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March Madness 8 - Who Can Win It All?

History tells us that no one below an 8 seed can do it. Applied history tells us that the likelihood of anyone below a 3 seed winning it all is rather slim.

Here is the history since the 64 team tournament began 22 years ago. Before that, UCLA always won. Just kidding.

The 64-team field began in 1984. The lowest seeds to win since the 64 team field was implemented were:

1985: Villanova - #8
1988: Kansas - #6
1997: Arizona - #4
1989: Michigan - #3
2003: Syracuse - #3
2006: Florida - #3
4 champions seeded #2
13 champions seeded #1

In the 23 years of a 64 team tourney - 17 winners were 1 or 2 seeds. 20 of 23 were 1, 2 or 3 seeds.

You do the math.

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    if i recall correctly (5.00 / 2) (#1)
    by cpinva on Thu Mar 15, 2007 at 11:00:27 AM EST
    there were a couple of years ucla didn't win, it was the lakers or the knicks.

    let those of us who's teams are low seeds have our (however brief) dreams of glory. george mason gave us mid-majors hopes of rising above an 11th or 12th seed, and making a run for the title.

    what the hell, dreams are free! :)

    That was fun... (5.00 / 1) (#2)
    by Teresa on Thu Mar 15, 2007 at 11:06:58 AM EST
    even if it was at the expense of my Vols (as well as several other teams). The best four days in all of sports starts in a few minutes. I hope we have another lower seed go far this year. Please don't let it be Long Beach State :)

    Parent
    It's time for the WIzard of Westwood... (none / 0) (#3)
    by Dadler on Thu Mar 15, 2007 at 12:52:00 PM EST
    ...to get the final tourney title of his life.  Ben Howland will lead the Bruins to the championship, and Wooden will pass away peacefully at home, in the middle of a soft cheese sandwich, during the celebration.

    All hail Rocket Rod Foster.  Now there's the b-ball Bruin wayback machine.

    Then I guess Hillary should quit too... (none / 0) (#4)
    by rdandrea on Thu Mar 15, 2007 at 02:07:37 PM EST
    Because history also tells us that a sitting Senator hasn't been elected president in more years than there has been an NCAA tournament.

    If it weren't for long shots, going to the track would be a lot less fun too.

    And a major "complaint " about (none / 0) (#5)
    by Light Emitting Pickle on Thu Mar 15, 2007 at 11:55:22 PM EST
    women's bball is that it isn't competitive.

    In the words of a Big Tent, "heh."