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Obama: What's Not To Like?

Vast Left at Corrente: Obama's smart and charismatic and he voted against the war. Right?

Let's talk about the reasons to like him -- and more importantly, reasons he should be the Democratic nominee for President. Or not.

Update: (different topic) Check out Elizabeth Edwards op-ed in today's New York Times: Bowling 1, Health Care 0. It's about the media's shallow coverage of the presidential race.

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  • Display: Sort:
    I would ... (5.00 / 4) (#5)
    by NO2WONDERBOY on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:36:45 AM EST
    have a problem with Obama as our president, not that I approve of McCain either. However, the longer this campaign goes, the more his argument or explanations about how he sees the state of the nation seems very clever or subtle on the surface but is actually flawed, misleading, or intended to deceive the voters as to who he really is or what he really stands for.
    His interview in Fox today failed to erase this perception that I at least have come to hold.

    Obama (5.00 / 2) (#90)
    by Chimster on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:13:42 PM EST
    has not been able to unite his own Democratic party. Regardless of whether he is being unfairly attacked or not, if he can not unite us, who can we trust him to unite the country.

    Parent
    His supporters seem to want to unite with ... (5.00 / 1) (#97)
    by Cassius Chaerea on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:22:36 PM EST
    anyone but other Democrats.

    Parent
    His Supporters Bother Me Quite A Bit (5.00 / 6) (#153)
    by MO Blue on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:03:06 PM EST
    I don't think it is healthy to have a sizable percentage of the popular willing to sacrifice previously held beliefs to rationalize the behavior of their hero. Also, Tavis Smiley received death threats and his family was harassed for mildly criticizing Obama on air. He had to leave his job on one radio station due to the continued abuse from Obama supporters.

    Didn't we have enough of this type of behavior during Bush's reign? I don't want to see it repeated even if the president is a Dem.

    Parent

    Been Doing A Lousy Job Proofreading The (none / 0) (#189)
    by MO Blue on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:09:02 PM EST
    couple of days.

     Should read:

    I don't think it is healthy to have a sizable percentage of the population willing to sacrifice previously held beliefs to rationalize the behavior of their hero.

    Parent

    He's not interested in uniting Democrats (5.00 / 4) (#147)
    by mexboy on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:41:57 PM EST
    Otherwise he wouldn't be trying to destroy Bill Clinton's achievements. He has lumped Mr. Clinton with Bush Sr and said their policies were destructive to America!

    give me a f*^% break. The man praises Reagan and puts down the best president of my lifetime? and this is a Democrat? mmmm, please xplain.

    Parent

    There Is Nothing To Explain...Obama Is Business (none / 0) (#185)
    by PssttCmere08 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 04:58:42 PM EST
    as usual.  Not to mention an empty suit, willing to do or say anything he needs to in order to make himself look good.  People had better wake up soon.  There does seem to be some buyer's remorse out there now though.

    Parent
    Howard Dean (none / 0) (#98)
    by chrisvee on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:22:58 PM EST
    Howard Dean made an interesting comment on the morning shows today. He said that it's up to the loser to unite the party and then he cited examples from his own experience after losing to Kerry.  This sounds like the start of the 'if we lose in the GE, it's Hillary's fault' meme.

    Parent
    "it's up to the loser to unite"?! (5.00 / 1) (#136)
    by nycstray on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:07:48 PM EST
    wow. well, I guess it does kinda make sense since Hillary has been the one saying all along she would fight to get the party united and in the WH. On the flip side though, if it's Obama the Uniter as the nom, wouldn't that just rip the curtain open on who he really is on the national stage?

    And then there's the issue of a bunch of ticked off women watching a qualified woman helping and unqualified man get a job that she should be running for. Yeah, that'll sit well.

    Parent

    Other than not accepting the (1.00 / 1) (#190)
    by caseynm on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:10:54 PM EST
    "Hillary is inevitable" meme, how has Obama "split the party?"

    Maybe if Hillary had run an intelligent campaign and planned on having to run after March 5, this wouldn't be happening.

    Maybe if Hillary had said, "Of course Obama is not a Muslim."  

    Maybe if Hillary had said, "Well Bill and I invited Reverend Wright into the White House to help us through our marriage difficulties, and he's a decent man."

    Maybe if Hillary had said, "Well, Barack merely shared a committee with Ayers, and of course Bill PARDONED 2 former Weathermen because that was all back in the '60s and we needed healing, for heaven's sake."

    Maybe if Hillary had said, "Of course blue collar workers in smalltown America are bitter at having been ignored and at having suffered huge job losses as a result of NAFTA being pushed through by Bill with my help."

    Put another way, if Hillary had an ounce of integrity, there might not be an issue here.

    But she doesn't.

    Parent

    If Hillary this, if Hillary that... (5.00 / 1) (#204)
    by NO2WONDERBOY on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 06:07:13 PM EST
    what about these ifs?
    If Obama had been a more transparent candidate, maybe he wouldn't be suffering from the slow but patently evident fall out that he is now facing;
    If Obama had accompanied SPECIFICS to his HOPE and YES WE CAN diatribe, the electorate would not be wavering right now to where exactly is the HOPELAND he is trying to lead us to;
    If Obama had not been talking with a fork tongue, example: Let's run a campaign of unity in front of the media but running a trashing character assassination on Clinton in front of the people in words and in deeds (giving middle finger, brushing himself off, or cleaning the sole of his shoes as if they were soiled with dog feces), then we would think he had some integrity and respect for his opponent, he would be a more believable candidate;
    If Obama was not the plagiarist, lier, flip-flopper, and disingenous "I care, I will fight for you (btw, another plagiarism taken right out of Clinton's mouth), we could understand that the nomination should not be "taken away" from him
    If Obama would not be crying, whining, and decrying people (pres. Clinton) whose political trayectory has been hell-bent on bringing about equality to minorities, ESPECIALLY blacks and accusing him of playing race, racial, and racist cards, then the black vote would not be as skewed as it has been and would reflect instead more of a similar margins as Clinton has gotten with women, so who's practicing racism?
    And the list of IFs is endless.... should I continue?

    Parent
    I see you're a FOX news fan (none / 0) (#210)
    by caseynm on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 08:02:34 PM EST
    If Obama had not been talking with a fork tongue, example: Let's run a campaign of unity in front of the media but running a trashing character assassination on Clinton in front of the people in words and in deeds (giving middle finger, brushing himself off, or cleaning the sole of his shoes as if they were soiled with dog feces), then we would think he had some integrity and respect for his opponent, he would be a more believable candidate;


    Parent
    I thought she had nothing to do with the (none / 0) (#192)
    by rooge04 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:18:03 PM EST
    White House? Isn't that part of the Obama meme? She didn't actually DO anything as First Lady? But NAFTA is her fault right? As well as the pardons.  So I guess all the good stuff she had nothing to do with.  All the negative aspects of Bill's administration---which according to Obama now are basically the entire eight yrs--- that can be blamed on her right?

    So please tell me because I'd like to know...it breaks down as follows:

    Good stuff---she was serving tea.
    Bad stuff---- her hands are all over it.

    Got it.

    Parent

    Well, since she can't win except (none / 0) (#197)
    by caseynm on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:42:13 PM EST
    by ripping the party apart, I suppose running an honest campaign instead of a slimy one WOULD be campaigning for Obama.

    Parent
    Oh, so now she didn't go out campaigning (none / 0) (#200)
    by caseynm on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:48:24 PM EST
    for NAFTA?  Was she for it first and then against it? Or against it first, then for it, then against it again when she started running for president?

    And no, she's not responsible for NAFTA, Bill is. But she's doing her usual lying about her position on it.

    Parent

    Casey...why're panties all bunched up? (none / 0) (#206)
    by PssttCmere08 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 06:14:31 PM EST
    Well of course (none / 0) (#194)
    by angie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:23:22 PM EST
    Hillary should be campaigning for Obama -- she should even lie for him (the only "shared a committee with Ayers" is a flat out lie -- their relationship goes much deeper; so is Obama's contention that people vote for Hillary because they are racist, xenophobic, gun-toting, bible-thumping hillbillies). So, you are saying that Hillary should lie to help Obama out. Oh, I'm sure you don't see those as lies, because you throw a lie in there yourself -- Hillary did say that "of course Obama isn't a muslim" in that interview you are citing the first two times the question was asked.  But why bother with the truth -- it doesn't help Obama.

    Parent
    Blame it on Clinton! Very good! (none / 0) (#196)
    by nycstray on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:40:50 PM EST
    She did say he wasn't a Muslim.

    Did they really invite Wright because of their personal problems? Or was it a prayer breakfast with other notable people there? Did Wright actually "help us [them] through our marriage difficulties"? And she got to know him well enough to call him a decent man?

    Why in the heck would Hillary back up Obama's bitter comments. Darlin', He OWNS those remarks and Hillary had NOTHING to do with them.

    Speak of integrity, lol!~

    Parent

    He owned em, Babe. (none / 0) (#198)
    by caseynm on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:44:23 PM EST
    If you're incapable of understanding their meaning except by lying about them, then you pretty much have found your candidate.

    Oh, did I mention sniper fire?

    Parent

    So, why should she have to own them also? (none / 0) (#202)
    by nycstray on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:55:31 PM EST
    and exactly how am I lying about them?!

    you haven't answered the questions regarding Wright . . . .

    Parent

    Hilarious (none / 0) (#199)
    by squeaky on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:45:09 PM EST
    Put another way, if Hillary had an ounce of integrity, there might not be an issue here.

    But she doesn't.

    Your argument has zero integrity, because it is one sided. Gee what does that say about your integrity?  Quite a bit.


    Parent

    If Hillary this, if Hillary that... (none / 0) (#205)
    by NO2WONDERBOY on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 06:08:12 PM EST
    what about these ifs?
    If Obama had been a more transparent candidate, maybe he wouldn't be suffering from the slow but patently evident fall out that he is now facing;
    If Obama had accompanied SPECIFICS to his HOPE and YES WE CAN diatribe, the electorate would not be wavering right now to where exactly is the HOPELAND he is trying to lead us to;
    If Obama had not been talking with a fork tongue, example: Let's run a campaign of unity in front of the media but running a trashing character assassination on Clinton in front of the people in words and in deeds (giving middle finger, brushing himself off, or cleaning the sole of his shoes as if they were soiled with dog feces), then we would think he had some integrity and respect for his opponent, he would be a more believable candidate;
    If Obama was not the plagiarist, lier, flip-flopper, and disingenous "I care, I will fight for you (btw, another plagiarism taken right out of Clinton's mouth), we could understand that the nomination should not be "taken away" from him
    If Obama would not be crying, whining, and decrying people (pres. Clinton) whose political trayectory has been hell-bent on bringing about equality to minorities, ESPECIALLY blacks and accusing him of playing race, racial, and racist cards, then the black vote would not be as skewed as it has been and would reflect instead more of a similar margins as Clinton has gotten with women, so who's practicing racism?
    And the list of IFs is endless.... should I continue?

    Parent
    Well, (none / 0) (#216)
    by cmugirl on Mon Apr 28, 2008 at 11:37:05 AM EST
    Since she did twice tell Steve Kroft that Obama was  not a Muslim, and

    Since Wright was at the WH for a prayer breakfast (with a few hundred other ministers, priests, rabbis, and clerics, etc.), not for marriage , counseling, and

    Since Hillary didn't have anything to do with pardons, and since the two people you mention weren't pardoned, but had their sentences commuted AFTER they had served time and were sorry, and

    Since David Gergen, who was actually in the room, said Hillary was against NAFTA, then,

    I don't understand what the heck you are talking about.

    Parent

    Good vibe from Dean? (none / 0) (#105)
    by Chimster on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:33:45 PM EST
    I still got a good vibe from Dean when I watched him talk to Russert. I think he was being as fair as he could be given the current situation. Perhaps I'm spinning it too positively, but i thought he was addressing Obama supporters when he said that it's up to the loser to unite the party.

    Parent
    When Obama was first derided by the (none / 0) (#195)
    by hairspray on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:38:02 PM EST
    AA community I was perplexed.  But he hasn't had the solid democratic experience that so many of his elders have had. Maybe that isn't bad, but I see him more as an independent than as a true Democrat.  The idea that he is just now waking up to blue collar working class voters has to be a clue. they and the union movement has been at the heart of Democratic politics and they are not going away anytime soon.

    Parent
    Lets not: (5.00 / 4) (#6)
    by Mrwirez on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:38:33 AM EST
    I won't pick a loser. He would be a pinata for the republicans. Nothing would get passed. I am actually worried about down ticket in the very states he won, such as Missouri. If it were winner take all, this would be over by now.

    Great Practice (5.00 / 6) (#7)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:42:18 AM EST
    I did this a bit yesterday.  I tried softening my attitudes and looking at the good points.  I can do that now after PA.  :)

    I think Obama COULD be simply unprepared emotionally for a long, hard race where he's under the microscope.  However, as president, he'd have more control over the agenda.  His petulance, which is so obvious now, would not be such a big factor if he had position power.

    On the con side?  He'd be less transparent than he promises.  That one is now a given.

    Obama will NOT be one to push policy changes.  He's not even really interested.  Therefore, some of his policy stances that I don't particularly like are probably a non-issue.  He's not interested in specifics.  He won't balk over a more moderate agenda set by Dems.  It could be a blessing that he's not detail-oriented and fairly uninterested in his own platform on various issues.  He'll go with the flow.  That would be preferable to me.  I hated his position on taxes.  NEVER!

    Obama will not be stupid enough to push his radical ideas on the International Front.  He'd get swatted down and humiliated so fast that his head would spin.  The SNL skit recently on how he calls Hillary at 3 AM about foreign policy wasn't far off the mark.  This guy is a placater, so one smack-down will be quite enough.

    Obama will not divide the country racially.  He rarely even campaigns in his AA neighborhoods.  He's got them locked up.  He never made any promises.  So they will be irrelevant once he's elected.  I have no fear that the race divide will continue if he's elected.

    Obama would bring warm and fuzzy to many white liberals who feel guilty over not much.  But....nothing wrong with warm and fuzzy.

    Obama would continue to not add up.  This may not sound like a positive, but it can be.  Therefore, everyone would get to interpret him the way they like best.  That's his chief asset.  He's the blank slate.  Write in your own "what he meant."  People love to guess.  He'd not shake their faith in their own mind-reading abilities.

    Obama would focus on International only.  It will be one long travelogue with photo ops.

    Maybe the country needs 4 years of not much.

    I'm a "fixer."  I prefer a "fixer" right now.

    But....there's something to be said for presidents who do not rock the boat and who just don't do much.  We all need a breather after Bush.

    That's my best shot at why I'd not jump off a ledge.  :)

    The country doesn't need (5.00 / 3) (#12)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:57:36 AM EST
    4 years of not much.  4 years of not much with a Democratic president isn't a good thing at all.  It will just play to the meme that Democrats are wimps.

    Parent
    Obama Wimp (5.00 / 2) (#18)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:01:04 PM EST
    factor has now been discussed and validated.  LOL*  That's the deal, Theresa.  We'll take an AA candidate, provided he's a wimp.  :)

    Not Present
    No paper trail even in Illinois
    Change on policies happening daily
    Sends surrogates to do all dirty work
    Can't be clear in debates
    Policies are regressive, not progressive

    What more information do we need?

    He's definitely a light-weight.

    Parent

    I absolutely agree (5.00 / 1) (#32)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:14:59 PM EST
    But I have to wonder...why does everyone insist on putting an H in my name!  It happens day in and day out

    Just wondering.

    Teresa

    Parent

    lol, story of my life, too. (none / 0) (#39)
    by Teresa on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:18:06 PM EST
    mea culpa (none / 0) (#45)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:21:30 PM EST
    My friend, Michele, complains about being Michelle constantly, too.

    Phonetic net bad habits?

    Thanks for pointing it out.

    Parent

    Yes. If we're going to have four (none / 0) (#79)
    by derridog on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:58:32 PM EST
    more years of another bad president, I'd rather it be a Republican.

    Parent
    And it would be only 4 years (4.00 / 0) (#83)
    by Cream City on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:03:26 PM EST
    owing to McCain's age.  Of course, there is Stephens' age on SCOTUS -- but working for a stronger Dem Senate could do a lot more on that score than counting on Obama, who was going to vote for Roberts, too, until he had to be told that it wouldn't be politically wise for his own ambitions for the presidency.  And "babies are punishments" for women who sin.  So abstinence is the answer.

    There are no principles that reassure me there.

    Parent

    Although This Is What All the Nader Voters Said (5.00 / 2) (#85)
    by BDB on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:06:30 PM EST
    in 2000.  Gore is no different than Bush, we'll wait until next time.  Well, Kerry was worse than Gore, IMO.  And Obama will be worse than Kerry.  At this rate, I figure Democrats will be nominating Mitt Romney in 2016.

    Parent
    I see so much difference between Gore (5.00 / 2) (#120)
    by Cream City on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:52:50 PM EST
    and Obama that your well-meaning comment is, sorry, useless.  I want to vote for a real Dem again, as I did for Gore -- and every time before, for decades now.

    Parent
    We Will Have Someone Like Ben Nelson As Our (5.00 / 2) (#157)
    by MO Blue on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:14:17 PM EST
    nominee next time. The Dem establishment will conclude that Obama lost because he was too liberal. Of course, they will forget that he didn't run as a Democrat at all. Let alone as a liberal or progressive Democrat.  IACF will have to get wear itself out before they come to that brilliant conclusion.

    Parent
    He is the new Decider (none / 0) (#77)
    by BarnBabe on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:55:37 PM EST
    I will listen to him of course, but I am the President.


    Parent
    About "bringing in a ton... (5.00 / 4) (#8)
    by NO2WONDERBOY on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:49:09 AM EST
    of new-time voters", so has Senator Clinton, albeit not all young, many disenfranchised voters have made their opinions known through this primary voting process, which is a laudable feat by both candidates.
    What impresses me most, as well as being very proud of us Americans and the voting process is that ALL of the states have had the opportunity to weigh in, something that has not happened in decades, and some which have never had the opportunity to do so, look at Puerto Rico, who would have thought.

    The "D" after his name (5.00 / 5) (#9)
    by katiebird on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:50:51 AM EST
    He seems too immature to me.  Those verbal games (where he slips-slides about what he really meant) which at first I assumed was just political parsing seems more like junior high word games to me.  Maybe it's because of the finger/gesture games -- but I'm not impressed by his personal behavior in this campaign.

    A President is more than policies -- he's the leader of our country.

    I have NEVER voted for a Republican.  So, (at this point) if I vote for him, I'll be voting for the "D" after his name.  But I just don't know.

    (shaking my head) I just don't know.

    He (5.00 / 4) (#15)
    by MichaelGale on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:59:16 AM EST
    dresses extremely well.  He lectures eloquently.
    He has adorable children. He's from Chicago - I love
    that city. He's an intellectual.

    Also, I don't think he ever planned on winning this election and is surprised he is a contender. I think he was practicing for 2016. And that's a good thing.

    Obama is cool! (5.00 / 2) (#135)
    by Josey on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:06:55 PM EST
    He plays basketball!
    He texts!
    He's the media's "New American Idol"!
    YESSS! - let's elect Obama for President!


    Parent
    He shoots air balls too (5.00 / 1) (#201)
    by Chimster on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:53:41 PM EST
    Apparently, bowling wasn't his only embarassing PR moment in sports news recently.

    Parent
    He Might Improve Our Image Internationally (5.00 / 2) (#19)
    by santarita on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:01:43 PM EST
    A lot of Europeans seem impressed by the fact that he is not George Bush II.  That to me is his strongest selling point.  Of course, if he starts implementing the foreign policy of his hero the George Bush I or his hero Ronald Reagan, the improved image won't last long.

    I don't know the people you do (5.00 / 5) (#38)
    by angie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:17:09 PM EST
    But half my family are Europeans who live in Europe, and they are laughing their a's off that this country is getting ready to replace one unprepared president with another.  But, of course, the European press has done a much better job vetting Obama then the US press has. If we really wanted to restore our image in Europe we would elect Hillary.

    Parent
    Europeans are so lucky (5.00 / 2) (#156)
    by dotcommodity on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:08:57 PM EST
    they have clever clean energy policy that really works. No wonder they are laughing at us. It sucks, being unable to do anything.

    Parent
    Europeans (5.00 / 1) (#62)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:35:46 PM EST
    are enchanted with the race issue here.

    That's it.

    Nothing more.

    Parent

    Well, it won't if he continues (5.00 / 1) (#93)
    by FlaDemFem on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:17:35 PM EST
    this sort of thing. Bush had to smooth things over with Pakistan after Obama shot off his big mouth last August about bombing Pakistan. I mean, how stupid is he to make statements that make BUSH look like a peacemaker by comparison??!! More of his "foreign policy experience" showing through, I am sure. Gawd, sometimes I think I have slipped into another dimension where everything is ass-backwards!!

    Parent
    Doubt it, based on recent BBC profile (5.00 / 4) (#96)
    by Cream City on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:21:35 PM EST
    of Obama.  Pretty devastating.  The Europeans do love their shoot-em-up gangster Chicago stuff from Hollywood, but they see what it means that Obama was a made man -- machine-made.  No U.S. tv network would dare to run it, which is pretty revealing, too.

    Parent
    My cat (5.00 / 4) (#110)
    by miriam on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:38:08 PM EST
    is not George Bush II.  I do not, however, intend to vote for my cat.  

    Parent
    The main con for me (5.00 / 5) (#22)
    by angie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:07:26 PM EST
    is that I honestly still don't know what Obama will do as President -- and I consider myself to be more informed than most -- I've paid close attention to the debates, read about his platforms on his website, etc.  I'm kind of like my cat, I guess -- I don't like surprises -- and to me, Obama in the White House would be full of surprises. That's the main reason I support Hillary -- she tells me exactly what she is going to do, how she is going to pay for it, and wants me to hold her accountable if she doesn't.  I trust her, and I just don't trust Obama.  
    On the pro side for Obama, and maybe this is totally irrelevant, but I do like how I am seeing the younger generation in this country honestly and truly not caring about race -- that gives me hope for this country. However, that hope is diminished in my eyes in that this race as exposed the fact that some horrific sexism still exists in this country -- we haven't quite come a long way, baby.  So, overall, I'll vote for Obama if I have to, but it will be with fear and loathing. And a lot of prayers.

    I forgot to add (5.00 / 0) (#42)
    by angie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:19:31 PM EST
    the "if I have to" vote for him is with the provisio  that he demonstrates to me that he is better than McCain -- something I honestly do not believe he has done.

    Parent
    My Problem...This Younger Generation Is (5.00 / 1) (#187)
    by PssttCmere08 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:04:58 PM EST
    quick to say you are a racist if you don't want to vote for Obama, or you point out negatives about him...not saying all, but quite a large number do.  And, many of them don't know a damn thing about how the government nor elections work.

    Parent
    The differences in policy are huge. (5.00 / 3) (#26)
    by rooge04 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:10:40 PM EST
    I do not subscribe to the belief that Obama and Hillary have the same policies. Not at all. Their healthcare policies are miles apart, their foreign policies as well (well, I KNOW what HRC's policies, Obama has given basically nothing), their views on women's rights and abortions differ (again Obama I think would do NOTHING to advance women's rights in America).  And I can't stand his pandering to Republicans.   Even the few converts. I don't want a Republican lite. I want a Democrat. That's Hillary, not Obama.

    I want Hillary (5.00 / 1) (#123)
    by Josey on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:54:06 PM EST
    because I want a Dem president in November!


    Parent
    I actually liked him better (5.00 / 7) (#33)
    by pie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:15:11 PM EST
    when I knew less about him.

    I hope he doesn't win the nomination.  I'll be much less emotionally invested in him if he does.  Too ground for me, as that's never been a problem before.  Maybe that will change.

    Long way to November.

    That's (none / 0) (#34)
    by pie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:16:13 PM EST
    new ground.

    Parent
    This is my big beef with Obama... (5.00 / 10) (#51)
    by lorelynn on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:24:52 PM EST
    Most Democrats, when they are contemplating running for high office, regard the Mighty Wurlitzer with an appropriate respect. And they take a good hard look at their past and they figure out what needs to be cleaned up or resolved. Bill Clinton, for instance, Madison Guaranty feel in 80s. Even though he was bandied about as a presidential candidate in 1988, he didn't run. I'm sure he had lots of reasons for not running, but as a result of that delay, Madison Guaranty's Jim McDougal had been put on trial and acquitted on all counts. Clinton could go into the race with a clean slate. Now, the creation of his war room makes clear that he took seriously the notion that he would have to defend himself aggressively against whatever the GOP came up with.

    Obama didn't do that. He bought that house with Rezko after being electing to the US senate. What kind of moron DEMOCRATIC US senator (and I'm sorry, but it was a really moronic thing to do) considering running for the presidency of the United States, invites a mob affiliate under investigation by a federal prosecutor to do him a personal favor to the tune of $625k? Since the home purchase, Rezko has been indicted for bribing state officials. If he's convicted of bribery, that land purchase is, quite reasonably, going to look like a bribe in the making to an awful lot of American citizens.

    And Wright - why hang on to him? Why not find some quiet African Methodist church with a brilliant Ivy League pastor and maybe use that to move the discussion about race in this country quite a bit further down the road - something Wright, with is plentiful misogynist invective and questionably race boggled bible stories - cannot do.

    I think Obama wants to be Bill Clinton - though he would never, ever admit that. I think he looks at the scandals of the 90s and doesn't understand that Clinton cleaned his issues that could have turned into genuine scandals up before he ran for office. The fact that the GOP went after him anyway, shouldn't be construed as a reason to not get rid of questionable issues in one's past.

    Obama is a guy in desperate need of a big, public loss. His mocking of Clinton's healthcare failure says to me that he doesn't know that people who get stuff done successfully have more failures than people who don't get stuff done. People who do stuff fail from time to time. People who don't do stuff (and Obama has virtually no public accomplishments other than winning campaigns since he left college), never fail.

    Great post, Lorelynn! (none / 0) (#81)
    by derridog on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:01:59 PM EST
    Elizabeth Edwards piece in (5.00 / 4) (#54)
    by bjorn on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:28:25 PM EST
    the NYTimes was amazing.  And she squarely puts the responsibility on our shoulders to let the press know we want and deserve better coverage of real news.  I have tried to do that during this election cycle.  I am not sure it is making a dent yet, but maybe if we all keep trying.

    As for Obama.  After reading the piece at Corrente I would say I can honestly only think of one thing positive, he probably won't get us into another war and won't get us deeper into Iraq.  I agree with some who think he will do nothing in four years. If he is elected, I hope I am wrong.  I don't think he will get anything on healthcare reform, I don't think he can get us out of Iraq, but like I said, I don't think he will broaden the war either.

    EE made some good points (5.00 / 1) (#82)
    by brodie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:02:10 PM EST
    about the MSM focusing too much on fluff 'n' stuff, and I agree with her overall take on the corp media (tempered and moderate though it was), but it does strike me as a bit unrealistic to expect too many voters to be familiar with all the candidates' positions on various major issues.  

    I suspect most people, or the ones who bother to at least semi-inform themselves about the candidates on substance, tend to limit their research to 2-3 candidates at most in a large field of hopefuls.  That's the case with me anyway, and I consider myself an above-avg informed voter.  I looked at the healthcare positions, and the other key issues, of HRC, Obama, and Edwards and that was it.  

    I do wish she'd pivoted at some point and used her major NYT piece to call for well-healed Dem zillionaires to join together to start our own major media outlet, print or tv.  Our side has been complaining mightily about the Repub-coddling MSM since at least the Clinton years, and nothing seems to change.  Time to stop expecting something different out of the media beast.  They will always favor what best protects their conservative corporate interests.  Dems need to wake up and start acting aggressively to get their message out.

    As for Obama, well at least he's not Joe Lieberman, even with his Reagan worshipping (probably no more than pandering to indies and mod Repubs solely to get nominated and elected).  And I doubt, in the unlikely event he's elected, that he would go off and start a major war in the ME like Joe might want or like LBJ did in Nam.  

    I just think it's a huge roll of the dice (to quote my non-racist friend Bill) with neophyte Obama as our nominee.  He's far less electable than the solid if unspectacular, but fully vetted, Hillary.   People however are just beginning to get a sense of Obama and his friends and associates like Wright and Rezko and the Weathermen.  His unfavorables will only get worse.

    Parent

    The One Thing I Can't Get Over (5.00 / 11) (#76)
    by BDB on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:55:35 PM EST
    is his smears against the Clintons on race.

    Everything else, even his pandering to the right, as destructive as I think that is, I could get over.  Hey, I'm not looking forward to Jimmy Carter 2.0, but it beats George W. Bush 3.0.  

    But the race stuff against the Clintons personally has left me with a lot of anger and if he's the nominee, I don't know what I'm going to do with it.

    that was a political tactic needed because (5.00 / 1) (#159)
    by dotcommodity on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:16:05 PM EST
    the Clinton's were held in good esteem in the Black community. So the political tactics don't really make me mad.

    But his Republican energy policy does. Because we have only a few years to switch to a solar, wind, geothermal, wave powered source of electricity or our CO2 emissions will mean certain doom by 2050, beginning with crop failures, food riots, water wars etc.

    Parent

    Elizabeth (5.00 / 1) (#78)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:57:09 PM EST
    spent her words wisely.

    One of the things you don't hear people (5.00 / 4) (#80)
    by Anne on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:59:43 PM EST
    talking about much is how critical the first year of the presidency will be, because that is the point at which the entire House will be gearing up for the 2010 mid-terms, as will a big chunk of the Senate.

    With no idea how much of a majority we will have - assuming we hold onto and gain seats in the next Congress - I am especially concerned that an Obama presidency that bogs down in the paralysis of endless compromise will set the stage for a significant setback in that majority, possibly sending us back to the minority.

    In the face of two years of an Obama presidency accompanied by a GOP Congress, I fear that he will end up being much more "their" president than "ours."  Those who worry about the Supreme Court ought to consider how a prone-to-compromise-when-compromise-is-wrong Obama would approach SC nominations that would have to go through a GOP Senate.

    All told, I think that sets the stage for a GOP president in 2012, and worse, could impact all of us for a generation.  Game, set, match.

    Is it possible that Hillary as president could also end up with a GOP Congress in 2010 - sure.  But the difference is that I don't see her rolling over and playing dead, nor do I see her climbing into bed with the GOP and locking the Dems out of the bedroom, so to speak.

    I think we have to look a lot more long-term than just winning the WH; if we aren't considering political style as a means to hold onto the WH AND the Congress, we are in danger of succumbing to the same short-sighted strategy that has infected the Obama camp.

    Obama on Fox now (5.00 / 0) (#99)
    by MichaelGale on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:26:14 PM EST
    talking about government regulations and Defense of Marriage Act.

    you can drive a truck through the difference in (5.00 / 2) (#127)
    by dotcommodity on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:01:09 PM EST
    clean energy policy.

    At first I thought he would just pass her bills, so his Republican energy policy hidden behind his global warming talk didn't bother me, but I see now how stubbornly her clings to his Libertarian/Republican 'just kill healthcare' policy, and I think he will likewise cling to his ethanol, nukes and 'clean coal' policy the same way.  I think he is a puppet of Republican policy thinktanks, thats why the media is pushing him as the least worst Democrat.

    So I fear for our country, and the planet.

    On Fox Today, He Said The Republicans Had (5.00 / 4) (#150)
    by MO Blue on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:54:42 PM EST
    the best ideas on government regulations. A bit scary don't you think?

    Parent
    yep (5.00 / 5) (#152)
    by dotcommodity on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:03:00 PM EST
    whats scary is the inability to see that now: of all times, after 8 years of fascist incompetence, is NOT the time to suck up to Republicans.

    He has confuddled Democrats. This could have been an easy win for Democrats on Democratic policy.

    I can perfectly well understand Gore not wanting to get in the race now. By now his sighs would be shaking the universe, and his wrong earth tones?

    Axcelrod is running a terrific campaign, only if he wanted to hand the WH keys to Republicans this year.

    Parent

    Aw come on.... (5.00 / 1) (#154)
    by Maria Garcia on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:06:57 PM EST
    ...he was just being polite.

    </snark>

    Parent

    I know I haven't brought this up for awhile (5.00 / 2) (#128)
    by Edgar08 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:01:24 PM EST
    So I get to do it again.

    Link

    Read the whole thing.

    What's the point.  You have to decide where Obama's coming from.  He's an Ivy Leaguer so I have to assume he knows JFK criticized face to face meetings without preconditions.  Or would he know that?  Perhaps you can get through Harvard and not understand such a basic fact.  I don't know.

    So either he knows better or he gives answers that he knows will please voters, even though he knows he won't govern the way he says.

    Or he really doesn't have any idea what he's talking about half the time.

    This is one of the few times I have criticized the Clinton campaign.  Clinton did not need to unload both barrells and say he was being "naive and irresponsible."  Although I understand where she was coming from, a better thing to have said at that point might be more wonky, but to just say what I said.

    "I don't know why he gave that answer because surely Obama must know that JFK and Ronald Reagan never met with other World Leaders without preconditions.  Or if they did it was a disaster."

    Anyway, that was the first point at which I started to know more about the candidate other than his speech in 2004.

    Since then, I feel he's polarized the party, he's forced onto the party a choice that will create a net negative.  The choice is between the future of the party and the Clinton legacy.

    My dislike of the candidate at that point is of course a product of my loyalty to the Clintons, those are glimpses into the candidate's character.

    But before that, there were glimpses into the candidate's intellect.

    Is he really that smart?

    Does he know what he's doing?

    Just because someone has the right objectives does not mean they will do less harm than someone who has the wrong objectives, but knows what he's doing.

    Is there a reason to like Obama.

    I think he's shown an ability to learn.  He does really give a greaet speech.  But even that, his charisma, the image I have of him from the 2004 convention, the enthusiasm he inspires in the party, it now has an edge about it.  It's taken on an evangelical feel that I think is destructive for the party.


    Eleanora - the flip side: (5.00 / 5) (#138)
    by Anne on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:14:20 PM EST
    is a Democrat, and America works better socially and economically for more of our citizens and the rest of the world when a Democrat is in the White House.

    Agreed as to the latter part of your statement, not so sure about the first.

    He has an amazing gift for political rhetoric, using soaring, poetical images in his speeches that resonate with so many people. Imagine how useful that skill would be to a President trying to earn support for a new program or legislation!

    Yes, he can give a good speech.  What I fail to see is the application of those gifts in his current position as United States Senator (or in his community organizing or the state legislature prior to the US Sentate); seems like he's had the opportunity to poetically advocate for the last three years - the question is, why hasn't he?

    He has demonstrated that he can get massive, heartfelt support from widely disparate groups of people, and get them to unite for his cause.

    That you would refer to this as "his" cause is telling - what I have yet to see is interest in gathering that support for "our" cause.

    Obama has motivated young adults to get registered and vote, to work for his campaign, to identify with and advocate for Democrats. When I was in college in the 90s, voting wasn't cool; now it is.

    I agree he has had a great GOTV organization, but not all young adults are voting Obama; and I think his efforts have less to do with the glories of the democratic process and a whole lot to do with garnering votes for himself.  Nothing wrong with that, per se, but let's not make it more than what it is, and let's not discount the effect of young people seeing friends and family going off to war, the dwindling job prospects for young people as motivations for registering to vote.

    I want to see this gorgeous family walk down Pennsylvania Avenue together on Inauguration Day, waving and smiling, representing America to the world for the next eight years. Just the thought of it makes me tear up.

    Hallmark commercials have been known to make me do the same thing, so at best, all I can say is, whatever.

    Michelle Obama would be fascinating to follow as a First Lady. What causes would she take up? How would she balance raising her family, supporting her husband's work, and performing her own duties while still maintaining her identity as a strong, independent woman? I like her and would be a big cheerleader for her every day.

    Call me shallow, but I do not like this woman, and I have no interest in how she balances all the aspects of her life, because millions of women have been engaged in that process for years, with many having a much harder time, and  have been and continue to do it with much less in the way of resources.

     

    Obama has shown us that he takes good advice (like not voting for Roberts), and he'd have the backing of many prominent Democrats to help him navigate his first year in office.

    You assume he only takes the good advice, but his history suggests he also takes some bad advice - or turns away good advice to follow his own judgment.  See Rezko, Ayers, Auchi, etc.

    His policies aren't clear to me, but they're in the right ballpark. And I do feel certain that he'll get us out of Iraq as soon as possible. If he can work with Congress to get positive, Democratic policies into law, America would be a stronger, better country than she is today.

    His policies aren't clear to you?  Why is that - because you don't care to understand them, or because he hasn't addressed them?

    As for his working with Congress, I have less confidence than you do that his interest lies in strong, Democratic policy; he will, on the other hand, be a boon to the Blue Dog Democrats, and will fit right in with the Reid/Pelosi strategy of barking loud and caving quietly.

    Which does not bode well, in my opinion, for the advancement of strong Democratic anything, and a sure recipe for GOP resurgence in the 2010 mid-terms.

    I'm a strong Hillary supporter, (5.00 / 3) (#173)
    by eleanora on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:55:59 PM EST
    donating and volunteering with everything I can to get her elected. The reason I even took a look at Bill in 92 was I had just finished writing a research paper on a preschool parenting project Hillary championed in Arkansas. She'd been fighting for early childhood education, children's rights, and working families for years even then, so I admired her before I ever thought about him. Half of my first presidential vote was really for her.

    Truly, I do know that she's the best candidate and would make the much better president. And I agree with most of your qualifiers to my statements, I was just trying to make a good, positive case.

    I kind of misunderstood the post and though we were supposed to say why a reasonable person might be supporting Senator Obama for president. I'm full of hope that Hillary will pull this nomination off, but if not-- I'm a Democrat. I need to have some reasons to work for his election if he's the nominee, and this was my best shot at coming up with some.  :)

    Parent

    It Is A Worthy Exercise (5.00 / 3) (#178)
    by squeaky on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 04:14:42 PM EST
    For any Democrat who loooves their own choice so much that they lose perspective and turn the other candidate into the Devil. I for one am glad that you misunderstood the tongue in cheek title of this thread, and thought through what it would be like to get behind a nominee who was not your first choice.

    Personally I think both candidates are great compared to McCain. The problems I have with Hillary and Obama are pretty much the same, as are the reasons I think they would both be good presidents.

    BTD's media darling electability theory is pretty convincing, imo, although if Obama is the nominee we will see if his media darling status is a fixture or a temporary bubble.

    Parent

    squeaky, as someone who was an Edwards (5.00 / 2) (#180)
    by Anne on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 04:38:07 PM EST
    supporter, I had to look long and hard at the choices left to me, so this was never about being so in love with a candidate that I lost perspective.  In fact, I would guess that because I had to evaluate Clinton and Obama, and because I initially resisted supporting Clinton, I think where I am with my support may be more objective than that of those who were "in love" with their candidate from the beginning.

    When I settled on Clinton as the person I felt would best handle the presidency on a number of fronts, I was still of the belief that if Obama got the nomination and won, that would be okay.

    The more I have seen of Obama, the less I believe that (1) he would truly represent my interests, and (2) he is more electable than either Clinton or McCain.  I will not vote for McCain.  I don't see him as an equivalent choice/stand-in for a Democrat I do not believe in, so I am struggling with the idea that, for the first time in years, I might not vote for ANY candidate for president.  I will vote down-ticket Democratic, but I truly am struggling with voting for someone I have come to - yes - loathe.

    Do I think I am less of a Democrat because I may not be willing to swallow my objections to Obama?  No, because I don't see how, ultimately, it helps to strengthen the Democratic party by  voting for someone who waters it down and blurs the lines between what Democrats have always stood for, and what Republicans allegedly represent.  I'm all for "coming together" and all that other frou-frou stuff, but I would prefer that the coming together be done over Democratic positions, and not some neither-here-nor-there mish-mash.  If we believe our ideas are the best, we need leaders who can sell the skeptical and the outright opposed on why they are the best, and do the hard work of bringing those ideas to fruition.

    I think my eyes are wide open; what I fear is that I see too much, not that I don't see enough.

    Parent

    OK (5.00 / 2) (#193)
    by squeaky on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:18:16 PM EST
    I just do not see it that way. I voted for Hillary and did not really consider Obama electable. In terms of talent I did think Obama was greater than Hillary and I do think Hillary is a super talent. I just thought Obama would be ready in the future not now.

    All the arguments here against Obama have sent me to find out more about him, and not from his campaign site. Both sites are self serving and hard to get past the first pages.

    My search has led me to believe that Hillary and Obama are nearly identical. The one argument that is cogent, imo, is that Obama is less predictable than Hillary because his record is smaller. That is a plus as well as a minus. A minus because he is more of a risk, not much more imo, as to how progressive he will be as POTUS. The plus is that he has less baggage to get cherrypicked in a smear campaign.   Many Senators et al are unelectable, even if they would make great presidents, because they have a long record that can be cherrypicked in order to smear them. I have no doubt that both candidates will be swiftboated by the GOP, and I do not believe that Hillary is particularly immune because she has gone through it before.

    The experience argument is silly, imo, because we do not know what experience would make for a great president. And it is a poor argument not just because of its baselessness but also that McCain wins that one hands down, if its merits were not so baseless.

    I understand campaigning and rooting for ones candidate, but I do not understand how anyone can say Obama and Hillary are polar opposites or anything close to that. The harsh discounting of either candidate seems based more on emotion than ration, imo. The tipoff for me is that Obama supporters call Hillary Republican lite for instance, and the Hillary supporters call Obama Republican lite, yet neither voice an even slight criticism about their favored candidate.

    As BTD has suggested had we not been so divided about the candidates we could have gotten the candidates to be more specific and bend more to meet progressive agendas, rather than love and hate fests that make no demands from bloggers favorite candidates.

    Parent

    Thanks! :) n/t (5.00 / 1) (#214)
    by eleanora on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:46:20 PM EST
    Eleanora, I must confess to having been (5.00 / 1) (#182)
    by Anne on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 04:46:35 PM EST
    somewhat puzzled by your original "Why we should like him" comment, because it was always my take that you were a committed Hillary supporter; in fact, I was sort of looking for the part where you admitted to doing an impression of some of the more die-hard Obama supporters.  :)

    I have tried what you attempted, in conversations I have had with myself (and others), and even, early on, when I was trying to choose between Clinton and Obama when Edwards dropped out; it used to be a lot easier than it has been in the last couple of months, and I really just cannot do it any more - because I don't believe in what I'm saying when I do.

    So, I hope there are no hard feelings

    Parent

    No problem, Anne! :) (5.00 / 1) (#213)
    by eleanora on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:40:55 PM EST
    I should have read the links and the few comments there were before I started writing. Took forever to find stuff to say that I could believe in, even with qualifiers. And ITA on how hard it is to hear him talking against the Democratic record and the basic principles we've always stood for. You have to pick a party--standing in the middle of the road means no one can trust you.

    The three candidates were so shiny and hopeful looking together in January--I was already for HRC, but would have happily voted for any of them. Now Edwards is out, and Obama isn't who I hoped he was. But I think our girl is going to pull this one off in the long run and fight for us all the way to the WH if we help her, keep believing, and work hard :)

    Parent

    Brilliant...You cut right thru the BS (5.00 / 1) (#144)
    by mexboy on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:33:44 PM EST


    I like this comment (5.00 / 2) (#164)
    by pie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:24:05 PM EST
    I read at another blog and think it's sad, but true:

    Of all the talented, motivated black people in the community that have given their hearts and souls for their community, that have sweat blood for the black community ... this poser is the one that gets settled on by the white power elite as The Black Candidate.
     

    In the spirit of eleanora's nice post, (5.00 / 2) (#181)
    by Dr Molly on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 04:44:19 PM EST
    I can also say some things I like about Obama.

    I loved his speech at the 2004 DNC. I loved it so much that it made me both laugh and cry. If he still truly believes in those words, then I really love that about him. I've had my doubts about that since that time, though.

    I think he is smart and also thoughtful at times.

    He seems like a dedicated husband and father.

    He has a good sense of humor.

    He has inspired a lot people to get involved with politics.

    That *was* a great speech! (5.00 / 1) (#215)
    by eleanora on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:50:21 PM EST
    Very big-D Democratic, I wish he'd get back to that tone again. I liked your list. :)

    Parent
    Well... (5.00 / 1) (#188)
    by pie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:07:21 PM EST
    He has inspired a lot people to get involved with politics.

    so has she, frankly.  :-)

    I'm more concerned about November and the way this plays out.

    I will only vote for Obama if he is 1/2 (3.66 / 3) (#3)
    by Mark Woods on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:33:33 AM EST
    of a ticket with Clinton on the other half.   I am so put off by his attitude and his disgustingly rude follows that I would never willingly give my vote to him at this point, in spite of the fact that I've voted almost straight ticket Democrat all my adult life.

    And now watch the weaseling he does to avoid a real debate -- he's going to make Hillary look ever more like the 'fighter' and he's on the way down if you ask me.

    Hillary will throw him a life rope at some point, you mark my words . . . (why do I sound like my Grandparents?)

    blame his followers and his lack of substance (5.00 / 3) (#16)
    by thereyougo on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:00:06 PM EST
    When compared to Hillary, his lack of substance shows in a big way. She's impressed more the more she speaks, because she's on point and polished.

    I'm still waiting to hear the phrase that sways me to Obama.

    His followers don't do him justice. Actually I think they're unraveling his campaign while Mrs. Clinton is hitting her stride and it speaks to her abilities to turn adversity inot opportunity.

    Parent

    Well that's selfish and irresponsible (1.00 / 0) (#65)
    by dmk47 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:40:23 PM EST
    This is not difficult. Suppose, for every single issue that could affect America over the next four years, your preferences are both Clinton > McCain and Clinton > Obama. There is still not one issue for which you could rationally maintain the overall ranking Clinton > McCain > Obama; hence, on every issue, your only possible ranking of preferences is Clinton > Obama > McCain. Hence, for every single issue a rational Clinton supporter's preference between Obama > McCain. Let's go one stronger, because despite the cocooning nonsense about not knowing Obama's views, there is in fact no issue on which a rational Clinton supporter's preference could be anything other than Obama >>> McCain.

    Now, there is a very strong chance Obama will be the Democratic nominee. If that's the case, your fall vote will either help or hurt Obama's performance. If you vote for him, you'll help him; otherwise you'll hurt him. The only available decision that accords with your own rational preference, as a Clinton supporter, is to vote for Obama.

    You have every right, of course, not to, but no rational basis for doing so. Whingeing about his personal qualities, whingeing about the personal qualities of his supporters, etc., don't qualify as rational bases. Nor does the inevitable suggestion that by pointing out the logical consequence of Clinton supporters' preference structure on the issues conjoined with the fact of the matter about the candidates' views, I'm being patronizing. Suppose I am. Suppose I'm mean and awful. That does not obviate the fact that, as a Clinton supporter, your only available rational choice in an Obama-McCain election is to vote for Obama.

    Let's go further. If the general election is Obama vs. McCain, and McCain wins the difference-making states in the electoral college by a margin ≤ the number of Dem primary Clinton supporters who voted for McCain, and, predictably, what results is thousands more American deaths in escalations of the current wars and new wars, and four more years of rapacious Republican domestic policy, those McCain-voting Clinton supporters will bear responsibility.

    I'm guessing what generates a lot of these kinds of comments is the (illusory, I believe I can prove) uncertainty about the outcome of the Democratic primary. Nevertheless, one possible outcome of the Democratic primary, indeed the most likely outcome, is that Obama will be the nominee.    

    No one has any obligation to like Obama or his supporters. But the beliefs Clinton supporters hold commit them to vote for Obama if he's the nominee. (Likewise, the beliefs Obama supporters hold commit them to vote for Clinton if she's the nominee.)

    Any attitude of a current Clinton supporter on an Obama-McCain election besides "I'll vote for Obama" is simply repugnant.

    Parent

    Keep it going... (5.00 / 7) (#84)
    by ChrisM on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:04:32 PM EST
    You almost hit all the right notes. You only forgot to blackmail us women with Roe v. Wade.

    Otherwise, you had it all: the patronizing (we're not rational), the guilt trip (blood on your hands), and the insulting (repugnant).

    I sure am much more convinced to vote for him now.

    And as was mentioned upthread, Obama can change mind. He did change mine... 1 year ago, I would have voted for him in a heart beat. Not anymore.

    Parent

    Impeccable reasoning (1.00 / 0) (#100)
    by dmk47 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:28:23 PM EST
    Yes, indeed, given your preference structure on the issues, if you fail to vote for Obama, and McCain defeats him by a margin less than or equal to that provided by the votes of those voting like you, the overturning of Roe v. Wade, more broadly, the installation of abhorrent justices on the Supreme Court for decades, escalations of the current wars, new wars, more rapacious Republican domestic policy --- i.e. the completely foreseeable consequences of a McCain presidency --- will be your responsibility.

    It's completely irrelevant whether you like me, like Obama, like any of his supporters. If, on a scale of being patronizing from 1-100, I/Obama/Obama supporters all register at 100, your rational obligation to vote for Obama doesn't change one bit. Likewise for every single other personal quality of his/mine/his supporters that you don't like.

    The logic is elementary and undeniable. You, as a Clinton supporter, have a set of beliefs about issues. Let's call it S. Each of the three candidates has their own set of beliefs about the issues. The conjunction S&C entails your obligation to vote for Obama.

    The introduction of irrelevant personal complaints has no affect whatsoever. For example, my feelings about Clinton and her supporters, which certainly have changed over the course of the campaign, have no bearing on my obligation to vote for Clinton, volunteer for Clinton, donate money to Clinton, etc., should she get the nomination.

    Parent

    Rationality (5.00 / 5) (#129)
    by Dr Molly on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:02:06 PM EST
    First of all, since you seem to prize rationality above all else (and I stress "seem to"), I'll point out that it is irrational to expect human beings (who have emotions as well as thoughts, and are not merely voting robots) to be responsive to pleas for rationality from someone like you who writes in an insulting and condescending manner. This seems to be something that Obama supporters often fail to understand, and I find that misapprehension of basic human mores to be sort of irrational.

    Second of all, there are rational reasons to vote for McCain over Obama, although you or I may not like them. For example, many may point out that Obama has been more racially divisive than McCain has been during this campaign. Others may like that McCain has much more political experience than Obama does. Others may think that Obama's attitudes toward female voters or rural voters are so dismissive that they would influence his leadership poorly as president. There would be many more examples if I felt like thinking of them. I am not saying that these points would sway me into voting for McCain over Obama, but I am saying that those who prefer McCain over Obama are not necessarily doing so for purely irrational reasons, although you obviously feel smart enough to assert that unequivocally.

    Finally, I find your overly rational conceptualization of politics to be irrational. The history of U.S. politics suggests that human beings do not typically respond well to being insulted, marginalized, dismissed, lied to, etc. by candidates. No surprises there for those who think rationally about politics.

    Parent

    Nice guilt trip, but I'm not traveling with you! (5.00 / 3) (#142)
    by mexboy on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:29:19 PM EST
    The only available decision that accords with your own rational preference, as a Clinton supporter, is to vote for Obama
    You have every right, of course, not to, but no rational basis for doing

    I'll tell you what's irrational. Voting for someone who has no integrity and uses personal attacks to destroy the most qualified Democratic candidate.

    Voting for someone who claims to be the new messiah and is as slick, dirty, and sneaky as the best of them. (The Clinton's are racist?)

    Voting for someone who does not articulate solutions to the problems the next POTUS  will have to deal with. I want answers not oratory written by someone else.

    I do have principles and will not vote for someone just because they call themselves Democrats. I will not be shamed or blackmailed into voting for someone I consider unethical. Barak Obama is that man, and I will not vote for him.

    I'm okay with McCain as president if Hilary does not become the nominee.

     I don't say this out of some irrational feeling as you say. I say this as someone who is fed up with politicians who pretend to fool me into thinking they're something they're not. I will not act out of fear, so you wasted your precious attempt at manipulation and shaming.

    Parent

    The Fall Election (none / 0) (#203)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:58:08 PM EST
    will be a new ballgame.  First of all, I'm not sure that the Democratic Party which installs a nominee when traditional Democrats favor a differenent candidate will really be able to argue that we have to support that party.

    Why?  If they wish to change the direction of the party, OK, but then that means that traditional Democrats will need to reevaluate whether this is actually a good fit any longer.

    So we shall have to wait and see.

    Parent

    "traditional Democrats" (none / 0) (#212)
    by dmk47 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 08:55:18 PM EST
    The party's most loyal constituency since the 30s is untraditional. Good to know.

    Parent
    He tuns former Rs (3.66 / 3) (#10)
    by 1jpb on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:54:58 AM EST
    into proponents of liberal ideas, even to the point that some (at least one) of them is now in favor of a total overhaul of our health care system beyond the plans offered by BO and HRC.  And, now I'm very openly promoting BO as I go about living.

    For the record, my R status is tenuous, in practice.  In my high school the teacher made the class stand up with Rs on one side and Ds on the other.  I was the only R.  And, I've always been a very vocal R with friends and family.  But, I have a policy of always voting for women even if they're Ds, so I've voted for a lot of Ds, because a lot of women run in my area (e.g. in my old county the three Commissioners were all women, and our Governor and US Senators were all women.)  And, I'm not an idiot, i.e. I voted against Bush both times (although I was a campaigner for McCain in the 2000 primary.)

    The bottom line is that BO can change minds, and that's political gold.  Ds would be foolish to reject this opportunity, and I'm confident that they won't.  That's probably why I've seemed flippant to some on talkleft; I genuinely don't see any of the current chit chat altering the eventual destiny of the D primary.  It seems that my glib comments have antagonized some HRC supporters who truly think that there's hope for HRC, so I'll try to be more courteous.

    I am biased (5.00 / 7) (#14)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:58:41 AM EST
    But my take on Obama from the moment he gave the Reagan speech has only been amplified.

    I saw him that day as divisive.  I have seen absolutely nothing to change my mind.

    But then, I cut my teeth as a precinct chairperson within the Chicago politics area.  

    So I also knew exactly what he was about from the get-go.

    Parent

    Dems need to listen to him (1.00 / 1) (#27)
    by 1jpb on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:11:34 PM EST
    He was right about Rs controlling the political landscape for decades.  There was the two year anomaly at the beginning of the Clinton administration.  But, the D style (including HRC's health care tactics) are flawed.

    Rs win by framing issues, and winning support from the public, not from jumping up and down and saying their a "fighter" (never mind that the "fighter" has no large scales legislative successes where she was a key D such as Ethics/Arms Control/Gov Accoutnability.)

    If Ds won't even admit there's a problem (the public have preferred R solutions for decades) then they'll never be able to make big changes for the better of the country.  They'll just keep being naval gazing weaklings focused on what the big bad Rs will say about them and their candidates.  That's no way to run a Party and lead a nation.  Buck up!!!!

    Parent

    Why would we listen to what Republicans (5.00 / 2) (#29)
    by rooge04 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:13:09 PM EST
    like you have to say about what we need or don't need in a candidate?   And Dems look like weaklings when they act like babies after getting beat in a debate or when it's brought up that gasp! Osama bin Laden is still a threat.  Obama is acting like the weakling.  

    Parent
    Major (5.00 / 2) (#58)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:31:47 PM EST
    wuss factor operating now.

    She's whipping his whatever on that.

    And he really can't bellyache.  He's the one dodging.

    Parent

    That HRC ad was (1.00 / 6) (#43)
    by 1jpb on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:20:00 PM EST
    unwise, many Americans remember that WJC refused to take custody of UBL when it was offered.  And, the Rs would certainly make sure that Americans know this if HRC where the nominee.  They would also point out that the 9-11 report said UBL was inspired to do 9-11 because of WJC administration failures.

    HRC should not be playing the UBL card.

    Parent

    No, actually. (5.00 / 4) (#49)
    by rooge04 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:23:29 PM EST
    That ad was good.  You are aware that she WON PA right?  Also, please do NOT repeat Republican (seems like you're still in the fold!) talking points about Clinton letting bin laden get away. We know that to be absolutely false and you perpetuate RIGHT WING talking points by saying these things.   It disgusts me that Obama and his supporters feel the need to turn into Republicans and trash the Clintons in order to win.   Sounds like you're still a Republican to me. What's next? Hillary's healthcare tax?

    Parent
    Wrong. (5.00 / 3) (#56)
    by pie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:30:53 PM EST
    many Americans remember that WJC refused to take custody of UBL when it was offered.

    This was discussed in depth after that silly ABC movie.  From Think Progress:

    ThinkProgress has obtained a response to this scene from Richard Clarke, former counterterrorism czar for Bush I, Clinton and Bush II, and now counterterrorism adviser to ABC:

    1. Contrary to the movie, no US military or CIA personnel were on the ground in Afghanistan and saw bin Laden.

    2. Contrary to the movie, the head of the Northern Alliance, Masood, was no where near the alleged bin Laden camp and did not see UBL.

    3. Contrary to the movie, the CIA Director actually said that he could not recommend a strike on the camp because the information was single sourced and we would have no way to know if bin Laden was in the target area by the time a cruise missile hit it.

    In short, this scene -- which makes the incendiary claim that the Clinton administration passed on a surefire chance to kill or catch bin Laden -- never happened. It was completely made up by Nowrasteh.

    Clark was backed up by findings of the 9/11 commission.

    Parent

    Nice Straw Man!!!! (1.00 / 4) (#66)
    by 1jpb on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:41:10 PM EST
    On March 3, 1996, U.S. ambassador to Sudan, Tim Carney, Director of East African Affairs at the State Department, David Shinn, and a member of the CIA's directorate of operations' Africa division met with Sudan's then-Minister of State for Defense Elfatih Erwa in a Rosslyn, Virginia hotel room. Item number two on the CIA's list of demands was to provide information about Osama bin Laden. Five days later, Erwa met with the CIA officer and offered more than information. He offered to arrest and turn over bin Laden himself. Two years earlier, the Sudan had turned over the infamous terrorist, Carlos the Jackal to the French. He now sits in a French prison. Sudan wanted to repeat that scenario with bin Laden in the starring role.

    There is no excuse for the WJC administration not pursuing this lead.  NONE!

    Parent

    That has been debunked. (5.00 / 4) (#69)
    by pie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:45:53 PM EST
    This is one link. http://mediamatters.org/items/200406220008

    The truth is that Clinton never offered Osama bin Laden to Saudi Arabia. Hannity distorted a remark Clinton made in a speech to the Long Island Association's annual luncheon on February 15, 2002, in which Clinton said that he "pleaded with the Saudis" to accept Sudan's offer to hand bin Laden to Saudi Arabia. Sudan never offered bin Laden to the United States. Hannity's mention of "the tape" is a reference to a video of this speech. NewsMax.com obtained a video of the speech in 2002 and began hyping the supposed Clinton "admission" (see transcript and listen to the audio). In fact, Clinton did not "admit" to the Sudan offer in that speech or anywhere else. Here's the relevant portion of Clinton's remarks to the Long Island Association:

    Go ahead and read it if you dare.


    Parent

    Scary: Obama has made Repub talking points (5.00 / 2) (#72)
    by jawbone on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:51:02 PM EST
    acceptable to so many of his followers!

    Over at Eschaton, a longtime commenter I held in high regard stated as fact that Bill Clinton called Obama's presidential run a "fairy tale."

    I was there before the Obama fever spread, and that was thoroughly debunked.  But is lives on in the minds of those who have "seen the light."

    Very scary, indeed.

    Badly done, Obama, badly done.

    Parent

    Hi. jawbone! (none / 0) (#74)
    by pie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:54:20 PM EST
    If you haven't done so, read the Corrente post/comments that Jeralyn linked to.  It talks about the accuracy of the "fairy tale" comment.

    Parent
    I've read the 9-11 report before. (1.00 / 2) (#87)
    by 1jpb on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:08:05 PM EST
    It doesn't comment about the specific March meeting and follow up, except to say that in general Clinton administration officials claim that they did all they could.  But, it does acknowledge that Sudan was desperately trying to get rid of bin Laden, but they couldn't find anyone to take him, which reinforces why they offered him to the US.  And, the 9-11 report shows that the US government didn't even try to take custody of him, which directly contradicts their claim that they did all they could.  Never mind that Sudan had a recent record of extraditing terrorists to the west (Carlos the Jackal.)  And, there is no doubt that this kind of feckless approach to our enemies was taken as encouragement by bin Laden, as the 9-11 report acknowledges.

    This is a total loser strategy for HRC.

    Parent

    There's more at that link (5.00 / 1) (#92)
    by pie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:17:04 PM EST
    I posted, but you won't read it.  Go, Hillary.

    But, of course, you'll acknowledge that the Clinton administration fully briefed the Bush administration about Bin Laden and Al Qaeda, Bush ignored the contents of the Aug. 6th PDB, and apparently pretty much ignored the threat until it was too late.

    And seven years later, they still haven't caught Osama Bin Laden.

    You will acknowledge that.  Right?

    Parent

    Of course. (1.00 / 0) (#109)
    by 1jpb on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:36:55 PM EST
    The Bush administration has been a disaster.  And, I'm personally on the fence as to how negligent the WJC administration was.  Clearly they made very bad foriegn policy choices, but all administrations make a lot of bad choices.  I do find it unacceptable for HRC to use bin Laden for politicking.  

    My point is that bin Laden is not a winning issue for HRC.  And, her supporters are deluding themselves if they think that she has been exposed to the wingnut attacks that are waiting for her, because one of those attacks will be the bin Laden history.

    PS I did read all that stuff, I certainly won't defend Hannity, he's absurd.  And I did address the 9-11 clipping in your link by pointing out the other facts (contradicting administration officials' claims that they did all that was possible) that the 9-11 report also says.  I've read that report in it's entirety.

    Parent

    Next please tell me all about (5.00 / 0) (#124)
    by miguelito on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:58:16 PM EST
    how the Clintons murdered Vince Foster!!

    Obama: somehow making wingnuttery acceptable for his voters!

    Parent

    On Bin Laden (4.00 / 0) (#117)
    by pie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:47:19 PM EST
    My point is that bin Laden is not a winning issue for HRC.

    Of course it is.  Bill Clinton, despite your on-the-fence feelings, is not running for president.

    It's very much an issue for the one who wants to be the next president, if for no other reason than OBL is the symbol of the war on terrorism, as it's been marketed to the American people.  I would hope that the next president handles that "war" much, much differently.  First thing?

    Get rid of the word "war."

    Parent

    The loser is you, you've lost your credibility (5.00 / 6) (#103)
    by joc on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:30:50 PM EST
    From the 9-11 Report:

    "Former Sudanese officials claim that Sudan offered to expel Bin Laden to the United States. Clinton administration officials deny ever receiving such an offer. We have not found any reliable evidence to support the Sudanese claim.

    It acknowledges that "Sudanese officials claim" they wanted to expel bin Laden. Richard Clark said they were not serious, and they would not turn him over to the U.S.A.

    I understand that you are a Republican, and perhaps it is in your DNA to baselessly smear anyone named Clinton, but your credibility should be worth something to you. Why do you piss it away on such ridiculous drivel?

    Parent

    see my (1.00 / 0) (#112)
    by 1jpb on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:38:25 PM EST
    comments above where I point out contradictory information from the 9-11 report.

    Parent
    I saw your comments (none / 0) (#131)
    by joc on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:03:12 PM EST
    Hence my post about you pissing away your credibility.

    Parent
    Psstt.. Mohammed Atta met with (5.00 / 1) (#75)
    by MarkL on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:55:17 PM EST
     Bill Clinton, too!
    Cheney told me so.

    Funny thing.. it's possible that Atta met Jack Abramoff. He went several times to a gambling club in FL and Abramoff owned.
    cue scary music

    Parent

    have a 1 (5.00 / 1) (#57)
    by Nasarius on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:31:05 PM EST
    For lying about Bill Clinton. Do some research; that "incident" is an utter fabrication.

    Parent
    Also, it amuses me (5.00 / 2) (#67)
    by pie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:41:16 PM EST
    that people whould assume that the president would not be actively involved with those who were a threat to our country.  It wasn't the Clinton administration that failed to pursue, catch and convict terrorists who had attacked us.

    Which president did do that, however?

    Parent

    What was unwise.... (5.00 / 1) (#162)
    by Maria Garcia on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:18:35 PM EST
    ...was hyperventilating over the ad and making it out to be "scary." It was just an ad like so many others. I think Team Obama has reached the point where they've cried wolf to much. Now it only weakens them. Which is too bad because if he is the nominee, you will then see some ads from the Republicans that will actually need to be denounced.

    Parent
    I have (none / 0) (#169)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:41:37 PM EST
    no clue as to this nonsense about how that ad generated fear.

    Goodness, you'd think viewers were 10 years old and not allowed to watch grown-up TV.

    Parent

    Framing issues? (5.00 / 3) (#31)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:14:51 PM EST
    He can't even win registered Dems.

    75% are voting for Hillary.

    Dems don't get him.  You really think the youth vote will make the difference?

    Parent

    I can't stand how the youth vote is (5.00 / 3) (#41)
    by rooge04 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:19:04 PM EST
    just claimed as his. Yes, he gets most of the young people...but Hillary has a large base of support there also.  It also bothers me that it's as though new voters are only there for him! Historic!  But Hillary is chopped liver? The first viable woman candidate isn't historic? The first viable woman candidate doesn't get young people excited?  It got me excited. It got a lot of young women I know excited.  I hate how he gets credit for the youth vote while Hillary = old ladies.

    Parent
    Well.... (5.00 / 4) (#50)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:24:08 PM EST
    until she cuts into that base in a statistical sense, then he gets to win that voter bloc on the PR side.

    I understand.  She, of course, is pulling in some of the youth, too.

    And it's growing right now.  Not waning.

    The real "momentum" is with Hillary.

    No question about it.

    Parent

    So trash the Clintons (5.00 / 5) (#37)
    by sarahfdavis on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:16:58 PM EST
    How odd the Obama supporters are. They want us to listen to Obama about how great Reagan was and ALSO listen to how bad Clinton was. Clinton had the support of the Reagan Democrats. Clinton was the only Democratic candidate to break that republican grip on the white house and hold it for 2 terms! You make no sense.

    Parent
    His basic campaign premise (5.00 / 2) (#53)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:26:41 PM EST
    was off-kilter from the start.

    Clinton was the bi-partisan president, which is why the Washingon Dems still are mad.

    LOL*

    It should have been Clinton that he was lauding.

    But he had to flip that because Hillary was his opponent.

    From Day 1, his candidacy has been rooted in pretzel thinking.

    That, I say, is why the voters are not falling into line for him.

    And they won't.

    It's contrary to rational thinking.

    Parent

    Do you have any data? (1.00 / 0) (#61)
    by 1jpb on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:34:32 PM EST
    WJC was the first president to win without ever getting a majority either time.  It is not realistic to claim his victories represented the powerful wins that Reagan racked up, when WJC didn't even get a majority to vote for him.  Sorry to burst your bubble.

    Parent
    Ye gods, and you're a Republican (5.00 / 4) (#89)
    by Cream City on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:12:47 PM EST
    and don't know your own history.  Your misinformation here on recent history is bad enough.

    Finally got you pegged, though.  One of Michelle Obama's lost souls, a Republican with a gender bias who votes for women every time, even if they're Dems -- as long as it's not breaking the glass ceiling of politics with the presidency.  

    Parent

    Facts Are Irrelevant To Republican Trolls (5.00 / 0) (#167)
    by MO Blue on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:38:49 PM EST
    and I'm coming to the conclusion that is what we are dealing with here.

    Parent
    You need some brain rinsing (5.00 / 4) (#106)
    by wasabi on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:33:59 PM EST
    You need to have some serious brain cleansing because your "Republican" is showing.

    Did you ever hear of Al Gore in 2000?  He received 48.4% of the vote while the "winner" received 47.9%.

    Maybe you forgot about Richard Nixon who won in 1968 with 43.4% of the vote.  

    Then there was 1948, 1916, 1912, 1892, 1888, 1884,... etc.

    I'm not suprised that you didn't know this. Saying "WJC was the first president to win without ever getting a majority either time." just sounds so nice to say, doesn't it?

    Oh, I get it!  The bar was raised to qualify winning TWICE.   So, let's see.  There was Harry Truman who was re-elected in 1948 with 49.6% of the vote.  That doesn't quite work because he took over the job after Roosevelt died in office 3 months after he was elected to his 4th term.

    Ok.  Ya got me.  Oh, wait!  Woodrow Wilson was elected in 1912 with 41.8% and re-elected in 1916 with 49.2% of the vote.

    Whatever.  It just sounds so darn nice to rag on the Clintons.

    Parent

    Wilson, my bad n/t (none / 0) (#121)
    by 1jpb on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:53:18 PM EST
    Electability (none / 0) (#171)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:44:09 PM EST
    wasn't my point.  And neither was it the point that Obama was making in his Reagan speech.

    Parent
    Never was any mind changing. (5.00 / 4) (#20)
    by sarahfdavis on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:02:30 PM EST
    When he was simply a projector screen framed with "hope, change, unity!", he wasn't changing anyone's mind - people filled in the blanks with whatever they wanted. That's not changing minds. That's not even debating anything. Now that the blanks have begun to be filled in there will most definitely be no "mind changing".

    Parent
    Thanks for patronizing (5.00 / 3) (#25)
    by rooge04 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:08:15 PM EST
    as you say you're done patronizing.  "Supporters who truly think there's hope for HRC?"  

    Supporters like you are exactly Obama's problem. You're being rude and dismissive while you're trying to say that you'll try to be less rude and dismissive.

    And last I checked HRC won PA, TX, and OH.  Seems to me like BO is the one whose hopes are being dashed.

    Parent

    Um, (5.00 / 2) (#40)
    by pie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:18:54 PM EST
    The bottom line is that BO can change minds, and that's political gold.

    Assumes facts not in evidence.

    Parent

    Exactly. (5.00 / 1) (#44)
    by rooge04 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:21:28 PM EST
    I myself have witnessed quite a few Republican women and MEN that trust Hillary. They KNOW (even if they hated her in the 90s) that she knows what she's talking about and can get things done.  I think she's got a much broader and appealing base of support than her husband did.  And 20 year old "former" Republicans switching to Obama makes no difference to me.  Some of these are kids.  Kids that weren't even sure about politics to begin with. Now they feel like they've seen the light with Obama.

    Parent
    Changing minds cuts both ways: (5.00 / 1) (#111)
    by felizarte on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:38:22 PM EST
    FOR and against. And since Wright, Ayers and bitter/cling, I am certain many minds were changed.

    Parent
    Oh, yes he can change minds. I am not (5.00 / 0) (#46)
    by leis on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:21:35 PM EST
    a tenuous Democrat, I have NEVER voted R in my life and I never will.  However, just because I will not vote R does not mean I will vote D if I don't favor the candidate.  Bob Casey, anyone?

    And, wow awesome you were the only one who sided with R's in your class and you always vote for the women running.  Here's the thing, I didn't vote for Hillary because she is a woman, that is gravy as far as I'm concerned.

    I voted for her because she can win and she is not so completely besotted with herself that she thinks she can get to the WH by completely disregarding large portions of the Democratic base.  She continues to try and reach out to AA voters, even though she is getting her ass handed to her by them.  That my dear, is a winning attitude.

    Parent

    Well he can change minds and get some (none / 0) (#52)
    by rooge04 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:25:40 PM EST
    R's to vote Dem for him.  However, no one seems overly concerned about all the hardcore D's that he's quickly turning into McCain voters. Ya know...all those D's that were D's when Dukakis ran, when Clinton ran, and when Bush ran.  We're okay without them because we're getting some R converts like the dude above.  They'll save the party.  Or not.

    Parent
    Yes, but then whose party does it become? (none / 0) (#55)
    by leis on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:30:37 PM EST
    Hardcore Ds will not "turn into (none / 0) (#95)
    by independent voter on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:19:31 PM EST
    McCain voters". That is the opposite of hard core

    Parent
    And I would suggest Obama is not a real (5.00 / 1) (#149)
    by leis on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:51:05 PM EST
    Democrat.  You, know, cause he runs from the label ever so quickly.  See, two can play that game.

    Parent
    No, actually. (none / 0) (#133)
    by miguelito on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:03:56 PM EST
    I've been a Democrat all my life. Voted Dem, registered Dem, donated money to Dems. The crazies have taken over my party. And if Obama is nominated he will lose. If he somehow manages to be President, he'd be a disaster.  I would never vote Republican, but I know plenty of lifelong Dems who are planning on doing just that. Simply because Obama supporters try and scare us with Roe v. Wade and "OMG a REAL Dem would never vote Republcan" doesn't mean it won't actually happen.  HOw do you think Reagan won in 1984??

    Parent
    No, he does not turn "former" R's (5.00 / 0) (#155)
    by Anne on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:07:30 PM EST
    into proponents of liberal ideas, he packages his plans with R components to make them attractive to Republicans and independents.

    Many of us who consider ourselves tried-and-true liberals, and Democrats, have seen and felt this for months - which is why we consider the attaching of the "extreme liberal" label to Obama to be absurd on its face, and why we have our doubts that he is even Democratic enough to be a real advocate for Democratic issues and positions.

    Parent

    In my high school class...campaigner since 2000? (none / 0) (#35)
    by NO2WONDERBOY on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:16:18 PM EST
    How is that 1jpb? If you're in high school, you must have been 10 or 11 years old.!!!!
    Weather you're a political prodigy or not, in what segment of the population were you campaigning for McCain, third graders? LOL!

    Parent
    do you mean the Regean Dems? (none / 0) (#60)
    by angie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:32:50 PM EST
    when you say former "Rs"? because Hillary is winning them, and Obama's camp claims they don't need them.  Believe me, the dyed in the wool Rs, like my dad, aren't voting for Obama.

    Parent
    Senator Barack Obama (3.66 / 3) (#108)
    by eleanora on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:35:49 PM EST
    • is a Democrat, and America works better socially and economically for more of our citizens and the rest of the world when a Democrat is in the White House.

    • He has an amazing gift for political rhetoric, using soaring, poetical images in his speeches that resonate with so many people. Imagine how useful that skill would be to a President trying to earn support for a new program or legislation!

    • He has demonstrated that he can get massive, heartfelt support from widely disparate groups of people, and get them to unite for his cause.

    • Obama has motivated young adults to get registered and vote, to work for his campaign, to identify with and advocate for Democrats. When I was in college in the 90s, voting wasn't cool; now it is.

    • I want to see this gorgeous family walk down Pennsylvania Avenue together on Inauguration Day, waving and smiling, representing America to the world for the next eight years. Just the thought of it makes me tear up.

    • Michelle Obama would be fascinating to follow as a First Lady. What causes would she take up? How would she balance raising her family, supporting her husband's work, and performing her own duties while still maintaining her identity as a strong, independent woman? I like her and would be a big cheerleader for her every day.

    • Obama has shown us that he takes good advice (like not voting for Roberts), and he'd have the backing of many prominent Democrats to help him navigate his first year in office.

    • His policies aren't clear to me, but they're in the right ballpark. And I do feel certain that he'll get us out of Iraq as soon as possible. If he can work with Congress to get positive, Democratic policies into law, America would be a stronger, better country than she is today.


    Took me awhile to write this. (5.00 / 2) (#126)
    by eleanora on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:00:41 PM EST
    On reading the thread, I guess I misunderstood the point. Note to self: always read the links first.

    But I do really believe all those things, even though I can come up with a hundred much more specific reasons why Hillary is the better choice. I'm going to have to talk myself into working for Obama if he's the nominee, and at least I've got a start.

    Parent

    You did a good job and if I were your teacher... (5.00 / 1) (#158)
    by Maria Garcia on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:14:47 PM EST
    ...you'd be my pet because you took the assignment seriously and gave it your best. Had I a gold star icon, I'd give it to you. :-)

    Parent
    yes, it is true that there is something lovely (5.00 / 1) (#163)
    by dotcommodity on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:19:51 PM EST
    about the picture of the Obama family out in front of a lit-up WH at Christmas.

    I could get behind that image at least...

    Parent

    Well, good (1.00 / 0) (#1)
    by dmk47 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:25:48 AM EST
    On every issue for which a voter would rationally prefer Hillary Clinton to John McCain, that voter couldn't rationally prefer McCain to Obama. It's quite simple.

    But of course (1.00 / 0) (#170)
    by dmk47 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:44:02 PM EST
    The axioms of rational choice theory and basic inferential reasoning are sexist. Well done.

    Here's something interesting; you write:

    McCain presents no position I can support. Obama has made it clear that he is not interested in my vote and I find a lot of his positions unacceptable. And for those I would find acceptable, from what I have seen, he would not have the strength or backbone to push them through if faced with opposition.

    And you conclude:

    HRC > JMcC = BO

    Unfortunately, even with this absurd loading of the deck, your conclusion still doesn't follow. What follows (assuming you don't attribute yourself omniscience and hold beliefs probabilistically) is that Obama > McCain, but only marginally. Even so, the premises are just blatantly false. If you find many of Obama's positions unacceptable, you find many of Clinton's positions unacceptable. You don't find many of Clinton's positions unacceptable. Therefore you don't find Obama's positions unacceptable.

    (There is a de re/de dicto ambiguity that your argument exploits. You believe (de dicto) the proposition that many of Obama's positions are unacceptable to you. You believe (de re) of Obama's positions that they are acceptable to you, because you believe that of Clinton's positions and their positions are almost uniformly the same. This having been pointed out to you, you should reflect on the de dicto belief and amend it.)

    The argument you make, as presented, together with evident background facts, results in an obvious contradiction.

    Now I confess to having no clue about how to argue with irrationality and contradictory reasoning. Literally anything follows from it. You might as well just accept my points, since by the lights of your own argument, you have no more or less warrant to accept my claims than to maintain your own.

    My guess is that all this nonsense will evaporate once there's a Democratic nominee; if it doesn't we're screwed anyway.

    To the commenter who suggested you could set up a preference structure that would read Clinton > McCain > Obama without violating any rational choice axioms; yes that's true, but it would be utterly unmotivated. I'm trying to give Clinton supporters more credit than that.

    There is reason to be optimistic that when the fog of uncertainty is gone and it's one Democrat against John McCain, all this nonsense will evaporate. If not, we're likely already screwed either way.

    Here's the

    Is your degree in Arrogant Jargon Theory? (5.00 / 1) (#175)
    by Dr Molly on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 04:00:42 PM EST
    Dear God.

    "The axioms of rational choice theory and basic inferential reasoning..."

    "There is a de re/de dicto ambiguity that your argument exploits."

    "To the commenter who suggested you could set up a preference structure that would read..."

    If you think you're going to impress and influence people here with your Logic and Empiricism 101 catchphrases, I humbly submit that you will be disappointed.

    Parent

    Thanks, Dr Molly (5.00 / 1) (#179)
    by ChrisM on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 04:27:23 PM EST
    I know we're supposed to be the low-information, uneducated voters here but bombarding people with jargon may pass for superior intellectual reasoning skills where this BO's supporter usually posts.

    Here, we can see it for what it is: sexist and arrogant contempt.

    Parent

    How about you come off it? (1.00 / 0) (#191)
    by dmk47 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:13:34 PM EST
    There is nothing remotely sexist in what I said. The argument applies to male and female Clinton supporters contemplating sitting out or voting for McCain; it applies equally to male and female Obama supporters contemplating sitting out or voting for McCain if Clinton's the nominee, who, in that case, would be behaving in a similarly selfish, irresponsible, and irrational manner.

    Parent
    Nope, philosophy (1.00 / 0) (#183)
    by dmk47 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 04:51:56 PM EST
    And to think, after all this graduate work, I'm only getting credit for first year courses.

    Suppose you're thinking of the number 17.

    You say, "Necessarily, the number I'm thinking of is prime."

    That could mean one of two things.

    (1) "The proposition that I'm thinking of a prime number is necessary."

    (2) "The number I'm thinking of is necessarily prime."

    (1) is a de dicto statement (and it's false; you could think of a non-prime number or none at all).

    (2) is a de re statement (and it's true; 17 is necessarily prime, and by stipulation, you're thinking of 17).

    Another example:

    The morning star and the evening star are the same thing --- the planet Venus. Suppose you were alive before the discovery that they are the same.

    You look at the morning star, and form the belief that it's the last heavenly body visible in the morning. You see the evening star, and form the belief that it is certainly not the last heavenly body visible in the morning.

    Then, take this statement: "Dr. Molly believes that the evening star is the last heavenly body visible in the morning." Interpreted de dicto, that's false; you don't believe the proposition that the evening star is the last heavenly body visible in the morning. Interpreted de re, it's true. The morning star = the evening star. You believe of that thing, i.e., Venus, that it's the last heavenly body visible in the morning.

    This ambiguity is rife in ordinary language and leads to all sorts of fallacies of equivocation, so it's worth rooting out.

    For example, IIRC ChrisM said that many of Obama's positions are unacceptable to her.

    Interpreted de dicto (i.e. of the statement or proposition), that means that she believes the proposition that many of Obama's positions are unacceptable to her.

    Interpreted de re (i.e. of the thing), that means she believes, of Obama's positions, that they are unacceptable to her. But that's clearly false. The differences between Clinton's and Obama's positions are trifling and largely a matter of rhetoric and emphasis.

    Anyway, as I said, I have no idea how to influence someone committed to contradictory reasoning, or even what that would mean, since contradictory reasoning licenses any conclusion. I'm operating on the hope --- the audacity of hope, you might say --- that all this nonsense about sitting out or voting for McCain against either Democrat will stop abruptly once there's a nominee.

    Parent

    Here is contradictory reasoning for you.... (5.00 / 0) (#207)
    by FlaDemFem on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 06:41:50 PM EST
    Voting for an unqualified candidate because he has a penis. Not voting for a qualified candidate because she doesn't have one. Two examples of contradictory reasoning, just for you. Heh.

    Parent
    so you will (5.00 / 0) (#209)
    by isaac on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 07:27:37 PM EST
    be supporting clinton if she is the nominee?

    Parent
    Yes! (none / 0) (#211)
    by dmk47 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 08:42:00 PM EST
    Yes, I will be supporting Clinton if she is the nominee, and if any Obama supporters are selfish, irresponsible, and irrational enough to contemplate sitting out or voting for McCain, I will tell them that they are being selfish, irresponsible, and irrational.

    Upthread: It couldn't possibly be that I prefer Obama to Clinton on foreign policy, marginally on trade and education, and think their domestic policy platforms are largely a wash (but prefer Obama on handling the mortgage fiasco and  health care --- yes I know the latter puts me out of the Dem mainstream), and am thrilled about Austan Goolsbee and Larry Lessig's influence. It couldn't be that I think the presidency is a sui generis position for which years of experience as a legislator provide very marginal training, if any, and so myriad other factors like (ahem) platform and assessments of the way candidates think about problems are a lot more informative. It couldn't be that I think a candidate proposing to contest 50 states, and has the fundraising machine to do it, will do a lot for downticket prospects to help pad out the congressional majorities necessary to get anything meaningful done. Relatedly, it couldn't be that I am more persuaded by Obama's history of smilingly strongarming Republicans and calling it "bipartisanship" to the more overtly confrontational approaches Edwards and Clinton laid out. It couldn't be, conversely, that I'm slightly concerned about the suggestion the Clinton camp seems to me to be making that passing health care reform is simply a function of electing the right president. Relatedly, it couldn't be that I'm slightly concerned about the signals the Clinton camp has sent that Hillary doesn't really recognize any methodological flaws in her approach to health care reform in 1993 (which, if true, obviously doesn't bode well for other items on her agenda). It couldn't be, finally, that I'm not a big fan of being told that 2+2=5 25 hours a day.

    Nor could it be that despite my preference for Obama and handful of concerns about Clinton's approach to governance and the way she has campaigned, that I would never entertain the thought of  doing anything to improve John McCain's chances of beating the Democratic nominee, nor be so self-absorbed and infantile that I think, knowing what I know about the crimes and blunders of the last eight years and what's likely to come in a McCain administration, that my obligation to vote for the Democratic nominee stands or falls with his or her willingness to pander to me.

    Nope, it's none of that. It's the penis. I'm voting for the penis. You nailed me.

    Other upthread: All the foregoing reasons for my preference for Obama are open to debate. I would be more than happy to talk things over calmly and amiably with any Clinton supporter --- provided that he or she left no doubt that he or she would vote for the Democratic nominee in either case. (You've read Kripke so you know all about scopes of quantifiers. My argument is fairly obviously restricted to Clinton supporters contemplating or having already decided to sit out or vote McCain.)

    I don't respect something that has no respect.
     

    Parent

    Uh, excuse me, (none / 0) (#208)
    by Cassius Chaerea on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 06:55:07 PM EST
    some of us have also read Kripke. So we're not impressed by the jargon.

    You might try learning something about interpersonal relations, next.

    Parent

    For sure (none / 0) (#2)
    by coolit on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:25:53 AM EST
    I will definitely support him if he is our nominee.  He is much, much better than McCain and I would have no problem with Obama as our President.  I just hope it's Hillary.  But let's keep it calm, he is still a very good candidate.

    How is he a good candidate? (5.00 / 2) (#13)
    by sarahfdavis on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:58:18 AM EST
    I could recite the list of why he is a bad candidate.
    I don't know why he is a good candidate.

    Parent
    I think he's an awful candidate. (none / 0) (#28)
    by rooge04 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:11:40 PM EST
    Through and through.

    Parent
    I guess it's good (5.00 / 2) (#88)
    by coolit on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:11:17 PM EST
    that everyone here is very pro-clinton through and through.  She needs a lot of help if she is going to  get past the pervasive anti-clinton sentiment in the media. And lord knows there are enough pro-obama blogs.

    However, I really am turned off by the angry rhetoric that spews towards the other candidate from both sides.  The fact is, the two of them are very, very similar in terms of foreign and domestic policy.

    They would both be historic candidates. They would both move us in a positive progressive direction.  They would both represent the democratic party very well.

    Cooler heads will prevail after the nominee is selected.

    Parent

    Blogs request a truce? (none / 0) (#101)
    by Chimster on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:28:45 PM EST
    However, I really am turned off by the angry rhetoric that spews towards the other candidate from both sides.

    I'll see your statement and raise you one. Why don't some of the blogs begin a truce or cease-fire between Dem candidates. They can talk about anything they want except the other Dem candidate. John McCain and his straight talk are ripe for attack. Let's start this bi-nominee assault upon John McCain rather than each other.

    Parent

    I'm not sure (none / 0) (#107)
    by coolit on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:34:13 PM EST
    It doesn't really make too much sense to me to ask the  grass roots of the democratic party to stop campaigning for their candidate in the middle of a contentious primary.  But I will agree with your sentiment.  Maybe the hosts of the more vitriolic blogs could make a pledge to try to actively unite the party after the winner is chosen.

    Parent
    They "would" campaign (none / 0) (#116)
    by Chimster on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:46:29 PM EST
    for their candidate. All topics would be open to talk about except the other democratic opponent. It would be like pretending there was no other candiate running against them. They'd talk about themselves and how they would defeat the repubs.

    Parent
    Nice try (5.00 / 1) (#130)
    by coolit on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:02:50 PM EST
    I can see where you're going with that.  Unfortunately, it's pretty transparent.  Clearly Obama has campaigned about hope and "a different kind of politics."  So this no personal confrontation thing would be perfect for him.  He could just have his surrogates infer that Hillary is a racist.  

    Hillary, who is up front (and will confront you to your face instead of behind your back in secret with  a knife) would then be disarmed while he continued to savage her in the shadows.

    No thanks.

    Parent

    You watch too much KO (none / 0) (#137)
    by Chimster on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:10:41 PM EST
    "Hillary, who is up front would then be disarmed while he continued to savage her in the shadows."

    No more watching Countdown for you.

    Parent

    uhhh (none / 0) (#139)
    by coolit on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:17:02 PM EST
    there are too many things wrong with what you said to even list

    Parent
    What's to love? (none / 0) (#11)
    by Iphie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 11:56:12 AM EST
    VastLeft's breakdown of all of the things we know about Obama and his record using high-tech devices such as a comparison of words vs. actions (and words vs. words) and that tricky device known as the calendar.

    What else is there to love? Elizabeth Edwards.

    delema (none / 0) (#17)
    by Gillian on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:01:02 PM EST
    When I watch Obama speak, I feel inspired to become a better person.  When I watch Hillary speak, it makes me want to get even.  So now I'm wondering which one would make a better world leader...

    More empty la la la stuff (5.00 / 2) (#23)
    by sarahfdavis on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:07:58 PM EST
    Obama inspires me to turn off the teevee. What the heck does "be a better person" mean? So you want to get even with Hillary? Who does she 'inspire' you to get even with. She inspires a lot of folks to  have some spine and fight for themselves. Yes, she is a fighter. If you think anything less is going to get any progressive agenda through your dangerously naive.

    Parent
    Interesting first comment (5.00 / 1) (#48)
    by waldenpond on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:22:54 PM EST
    I read the 'inspired to become a better person' and didn't know if you were joshing or not so I looked up your comments and there was nothing there.

    Interesting one inspires (gasp, swoon) feeling in you.  I am inspired by the other to take action.  (Politics, education, health care)  I stay legislatively involved by keeping my reps on their toes, I have done volunteer work in the acct course at our local high school, and work as a budget analyst for a non-profit health care system etc.

    The differences between the candidates and who they attract as supporters is becoming more obvious by the day.

    Parent

    Be a better person and get even (5.00 / 1) (#94)
    by Cream City on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:19:17 PM EST
    against Hillary?  That must have you so morally confused.  (But there is no moral confusion about correct spelling, fortunately.)

    Parent
    So the Obama inspiration doesn't last very long... (none / 0) (#165)
    by Maria Garcia on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:27:44 PM EST
    ...if you can't be a better person long enough to hear Hillary speak without feeling vengeful. Just saying.

    Parent
    obama (none / 0) (#21)
    by confloyd on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:03:04 PM EST
    I will not support Obama as President, I am so mad at how they have talked about Bill Clinton and Hillary that I can't support him in his bid for President. I don't like what his supporters have said and done. There is nothing I like about Obama or his supporters. At first, I was only going to support and vote for McCain if Obama is the nominee, but now I am not only going to support McCain with my vote and my money, but I will vote a STRAIGHT REPUBLICAN TICKET, something this 57 year old has never done. Thats how strongly I feel about Obama's nomination!!

    Not there yet (none / 0) (#59)
    by DaleA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:31:53 PM EST
    but can see it coming. At this point, I will not vote for any vocal Obama supporter. Sad, feel really bad about this. But here I am.

    Parent
    while i respect your emotions, (none / 0) (#70)
    by dws3665 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:46:38 PM EST
    i seriously question your judgment. if you can't support obama, that's your choice. but how that translates into a vote for mccain is completely mystifying.

    Parent
    What is mystifying (5.00 / 2) (#119)
    by miriam on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:49:06 PM EST
    about the fact that McCain is an adult?   My greatest fear of Obama is that he is a juvenile romantic in his thinking and in his arrogance.  In that respect he resembles George Bush.  Obama is a naif when it comes to reality and that is an unacceptably dangerous quality in a world that does not respond to sweetness and light.  Obama supporters share this with their candidate: They see the world as they want to see it, not as it is.  The very fact that Obama can throw out a litany of America's social wrongs, yet cannot decide on or describe specific paths to correct them other than promoting "Unity" and "Hope" is terrifying in its simplistic implications.  

    Parent
    Easy! (5.00 / 3) (#122)
    by felizarte on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:54:03 PM EST
    It shows how much I oppose the idea of an inexperienced man, who could be a trojan horse for many unsavory characters; who can be manipulated because he really does not have the experience about the federal govt.; his supporters have threatened to literally "burn the house down" if he is not the nominee.

    Why should I vote for him, when there are two other candidates more qualified than him.  Say what you must about McCain, but he has shown courage in taking stands against the republican party; bipartisanship and was an opponent of George W. Bush.  Perhaps he has had to modify his stance to get his party's base of support; but contrast that with Obama who has shown no compunction whatsoever in misrepresenting/distorting the fine record of the only two-term democratic president of recent history.

    It is his character I question, even as he has been attacking Hillary Clinton's character with innuendoes.  

    If the democrats lose this election, it is through their own fault.  They have not learned how to win presidential elections like Bill Clinton.  Perhaps they need another four years to do that if they nominate Barack Obama who has proven the saying: "familiarity breeds contempt.

    Nevertheless, Clinton will be the nominee and she will win the whitehouse through a majority of votes for her in the primaries.  She will be an excellent president and will fight for the wel-lbeing of ALL Americans.  

    Parent

    Location, location, location (none / 0) (#145)
    by Jane in CA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:36:40 PM EST
    It's all about geography. If you don't live in a battleground state, you have the luxury of voting for McCain to make a very strong point.

    For example, California and New York are simply not going to go red.  Therefore, if I wanted to make a statement by casting a vote for McCain, it would really be just that: a rhetorical statement.  It's not going to substantively change anything about my state's outcome.

    Parent

    While I in Massachusetts (none / 0) (#184)
    by misspeach2008 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 04:55:44 PM EST
    can really make a difference!  

    Parent
    Obama will be like Reagan (none / 0) (#24)
    by Manuel on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:08:14 PM EST
    but with better policies overall.  Like Reagan Obama isn't detail oriented.  He will concentrate on commnunicating his administration's plans to the public.  The risk is that unlike Reagan he won't be able to maintain the illusion long enough to have an effective presidency.  Also, unlike Reagan, his team of advisors will not be as united.

    Reagan was awful. (5.00 / 2) (#30)
    by rooge04 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:14:16 PM EST
    LOL* (5.00 / 1) (#36)
    by AnninCA on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:16:22 PM EST
    I agree.  It flusters me when I hear him described as the great communicator.

    He never said a dang thing that made much sense to me.

    Parent

    There was a thing we used to do (5.00 / 1) (#73)
    by FlaDemFem on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:51:16 PM EST
    with Reagan's speeches. It came about due to an article about how to take out fluff and filler and end up with the meat of the speech, ie. what the actual message was. When you did that with most of Reagan's speeches, you ended up with nothing left after taking out the fluff and filler. Obama is the same way. All puff pastry, no filling.

    Parent
    Reagan was awful (none / 0) (#68)
    by Manuel on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:42:29 PM EST
    but he was very effective in advancing the conservative agenda.  Obama hopes to do the same for the progressive agenda.  Personally, this is not the strategy I prefer.  However, this is the strategy Obama and Dean seem to be pursuing.

    Parent
    Barack Obama (5.00 / 1) (#71)
    by dws3665 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:48:19 PM EST
    is NOT progressive, no matter what his blogospheric supporters may say. They are "huff"ing (pun intended) the glue of "change and hope."

    Parent
    Obama isn't running as a progressive (5.00 / 2) (#91)
    by joc on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:15:01 PM EST
    Obama hopes to do the same for the progressive agenda.

    What evidence do you have of this? He's been running well to the right of Hillary throughout the primary. Talking about how the Republican's were the "party of ideas" in the nineties, and taking tax cues from Ronald Reagan (see today's FOX interview).

    A strong progressive platform is not what he is playing up. Thus, if he even tries to move to the left should he get elected, he has given the Republicans ammunition to use against him, by pointing to his own election rhetoric.

    Parent

    It's relative (none / 0) (#102)
    by Manuel on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:30:27 PM EST
    Both Obama and Clinton fit confortably in the center of the party.  We have made progress, however.  It is ironic that Clinton is preferred by moderate and conservative democrats while Obama appeals more to Republicans and Independents.  The real question for an Obama presidency is who will have the influence.  If he can really get Republican support for health care improvements and a new greener energy policy there is hope.  As I said, I am not sure it will work but that is my best hope.


    Parent
    Empty hope (5.00 / 2) (#113)
    by joc on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:38:53 PM EST
    You do realize that Obama voted for the Bush-Cheney Energy Bill, don't you?

    You do realize that Obama is campaigning against universal health care, don't you?

    The ideas he will get Republicans to sign off on for health care and energy policy are the ones Republicans want. If you are a Democrat you won't get anything during an Obama presidency on these issues. The Republicans will form a brick wall, and force whichever Democrat wins in November to beat it down. The Clinton's did that in the latter half of the 90s. With a Democratic Congress they can do even more. Anytime Obama does anything remotely partisan (which is the only way greener energy policy is going to happen) the Republicans will scream to high heaven that he is breaking his promises. And the media will eat it up.

    Parent

    McCain would be worse (none / 0) (#118)
    by Manuel on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:47:23 PM EST
    At least with Obama there will be more avenues for influencing his decisions.

    Don't think for a minute there would not be a big difference between McCain and Obama.  The Nader supporters taught us that lesson in 2000.


    Parent

    The Nader supporters (5.00 / 1) (#134)
    by miguelito on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:05:45 PM EST
    are Obama's biggest cheerleaders. The Nader supporters told us that Bush and Gore were one and the same.  Now they're the ones telling me that Obama will change Washington.  I do not trust the Nader supporters. They are the fringe and cannot win elections to save their lives.

    Parent
    They were wrong then (none / 0) (#141)
    by Manuel on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:28:24 PM EST
    They may be right now if they vote for Obama instead of Nader against McCain.  We don't want to make the same mistake they made even if the difference between McCain and Obama are not what we would like.

    Parent
    Fortunately, there is a better alternative (none / 0) (#125)
    by joc on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:00:15 PM EST
    Her name is Hillary.

    Parent
    I agree (none / 0) (#140)
    by Manuel on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:24:40 PM EST
    but I thought this thread wasn't about Hillary.

    Parent
    There will be no avenues to influence Obama (none / 0) (#160)
    by lambert on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:16:50 PM EST
    If he wanted our votes, he would have asked for them.

    Parent
    Are You Are You A Big Fan Of Liquified Coal? (none / 0) (#172)
    by MO Blue on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:54:15 PM EST
    Obama thought it was a great idea when he introduced a bill for it. Gore BTW though it was a horrible idea. Luckily Obama found out that his stance might impede his presidential ambitions, so he dropped his support. Funny thing though, once a president actually gets into office he often goes back to the policies dropped prior to the election.

    Parent
    I don't believe that. (none / 0) (#166)
    by Maria Garcia on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:29:32 PM EST
    Nothing Obama has said or done has convinced me that he will push a progressive agenda.

    Parent
    this argument (5.00 / 1) (#47)
    by angie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:22:26 PM EST
    isn't persuading me that Obama will be better than McCain.

    Parent
    The advisors (none / 0) (#63)
    by Manuel on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 12:36:46 PM EST
    The people advising Obama will be more to our liking than those advising McCain.  This may make a difference but only if the democratic party exhibits a previously unseen unity of purpose.

    Parent
    Maybe (5.00 / 1) (#86)
    by angie on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:07:05 PM EST
    but you are asking me to take that on faith -- Obama has repeatedly said he would have Repub. advising him, so how is that going to be "more to our liking"? I can only judge by what I see him doing and he already has one guy "advising" him who wants to privatize social security -- that doesn't assure me that his advisors will be to my liking. Also, I know that McCain has bucked his fellow Repubs. on more then one occasion -- that's why they don't much like him. I'm not saying McCain will be better then Obama just that Obama hasn't proven to me that he will be better than McCain. There is time for him to do it if he gets the nomination, so I'm not dismissing voting for him out of hand. But, I agree with Truman -- when you give people a choice between a real Repub. and a person who acts like a Repub, people will vote for the real thing.  

    Parent
    Reagan and Tip (none / 0) (#114)
    by Manuel on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:40:38 PM EST
    Didn't Reagan make a big deal of consulting with Tip O'Neil? Every president tries to find one or two cabinet posts for members of the other party.  Bill Clinton had a Republican as secretary of defense.  Don't worry too much about what Obama says about this now.  Yes, I find his post partisan strategy inferior to Hillary's more honest approach (that is why I support her) but I am hopeful that this posturing won't affect the basic direction of the country.  I do worry about the potential for it all to come crashing down.

    Parent
    Think You Better Go Do Some More Research On (none / 0) (#174)
    by MO Blue on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 03:58:14 PM EST
    his advisors. If he takes their advise, there will be a lot of unhappy people.

    Parent
    Oh, Iran/Contra II? (5.00 / 1) (#104)
    by BarnBabe on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:31:01 PM EST
    Like allowing a Oliver North to throw him under the bus because he could not remember things or was not involved at all? And how did everything get by #41? He was still getting daily CIA briefings and friends at the company. Gore was mocked for being a hands on detailed person. GW was not hands on. He was more a 'sounds good, let's go with it'. I have read that Hillary is very hands on and she wants to know the complete background too. She would go to GOP Senator's offices uninvited and ask them questions to get the total picture. BHO did not even know that his friend was a slum lord in his own district. Didn't he even visit the people there? To see how they were living? No detail, huh. And that will be a GOP ad in the GE.

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    No he won't (none / 0) (#115)
    by Edgar08 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 01:43:23 PM EST
    He won't be anything like Reagan.


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    Does any one else have these feelings (none / 0) (#143)
    by Saul on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:29:28 PM EST
    I think that Obama, Jesse Jackson Jr and Deval Patrick had their sites on high offices very early on..  Somehow I get the impression that one day these guys got together and had a private meeting.  The purpose of the meeting was how to get to the highest offices without having to pay our tenure dues and move up the political ladder like every one of their predecessor has.  I think they discussed that since they knew the Bush era was a disaster they could easily sway the masses to this new hope ideology.  Of course people will listen when they are down and out. I feel they took advantage of this situation and played their strategy accordingly.  They also said we are going to use the Martin Luther approach also.  People love Martin. They love his type of rhetoric especially the AA.   We'll mimic Martin's  style of rhetoric and sway the masses to our side. We will also bring the Kennedy charisma and use some of his famous sayings that people loved so much in order not to polarize ourselves as the angry black candidate.   They also said we need to this now and fast.  We will play on people's emotions for hope.  It was more like a revival church approach.  People got into a  rock star frenzy rather than looking at a candidate in a political campaign.  People did not take time out to really  learn who they were they just loved the rhetoric.  They fell in love with the rhetoric and were blinded by it.   They felt there was no need to investigate the candidates since they were to emotionally involved.  They also said we need to hit the young voters, like the collegiate group, they will not ask questions they will just follow like people in a cult or following a rock group.  Most of the old voters will take time out to question things, however although we want them they are not our first priority.  I think they planned this very carefully.  Also Obama quick jumps from 2 year freshman as Illinois Senator, then running for U.S. Congressman, then running for U.S. sentors shows a pattern of overly ambitious person.  Like a person wanting to get from kindergarten to his PhD without going to any of the schools in between.

    Nothing wrong with seeking political office but if you planned very carefully on how to  fool the people in who you really are then that is wrong and you were misrepresenting you campaign of hope.  If you did that then  you were  only seeking the office of the presidency not to do good for the American people but to satisfy your own ego.

    What galvanized my thinking that they colluded  in this way was when Obama lost Massachusetts.  Why did he lose it and why did he lose it by double digits.   He had Ted Kennedy, Jacqueline Kennedy, Kerry, and Gov Patrick endorsing him.  How could you lose with that backing.  After the Massachusetts primary I called the Boston papers and several of them told me that it was not so much a vote for Hilary as it was a vote against Gov Patrick.  Apparently, Gov Patrick wasn't doing so good on his campaign promises before he got elected. Plus he already had some scandals on his new job.  He requested a Cadillac instead of the Ford they had for the Gov personal use.  Then he ran up a bill on changing the curtains in his Gov mansion.  The people of Massachusetts said we saw the pretty rhetoric  of Patrick and we were swayed by it and so we voted for him but now  we know who he really is and we feel Obama is just a clone of Patrick.  Fool me once shame on you.  Fool me twice than shame on me

    I might be wrong but I feel something like this transpired as I follow this democratic nomination process.  What say you?

    Note Patrick's current approval rating (none / 0) (#148)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 02:46:05 PM EST
    Link to SurveyUSA

    Makes one wonder about Axelrod candidates.

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    One Of The Main Reasons That Obama Is Doing (5.00 / 1) (#176)
    by MO Blue on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 04:00:51 PM EST
    so poorly in MA is that they have seen this PR presentation before and found the product not to their liking after the purchased it.

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    One Of The Main Reasons That Obama Is Doing (none / 0) (#177)
    by MO Blue on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 04:01:43 PM EST
    so poorly in MA is that they have seen this PR presentation before and found the product not to their liking after the purchased it.

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    ZOMG! (none / 0) (#186)
    by flyerhawk on Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 05:02:48 PM EST
    The blacks are conspiring against us!!!  They have secret meetings and use Martin Luther King against us like a magical sword that can smote people using white guilt.

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