Texas May Be Hillary's Last Chance
ABC News has a pretty thorough analysis of the status of things in Texas, and which way different demographics are breaking.
There's three problems for Hillary in Texas, and they don't sound small.
- 1/3 of the delegates will be awarded based on a caucus held at the conclusion of the primary.
- Delegates are apportioned partially by Democratic voter turnout in prior elections
- The primary is open to Independents
The significance: Obama does better in caucuses and primaries where Independents can vote.
The places with the greater amount of liberal and African American voters (Dallas, Houston, Austin) had greater voter turnout than the Latino communities in prior years, so even if Hillary gets a great Latino turnout, she won't score as many delegates. [More...]
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