Obama flat?

obama could get lots of delegates.

i'm blown away by the idea being presented here at this blog that obama has been stopped.  i've never known this blog to spin, but it has definitely not been decided tonight.

as of this writing, cnn projects that clinton has 367 delegates, and obama has 287.  considering that 2,025 are needed for the nominatin, plus the fact that obama is outraising clinton 3 to 1 in money, i'd say that it's far from over.

let me be clear.  i am not supporting obama.  i haven't decided yet whom, if anyone, to endorse.

i simply endorse the truth, and the truth is, hillary did not walk away with super tuesday.

On CNN they have repeatedly said that one of McCain's biggest flaws is that he's winning in blue states, but losing in red states.

The reverse is also the case for Obama and being described as his biggest strength.

Obama was never expected to win the northeast or Cali. Nor did he need to.

At the end of the night, all that matters is the delegate count, which Obama may yet win.

And oh yea, he still has more momentum, enthusiasm and hard cash than Hill.

CT, originally solid for Clinton, closed in the last week to tossup. And it went for Obama.

Missouri is a big upset win for Obama.
Oddly, it hasnt made it into many developing narratives for the night because the early returns were all from Hillary's strong areas - in fact one service actually called it for Hillary.

But this is huge.

Mass a hotly contested fight????
Are you kidding me? Show me one poll that showed it close!

NJ did have one late poll showing it close, but it was a Clinton blowout as late as a week ago, and it is prime Clinton territory. Seems pretty clear to me to be one bad poll, rather than any real contest.

California I'll give her props for. But once again, it was only in the last week that anyone thought Obama had the slightest prayer there. Then we have had a slew of polls all over the place.

My bottom line for the night.
One big swing state upset for Obama, Hillary barely hangs on to lots of states she was supposed to win going away.

Obama wins 13-14 out of 22 states. and probably wins the delegate haul for the evening.

Considering all that, it's really hard to say she stopped him tonight. She did prove that she won't go quietly, but by no means did either of them end it this evening.

Funny.

Take a look at that map - and take a look at the margins where Obama won. He can win anywhere (including Red states), and he wins by bigger margins - showing that his supporters are MUCH more excited than hers.

In addition - he closed a 23% advantage in MA to 14%. He closed a 20% advantage in NJ to 10%, and he kept her down in NY as well.

She's the one begging for money in her speech tonight. She's the one begging for debates because she has no money to get her non-existent message out. And every single remaining state in Feb looks good for Obama (perhaps with the exception of LA). And so much for the "white people won't vote Obama" meme - since he whooped in MN, CO, ID, UT, etc. And he makes up ground among women and Latinos.

Obama wins 13 states, Clinton wins 8.

Looks to me like Obama's the one who won tonight...and it looks to me like he's poised to win most of the remaining states in Feb.

Oh - and just so you know, he's also closed the gap in TX in the past 7 weeks - by gaining 24% on her...and he's the only candidate with offices there.

The delicious irony of it all is that one of the candidates tonight really IS a "big tent democrat" that could haul in cross-over votes and independents and thus, I believe, secure a Democratic majority for the next eight years and beyond.

Another candidate will doom the democrats to eight more years of partisan turmoil and marginalization.

Obama is going up against someone with a president's name, who the country has known for at least 15 years, in a contest that was tailor made for her to win.

Despite all this, Obama

1. Won more states than Clinton
   
2. Probably won more delegates than Clinton
   
3. Won in states where Clinton was leading big recently
   
4. Did better in New York than Clinton did in Illinois
   
5. Won in Clinton's "backyard" (Connecticut)
   
6. Virtually split the popular vote today
   
7. Won late-deciding voters

You apparently are the only person who thinks Clinton was supposed to lose NJ, CA, and MA.

There were 22 states tonight.  Obama won most of them.

And he will win most of the states this month.

I also saw a report saying Clinton outspent Obama by  about 3 to 1 in MA, so it's hardly contested by that definition either.

What happens on the 12th in VA, MD, DC?

What we will probably see now is some of the media turning away from him, and looking into some things that he has done: the heinous healthcare mailer.  Michelle saying she would not support Hillary.  Obama lying about getting the nuclear bill passed.  Obama lying about Hillary's healthcare plan.  Oh, and let me throw this in for Stellaaa...Rezko trial starts at the end of this month.

Whether or not the Clintons put this out there (though, no idea how they would, considering the media is so rabidly against) remains to be seen.  John Edwards could certainly come out on the healthcare stuff.

So Obama had to crush Hillary in the big delegate states last night in order to have a chance?  

So even though neither candidate is even HALF WAY to reaching the necessary delegate totals, Hillary has already won?  That is impressive rationalizing, even for this site.

Just out of curiosity why do you think he won't have another shot?  Because he is going to lose in PA in 2 months?  Or because of her decisive 76 delegate lead?  

At this point the most likely thing to occur is a brokered convention.  Trying to convince yourself that last night was a big win for Clinton is just plain silly.

Count all the votes by hand in a massive act of citizenry.  We should all be checking each other's work.