg, although,  is a streamliner , so maybe he figured something out to lower the prisoner numbers. Fighting a parking ticket takes only 15 minutes these days, as opposed to the old days when it would take hours of waiting around. Also the chances of beating a ticket have improved. Before you even see a judge someone looks at the ticket and if there are any mistakes they are automatically dismissed. Yes, prison is much more serious stuff, but maybe Bloomberg has done something, and I hope it is not by sleight of hand, or accounting tricks.

    I agree with what cpinva said, demographics is the biggest factor affecting crime trends. Most officials want to take credit for lower crime as the big opportunist Guilliani did. Even though crime dropped all over the country during his tenure he falsly claimed himself a hero.

    Don't get me wrong, I am all for reallocating the money spent on lock-up to social programs, as they are proven to be cheaper and more effective. I am just skeptical about that being why crime is down so much, and that treatment has become a priority in NYC.

    I sure hope that the prison population decline is not due to the same technique Guilliani used to solve NYC homelessness. He just shipped them out of town and dumped them somewhere else, and of course claimed credit for solving NYC's homeless problem.