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On Flip Flops And Contrast

Both Barack Obama and John McCain have a closetful of flip flops on issues. What is interesting about the flip flops is McCain has flip flopped towards the right - on the Bush tax cuts, on torture, on immigration, on everything. There is no moving to the "middle" for McCain. There is only moving to the far right. He is really running for Bush's third term. Obama's flip flops have him moving to the right as well, aligning him closer to Bush's third term, instead of making clear he will be a break from the extremism of the Bush years.

It is as if Obama has an inner Dick Morris he is listening to. McCain playing to his base will not be covered as pandering. Obama should consider that for a moment. That perhaps honoring his own base will be seen as a moment of strength for him. In Nigel Hamilton's book on Bill Clinton, "Mastering the Presidency", Hamilton describes the inner cowardice of Morris, who advised Clinton to cave in to Newt Gingrich even though Morris' own polling told him that Clinton was winning that battle in political terms:

The [1995] budget showdown was permitting the President's somewhat blurry presidential image to become clear - at last. "Bill Clinton's image had not come into sharp focus for most Americans," even his press secretary Mike McCurry, later admitted. "Who is this guy? Where is he on the political spectrum?" How does he relate to me and my needs? [The government shutdown battle] was the moment in which they finally said, 'He's fighting for these things I care about. He's fighting against these Republicans in Congress who want to take the country in a direction I don't believe in.'"

Dick Morris . . . was now hoist on his own petard. A coward by nature, he hated the shutdown of the government, which he feared might backfire politically. Yet Morris' own polls suggested the President should hold firm rather than give in. Day by day the President's approval improved as those of the Republican leaders dropped. By mid-November [1995], Bill Clinton's overall approval rating as President was over 52% - his highest for 18 months. Gingrich's favorability rating, by contrast, had dropped to 25%.

(Emphasis supplied.) Bill Clinton had appeared strong by standing up to the Republicans. He looked as if he stood for something, and he explained what that something was. It amazes me that Democrat have never understood the political significance of what happened in that episode.

Obama's inner Dick Morris is leading him down a terrible path politically. Yesterday, the NYTimes Ed Board wrote:

We are not shocked when a candidate moves to the center for the general election. But Mr. Obama’s shifts are striking because he was the candidate who proposed to change the face of politics, the man of passionate convictions who did not play old political games.

There are still vital differences between Mr. Obama and Senator John McCain on issues like the war in Iraq, taxes, health care and Supreme Court nominations. We don’t want any “redefining” on these big questions. This country needs change it can believe in.

What is unstated in the editorial is the lack of confidence that there will not be changes regarding those "vital differences." Obama now appears a "finger in the wind" pol (forget whether he is or not.) He does not appear ready to stand for anything. And that is a dangerous image for a pol. Indeed, it is the typical image of the Dem running for President. Bill Clinton helped himself overcome that image by standing strong on the government shutdown against Newt Gingrich.

Obama needs to overcome his inner Dick Morris, or he could find a way to lose this unloseable election - which would make him the biggest Dem loser of all time.

By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only

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    I don't think he can lose to McCain (5.00 / 1) (#2)
    by Dr Molly on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:05:03 AM EST
    given current circumstances. Or at least it would be difficult to.

    And I think he knows that. Therefore, he can say or do whatever he wants.

    Agree and disagree (5.00 / 2) (#8)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:08:37 AM EST
    I think he can not lose either, thanks to Bush.

    But I do not believe he is "doing whatever he wants." I think he is acting in a way he thinks maximizes his chances to win.

    I think he is wrong. He needs to stop listening to his inner Dick Morris.

    Parent

    BTD, you have been (5.00 / 5) (#57)
    by coolit on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:42:25 AM EST
    stressing for a while how some Dems try to flee from their ideals to please as many people as possible.  It ends up pleasing nobody because it looks like they wont actually stand up for anything they believe in.  Like you said, that's what made Clinton such a master.  He figured out his stance and then stuck with it.

    Obama better figure this out very quick or he's gonna come down with a bad case of Kerryitis and become as unelectable as John Kerry was.  

    Parent

    I think their ideals change (none / 0) (#170)
    by joanneleon on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:34:50 AM EST
    when they acquire money and power, and spend a lot of their time with others who are privileged.  Or at least they forget why they had such ideals.  I think this is true for too many of them, but not all.

    Parent
    This is a very dangerous assumption to make (5.00 / 4) (#131)
    by americanincanada on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:46:17 AM EST
    both for us and for the Obama team.

    Everytime we think we can't lose we manage to find a way to do just that. We have already nominated the inferior candidate...does he have to run an inferior campaign that thumbs it's nose at progressive ideals as well?

    Parent

    I don't think it's a dangerous assumption at all (5.00 / 1) (#150)
    by Dr Molly on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:59:16 AM EST
    Never have I seen a candidate given such a free pass by the admiring media, progressives, and democrats. I believe there is nothing he could say or do at this point that would make these people not vote for him. If he started saying tomorrow "I won't cut and run in Iraq" and "I don't believe in socialized medicine", everyone would just start rationalizing the true wisdom of Obama. He will win. It's a given IMO.

    Parent
    I disagree, it is very dangerous... (4.50 / 4) (#186)
    by IzikLA on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:06:54 PM EST
    Remember that, despite the admiring media the likes of which we've never seen, Clinton clobbered him in many states even after it was stated time and time again that the race was wrapped up and it was mathematically impossible for her to win.  That should raise some red flags and instead we are ignoring them.  

    I agree that the worst mistake we could make is to think we have this in the bag.  Despite all the polls I think this is going to be a lot tougher than we are anticipating.  

    Also, to me it feels like the excitement has faded.  It faded towards the end of the primaries and it doesn't seem to have picked back up.  He's also not doing anything to fire up his base right now, quite the opposite, he is "refining" his positions in ways that are not pleasing many of us.

    I am no die-hard Obama supporter but I certainly don't want McCain in the White House.  Let's please NOT assume this time that this election is ours.

    Parent

    You may be right (5.00 / 0) (#198)
    by Dr Molly on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:27:46 PM EST
    but I don't think so. Did Obama lose votes to Clinton in spite of everything? Yes. Will he lose votes to McCain? I don't think so - not the way the MSM, the dems in power, and the progressive netroots are committed to propping him what no matter what he does.

    Parent
    You are right about the excitement fading (5.00 / 3) (#200)
    by BernieO on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:31:54 PM EST
    Just look at his numbers. He is barely ahead of McCain in the polls in spite of the fact the the public is completely disgusted with Bush and the Republicans. He should be polling in the 60's at least, not the 40's. That is really a bad sign.

    I get so frustrated when the media accepts McCain's catering to his base while endorsing Obama's turning on his. The result is that people to the left of center have no one representing them. This pushes the discussion to the right AGAIN, further legitimizing the right's world view. Our votes are taken for granted which is ridiculous. I would bet there is as much danger of people on the left, particularly Hillary supporters, defecting as there are people on the far right rejecting McCain in November.

    Parent

    even so (none / 0) (#107)
    by Edgar08 on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:29:28 AM EST
    theres always his legacy to think about.

    And the actual business of being a better than crappy president.

    Parent

    Any day now I expect (5.00 / 7) (#7)
    by Lahdee on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:08:02 AM EST
    to see this
    In a continuation of his move to the Center/Right Barack Obama's campaign announced today that he'll be giving his acceptance speech outdoors, in Minneapolis, during the Republican National Convention.


    He is, I hear (2.00 / 1) (#113)
    by gyrfalcon on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:34:08 AM EST
    planning to give his acceptance speech in Denver not in the convention hall but a big outdoor stadium that seats 75,000.  The normal sort of coronation isn't enough for him, apparently.

    Parent
    How many Dems were at (5.00 / 2) (#137)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:50:23 AM EST
    Kennedy's "coronation" in 1960 at the LA Coliseum?  

    And what is the proper limit on audience numbers lest it be deemed by some an unseemly coronation?

    Perhaps too Obama shouldn't actually deliver his acceptance speech, since that might unduly rouse people's emotions and hopes, which would be bad, and instead merely show up and waive to the crowd and then deliver a printed handout to attendees.  Just anticipating some possible objections here to his style of speechifying and audience reaction.

    But please help me out here on what you deem proper.  I'm young and have so much to learn.

    Parent

    I think that's a good thing. (none / 0) (#171)
    by joanneleon on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:38:06 AM EST
    More people can attend.

    Parent
    Heh (none / 0) (#9)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:09:06 AM EST
    The flip flopping wouldn't be possible (5.00 / 7) (#23)
    by Jim J on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:21:12 AM EST
    without the adoring complicity of his starstruck followers. I took a trip to a certain orange-tinted blog last night to see the number one diary on the rec list, which called out the proprietor for giving Obama flack on the FISA walkback.

    It was filled with vicious, potty-mouthed little naifs who insisted, in literal terms and in so many words, that Obama can do no wrong and whatever he does is fine by them.

    I remember such rhetoric -- though frankly more artfully expressed -- in 2001-2004, when the subject of said adoration was George W. Bush. It was wrong and dangerous then, and it's wrong and dangerous now.

    You might be unpleasantly surprised at how few people understand that, however.

    Unity Pony? (5.00 / 3) (#88)
    by Fabian on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:14:16 AM EST
    I was pleasantly surprised to see the FISA pushback at the Great Orange.  I'd assumed it's been taken over by Obamadulation and that Issues were going to be ignored until after November.

    One user's sig line is "We. Have. To. Win.".  This all purpose answer to every doubt and criticism is not accepted universally though.  There's a lot of commenters saying "Where's the beef?".

    The party split between the faith-based and the reality-based is evident even at the orange place.

    Parent

    Heh (5.00 / 9) (#115)
    by Steve M on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:34:35 AM EST
    I was assured by some Obama fans at MyDD that the reason Obama took such a long time to come out with a statement on FISA is that he was working really, really hard behind the scenes to rally the Democratic caucus, but he just couldn't find enough votes.  They believe this with all their heart.

    Parent
    Wow (5.00 / 2) (#132)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:46:22 AM EST
    Just wow.

    Parent
    What caucus? (none / 0) (#172)
    by joanneleon on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:39:31 AM EST
    It seems that Obama has forgotten they exist.  He's nearly abandoned his day job.

    Parent
    Then why support Obama (5.00 / 2) (#26)
    by Saul on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:23:05 AM EST
    You keep making my point.

    The last post was on Sen Church vs Sen Obama.  A negative post against Obama
    The emphasis added was the following:
       

    Obama's actions can not be excused on this matter. He has failed miserably.

    My answer to that post was

    Is this not enough to question whether one should support Obama?   To rationalize and say well he is the only democrat nominee we got and I wish there was another one and yes he is better than McCain, is like saying I picking the better of two evils.  Every day I read more negative things about Obama than positive things as they are posted here on TL.  Maybe he will not be who the delegates vote for at the convention if this trend continues.

    Now just withing the next day we have another negative post on Obama.  You keep making my point.

    I say lets wait till the convention.  Maybe there is still hope they will pick the right nominee.

    I have had it up to here (none / 0) (#32)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:26:30 AM EST
    with these attempts to hijack my posts.

    Vote for whomever you like but stop trying to make every one of my posts about who I am going to vote for.

    I will say it right now - I consider such comment off topic to this post.

    And if that is all you have to say, then to me you have nothing to say about THIS POST.

    Parent

    My comnent was too harsh Saul (5.00 / 1) (#163)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:24:59 AM EST
    But in every one of my posts it is inevitable that I am asked "why vote for Obama?" I am declaring that question off topic in this post.

    Parent
    Annoying (5.00 / 6) (#27)
    by lentinel on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:23:53 AM EST
    The image I'm getting of Obama is that there are a bunch of people pulling strings.
    Obama appears to be a conglomerate.

    Your comment, "Thank Gawd for George Bush should be the Dem pol motto. Without him they would be nowhere" - reminds me of the Lenny Bruce "Masked Man" routine - wherein the Lone Ranger attributes the existence of his career to the thriving of pestilence and disease.

    But if Obama is counting on the fear of George to carry him through, he may be in for the same fate as Gore and Kerry.

    People pulling strings (5.00 / 7) (#148)
    by joanneleon on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:58:07 AM EST
    Actually, I'm getting the opposite impression.

    During the primary, Obama largely stuck to speeches and teleprompters.  Now, we're seeing more of him speaking candidly and answering questions.

    I think the Obama we are seeing now is the real Obama.  The one we saw during the primary was a fabrication, with others pulling strings and writing speeches, and wielding the magic wand of marketing.  The marketing was absolutely the best money could buy and the media was dazzled and complicit.

    Now we've got a bit of a lull between the primary and the general, and many of the experts may be somewhat burned out, taking a breather, getting vacations and such, and the whole campaign is not at the top of its game at the moment.  Obama is more on his own right now.

    The Obama campaign saw the primary as being the real race, the one that would be more difficult to win, IMHO.  Once the nomination was secured, they figure he's pretty much a shoe-in.  So that's why I think we're seeing more of the true Obama now.  

    I really think we've been had.

    I've had that sense about the Obama campaign for months now, and I'm still not sure and I've remained as optimistic as possible, hoping for the best, but the things we've seen in the past month seem to confirm my suspicions.

    Now I worry most about the fact that there are so many similarities between neoliberals and neoconservatives.  The one thing that makes me doubt myself is that it's hard to believe that Kennedy, Kerry, Edwards, and Dean could be duped so easily.  So I really hope I'm wrong about Obama.

    Parent

    i went looking for bruce. (none / 0) (#193)
    by hellothere on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:21:09 PM EST
    i listened to him and now pryor. thanks for the idea. pryor, carlin, bruce! we need them now.

    Parent
    They were looking for (5.00 / 2) (#29)
    by Stellaaa on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:25:27 AM EST
    greatness, and all they got is mediocre, mediocre in a different and improved package.  

    Do they know the difference? (none / 0) (#56)
    by Lahdee on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:42:07 AM EST
    Is mediocre the new "greatness?"
    I went looking for instant gratification and all I got was this Obama.

    Parent
    I have heard people for Obama say (5.00 / 6) (#33)
    by BarnBabe on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:28:31 AM EST
    "Well, at least he will make nice and get something accomplished rather than just fight each other". I think they got that one right. He will become one of 'them'. BUT, I have heard so many more Democrats say they do not understand why Democrats don't just defend their positions and stand up for those ideals.They wonder why we always give in. So there is agreement between the parties. The Dems cave and the GOP gets their way. They do not even need to be the majority party.

    Us Democrats try and elect representatives of our own ideals and with hope and we are usually disappointed. That is when the 'change' takes place. When the one we elect change to another position.

    The right always (5.00 / 9) (#39)
    by Stellaaa on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:33:32 AM EST
    determines the agenda.  None of the Dem candidates had the cojones to move to the left or lead the people to the left.  

    Parent
    This pretty much sums up the entire problem (5.00 / 3) (#53)
    by Dr Molly on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:40:16 AM EST
    Stellaa.

    When, oh when, will the left determine the agenda in this country? When, oh when, will there be a leader willing to take us there?


    Parent

    When? (5.00 / 1) (#149)
    by wmr on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:59:12 AM EST
    When the media actively search out the facts, encourage public discussion and dissent, and no longer serve only the corporate elite.

    Parent
    The ability to do this (5.00 / 1) (#203)
    by BernieO on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:37:38 PM EST
    was supposed to be Obama's great talent. He always talked about how important it was for a leader to inspire people to get them to support your positions and he surely has the charisma and eloquence to do this. Instead he is doing just the opposite - or just doesn't really have any clear objectives besides getting elected.

    Parent
    He is his own Dick Morris (5.00 / 12) (#38)
    by nell on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:33:23 AM EST
    Obama is his own Dick Morris. Remember how divisive and polarizing the Clintons were and are for fighting back against the Republicans? Obama and his campaign repeatedly said that the Clintons are what was wrong in the 1990s, they made politics too divisive. He always made it seem like Dems and Republicans shared equal blame, which is just pure BS. But I truly think he believed that, which is why his recent flips and flops are not surprising at all.

    And as a Hillary supporter who has been trying to warn people that he is nothing different and that he will not be any sort of bastion of progressive ideals, all I can say is "Suckers!" and "I told you so." THIS is what happens when you actually believe a politician to be hope and change when he has no record to back it up. He said it, you believed it without any sort of proof. Obama has no core principles, no core ideology, to which he is wedded. Everything is seen as a matter of political expedience ONLY, there is nothing that he will stand for because it is right, and only because it is right. Now we will all suffer the consequences.

    I agree that this one will be tough for Obama to lose because it is a Dem year and McCain is running a pathetic campaign, but I, for one, am not going to help McCain-lite get to the White House. He will have to do it without me.

    I am all too aware that there was another brilliant politician we could have had who may not have been as fresh as hopeiness and changeiness, but when she said she would fight for me, I know she will fight for me. You know how I know? Because she has a record, because she stood for something, because she has core principles and lines that cannot be crossed. Can we have Hillary back?

    I am reminded (5.00 / 4) (#50)
    by andgarden on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:38:44 AM EST
    of what Barney Frank said about fighting the battles of the 90s.

    Parent
    Barney Frank speaks for me (5.00 / 6) (#96)
    by MO Blue on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:16:35 AM EST
    That was a truly great statement and highlights the entire issue so well.

    I agree that it would have been better not to have had to fight over some of the issues that occupied us in the nineties. But there would have been only one way to avoid them -- and that would have been to give up. More importantly, the only way I can think of to avoid "refighting the same fights we had in the 1990's", to quote Senator Obama, is to let our opponents win these fights without a struggle.

    Many of the battles of the 60s through 90s are battles that still NEED to be fought today. Unfortunately, it seems that Obama truly meant what he said about being unwilling to fight those battles and in some instances such as choice he seems willing to adopt some of the language and positions of the opposition.

    I think Obama will stand firm in his support of Bush and the Republicans position on FISA (aka Bush Coverup and Elimination of Rights Bill) regardless of supporter opposition. I think Obama will stand firm in expanding the faith based initiative program. I strongly oppose both.

    The question remains what battles will Obama and the New Democratic Party fight on positions that I favor. Positions that I use to think were core values of the Democratic Party and now seem to be easily discarded.

    Parent

    what battles (5.00 / 2) (#121)
    by ccpup on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:39:22 AM EST
    will the New Democratic Party fight for?

    Re-election in 2012.

    Parent

    thanks for that link andgarden (5.00 / 2) (#199)
    by DFLer on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:30:57 PM EST
    Obama's antipathy to partisan battles of the 90s and the 60s was the first thing that turned me off to him as a candidate....pi$$ed me off is more accurate.

    I felt that 1. Denigrating the 60s strife was an insult to those who sacrificed life and limb in those struggles and 2. Did he really think that non-partisan nice-ness strategies would really overcome the IMMENSE power of those opposing progressive reforms...as if the powers-that-be would just hand things over without a battle.

    Parent

    Bamboozled suckers. (none / 0) (#42)
    by Stellaaa on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:34:38 AM EST
    Chat in my mechanic's waiting room: Inexperienced, (5.00 / 3) (#51)
    by jawbone on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:39:40 AM EST
    says things and changes, what does he stand for--all about Obama. And, believe me, no mention of FISA. Public financing, yes. I did not raise issues...mostly just listened.

    Northern NJ location, mid-week, 3 guys and me: small business owner guy, working class guy, retiree in polo shirt guy, and me. All the business owners are hurting big time from the economic downturn and high prices. Retiree is parking his RV in a camping area in eastern PA for the summer instead of doing any traveling in it.

    Hardly dispositive, but interesting. Of course, NJ went for Hillary, so maybe people just haven't "come around" yet.

    No one wants more of BushCo Republicanism, btw.

    Small-business owners, white guys (5.00 / 1) (#145)
    by Cream City on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:56:49 AM EST
    can turn out to be a sizeable and surprisingly powerful group, somewhat sort of networked (through chambers of commerce, other business associations, etc.) in my state.  And perhaps more widely.  Many pollsters and political analysts have said, repeatedly since early primaries, that it's the midlife-to-older white guys that will decide this election -- not the midlife-to-older white women who so fascinate the media but have been much more equally split between candidates.

    The guys don't like their Bush Republicanism anymore, but that doesn't mean they'll turn Dem -- if McCain gets better at defining a message for them and getting it across.  And with the influx of top campaign management to him this week that knew how to do it before, they might do it again.

    Parent

    Just to echo a bit (5.00 / 10) (#84)
    by frankly0 on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:10:50 AM EST
    what cmugirl says upthread, I think it's a mistake to see Obama's flip flops in his move to the center as "caving in" to the Republicans.

    "Caving in" to another party has the clear implication that one is giving up something one very much wants out of fear of consequences.

    Yet the deep truth about Obama appears to be that he has never had a firm commitment about any of these issues. Why should he hold firm on FISA, or Iraq, or campaign finance reform, or late term abortion, or NAFTA, when he has never had strong convictions on any of these issues?

    The story of Obama's political life is that he doesn't hold any values deeply enough that sharply opposing values offend him. That is the true and inescapable moral to be drawn from his attendance for 20 years at TUCC. Values, for Obama, would appear to be fungible; chips at the poker game of political power.

    BTD's recommendation that Obama should hold firm and not cave to the Republicans can at best be understood, therefore, as a strictly political strategy for Obama. Obama is, at base, motivated only by such considerations. If indeed one can make the case to Obama and his campaign that he would be held in higher regard if he seemed to have "firm principles", then I expect that he will suddenly show that he has "firm principles". If that case can't be made to seem compelling, then he won't.

    And this really is a way in which I think Obama is unlike any other major Democratic politician I can remember. I'm absolutely sure that Hillary (as Bill before her -- demonstrated by his fighting Newt Gingrich) has very strong basic values that she wants to fight for. She and other Democratic politicians will compromise on some issues, and "act like pols", but they always bear in mind the need to achieve more basic goals. While different politicians reckon the consequences differently, the basic calculation is typically: what do we have to do politically to attain what we most value in terms of policy?

    But in Obama, I see nothing like this. Everything appears to be expendable. Political consequences drive every decision. He'll compromise if that would seem to make him more popular. He'll hold firm if that would seem to make him more popular.

    I can't see a single major issue on which he's take a stand, or flip flopped, that can't be explained by that calculus.

    You got it (5.00 / 2) (#97)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:19:13 AM EST
    The point of my post:

    BTD's recommendation that Obama should hold firm and not cave to the Republicans can at best be understood, therefore, as a strictly political strategy for Obama. Obama is, at base, motivated only by such considerations. If indeed one can make the case to Obama and his campaign that he would be held in higher regard if he seemed to have "firm principles", then I expect that he will suddenly show that he has "firm principles". If that case can't be made to seem compelling, then he won't.

    Indeed, not for the first time have I written this about Democrats. This is a 5 year theme for me.

    Parent

    I'm not sure exactly what you are (5.00 / 5) (#116)
    by frankly0 on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:35:08 AM EST
    agreeing with when you say this.

    In a neighboring comment, I make the point that firmness of conviction is probably almost impossible to fake.

    Point being, it's not sufficient to tell a politician like Obama that he will be rewarded politically if he stays firm. This gives him no guidance, because he can't know what to "stay firm" on, and what to compromise (which is always required in politics on some issues).

    You see, I simply don't believe that Obama in his heart of hearts has any real strong convictions.

    Faking conviction on principles strikes me as analogous to the argument a number of economists made against central planning, as in the Soviet Union: that it could succeed at all only by mimicking prices set in market economies.

    Likewise one can't know what to compromise on in politics, and what to hold firmly to, without having either a model to follow or one's own true convictions.

    And the President, being at the very top of the political power structure, and in a unique position of power, can't have another politician on which to model his own behavior. He has only his own convictions, if any.

    And I'm simply not persuaded that Obama owns any strong convictions.

    Parent

    Just because you write it (5.00 / 2) (#122)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:41:12 AM EST
    does not make it true.

    For example, on faking convictions, Ronald Reagan passed the then largest tax increase in history in 1983. But he faked his convictions pretty well.

    I do not know what Obama's strongest convictions are but then I do not believe in your theory of "pols with strong convictions."

    As for what you got right, I quoted it EXACTLY. I do not understand your confusion.

    Parent

    Just to add a bit (5.00 / 6) (#99)
    by frankly0 on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:23:35 AM EST
    to my point.

    I think it's very hard to convince someone who doesn't have firm convictions that holding to them firmly is a good political strategy, and will be rewarded in popularity.

    They themselves, clearly, don't have the instinctive moral sense that it is admirable, otherwise they would be different people. No doubt their polls and focus groups show in impressive numbers that on a any number of issues it's better to go with the other side than it is to stick to the policies their side has embraced. While polls and focus groups may say that the public in general prefers "strong" politicians, in any given case it's hardly as if holding firm would seem to be the better political tactic, because the poll numbers would tell against it.

    Where does one hold firm? Where does one compromise? Those questions are mostly unanswerable if you calculate your actions from polls and focus groups.

    In the end, the only effective way to show firmness of conviction is to possess those firm convictions. Firmness of convictions is, like sincerity, very, very difficult to fake.

    Parent

    Exactly (5.00 / 6) (#105)
    by Dr Molly on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:26:47 AM EST
    BTD's recommendation that Obama should hold firm and not cave to the Republicans can at best be understood, therefore, as a strictly political strategy for Obama. Obama is, at base, motivated only by such considerations.

    So, in a nutshell, Obama has to be held to progressive values via threat of political cost. Of course. But here's the problem:  progressives themselves have undermined our ability to obtain this from him politically by completely enabling his capitulation on progressive issues. There is no true political fallout for him on this from progressives. They rationalize away every one of his throwaways to republicans and independents, and resort to faith-based feelings that he will revert to a progressive once he's in the White House. I feel that progressives are well and truly screwed.


    Parent

    Amen (5.00 / 2) (#133)
    by americanincanada on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:48:05 AM EST
    Pols who do tradeoffs (5.00 / 3) (#154)
    by Cream City on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:04:12 AM EST
    are different -- the pols you note who "caved" but for the sake of winning on other issues that they saw (much as some of us may have disagreed on their priorities) as closer to their firm principles and goals.

    So if Obama is "caving" on some issues as a tradeoff for others, fine -- but then, as you say, what are his firm principles and goals for which he is giving up FISA, public financing, Roe v. Wade, etc.?  

    Parent

    Another perspective (5.00 / 1) (#119)
    by cmugirl on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:36:14 AM EST
    Granted, this is from the London Times, but has an interesting perspective on the flip-flops.

    LINK

    I  suspect that all this worries Mr Obama not at all. The louder the Left complains, the deeper the satisfaction at Obama headquarters.

    Can you remember a time in, say the past 100 years, when the American people have rejected a presidential candidate because they thought that he was insufficiently left-wing? As for conservatives, they should be cheering Mr Obama, not complaining.

    The Left had hoped that 2008 would be a watershed election, a long-awaited counterblast to the Reagan Revolution of 1980 and Newt Gingrich's Contract with America in 1994. And if there were ever a time when the country seemed ready to move left this was surely it. Democrats have a 20-percentage-point lead in opinion polls; those same polls show that almost fourfifths of Americans think the country is on the wrong track. The Republican Party today has all the appeal of a communicable disease.

    And yet, on the issues, as Mr Obama understands, people are not so radical. On domestic prosecution of the War on Terror, on cultural issues such as guns and the death penalty, on religion's role in public life, perhaps even on trade and free markets, there is little evidence that Americans are ready to abandon their beliefs.

    This is another example of how smart the Obama campaign is. They understand that the biggest impediment to an Obama presidency is lingering doubt about whether their man is a straight-down-the-middle American. Despite having a couple of bestsellers to his name, he is still something of a blank page to most voters, one on which his opponents are trying to doodle all kinds of unflattering portraits of an extremist.

    So he is spending these dog days of summer reassuring interested but nervous voters that he is as American as the Fourth of July. And he is doing something else besides - looking ahead to his possible presidency.



    Obama's flips toward the center/right (5.00 / 2) (#204)
    by BackFromOhio on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 01:02:34 PM EST
    will not, imo, help him win Independent or Republican voters.  It will make him look opportunistic and unreliable to them.

    Parent
    Tell that to John Kerry (none / 0) (#125)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:42:22 AM EST
    Ridiculous article. I assure you Obama is not pleased being called a flip flopper.

    Look at the reaction to the Iraq flip flop story.

    Parent

    "The louder the Left complains, (5.00 / 1) (#190)
    by MyLeftMind on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:15:26 PM EST
    the deeper the satisfaction at Obama headquarters."  

    I doubt Obama's pleased to be called a flip flopper, but if he's trying to reassure Middle America that he's mainstream, it helps that us lefties are howling about him not being one of us after all.


    Parent

    Dream on (none / 0) (#197)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:26:14 PM EST
    The Swift Boat Meme Might Be (5.00 / 1) (#124)
    by seabos84 on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:42:00 AM EST
    Obama's got nothing new ...??

    HOWEVER, I don't see ANYTHING new about catering to the fascist defined 'middle', 'bipartisan', 'independent', 'swing' and 'center' ...

    BTD has hit upon something many in blog-o-topia have been saying (in my words )

    Dems NEED to Fight For Dem values, NOT quiver and snivel and whimper towards a fake ass 'center' defined by the fascists, for the fascists, of the fascists.  

    Haven't we had enough of that 'strategy' since 1980?

    Obama has too often been, for me, someone whose name I'll check off and NOTHING more. (HRC and Richardson and Edwards ... too)

    I've got better things to do than spend money and time on someone selling me out with the promise that they'll take everything off the table once elected ...

    oops? did I screw that up?

    Where's Howard?

    rmm.

    In Hawaii, the elected Democrats (none / 0) (#187)
    by MyLeftMind on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:08:46 PM EST
    who stood up for equal rights for gay citizens were destroyed.  They were targeted and replaced by Catholic Church funded groups that killed their political careers.  It was swift, merciless and effective.  The result is that last year, the Senate Committee that looked at civil unions had to "quiver and snivel and whimper" their way out of granting civil unions.  The otherwise strong, ethical, reasonable Rep. Tommy Waters quickly tabled the issue so it couldn't come up again.  This after thousands of people testifying about the need for equal rights, including strong, sensible demands, clear, reasonable arguments for equality, and parents who practically begged and pleaded on behalf of their children.

    Make fun of Obama and criticize him if you like, but please do not believe that a strong Dem standing up for our values and issues can win the presidency.


    Parent

    Amazing! (5.00 / 5) (#196)
    by Dr Molly on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:25:49 PM EST
    Make fun of Obama and criticize him if you like, but please do not believe that a strong Dem standing up for our values and issues can win the presidency.

    This could have been taken right out of a centrism-arguing Clinton's mouth. I thought the rejection of this philosophy was what set Obama apart from Clinton.

    Parent

    Great post, BTD (5.00 / 1) (#128)
    by Steve M on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:43:52 AM EST
    From the primary, I really thought Obama was a Democrat with some political courage for once.  How clueless that conclusion feels now.

    By the way, did Obama actually flip-flop on Iraq?  His supporters are claiming no, but frankly, the narrative from the last couple weeks is just too powerful.  Every day brings a new surrender to the GOP on something, and we're supposed to believe that Obama is holding firm on Iraq and will definitely muster the political courage to end the war?  Yeah right.

    He did not (5.00 / 2) (#138)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:51:01 AM EST
    but his use of the word "refine" was "inartful." And given the flip flopper narrative taking hold, or "move to the center" to put it more charitably, it seemed inevitable to me that the statement would be interpreted as such.

    Josh Marshall's bleatings on this are rather disingenuous on the point.

    Parent

    Well from the department of friends Obama (5.00 / 1) (#142)
    by andgarden on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:53:25 AM EST
    doesn't need, Max Baucus:

    "We need to find a responsible way out, but the key word is `responsible,' " Mr. Baucus said. "We can't just cut and run."



    Parent
    "Cut and run". wasn't that (5.00 / 2) (#147)
    by zfran on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:57:36 AM EST
    a repub. talking point?

    Parent
    And isn't our candidate trying to get VOTES (none / 0) (#180)
    by MyLeftMind on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:57:11 AM EST
    from Republicans?

    I think some TL commenters should apply the tried and true way to see if something is an "ism" to what the campaign has to do right now.

    Pretend Hillary won and try to view her or her surrogates saying something like "cut and run" and see what you have to say about it.  I think these comments would be full of stuff like:

    1. She's brilliantly using their own language to connect with centrists, Reagan Dems and even right wingers.
    2. She doesn't really believe this stuff, she just has to say it.
    3. She has to look tough because as a woman she's more easily portrayed as weak.

    <flame suit on, go ahead and blast away about what Hillary would NEVER say and do, even if she were the nominee>


    Parent
    You know what (none / 0) (#135)
    by andgarden on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:48:33 AM EST
    I think Obama was trying to walk back his Iraq commitment, but reconsidered when the press coverage became embarrassing.

    Perhaps that lesson will be applied elsewhere. . .

    Parent

    He nay have been trying to have it both ways (5.00 / 2) (#139)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:51:52 AM EST
    Like he clearly did on late term abortion.

     

    Parent

    It seems to me (5.00 / 3) (#146)
    by Steve M on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:57:08 AM EST
    he very clearly tried to have it both ways on faith-based initiatives too, with that anonymous campaign advisor who apparently made up the idea there would be discrimination in hiring out of nowhere.

    I guess the classic trick of politics is getting people on both sides of the issue to think you agree with them both.  It's troubling watching people on your own side taking the bait, though.

    Parent

    If you want to read his (5.00 / 1) (#152)
    by zfran on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:00:46 AM EST
    similar behavior at Harvard, please refer to comment #14/harvard.

    Parent
    Maybe (5.00 / 2) (#141)
    by Steve M on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:53:24 AM EST
    Frankly, if he wants to change his position, the obvious best time would be after he gets done visiting Iraq.

    Parent
    Republicans vs Democrats (5.00 / 1) (#156)
    by Prabhata on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:12:32 AM EST
    Republicans honor their base.  They begin with their base and give tiny morsels to the center (Bush was a compassionate conservative).  The Democrats believe that the base (the left) will vote Democratic because there is no where else to go and don't care about their base.  I don't think they know who is in their base. I think Noam Chumsky is right.  There is little difference between the parties.  Pelosi is supposed to be way, way to the left, but she's passed the FISA bill with all the bells and whistles that Bush wanted. PUMA!

    Funny (none / 0) (#178)
    by Politalkix on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:55:25 AM EST
    that some HRC supporters have lately started discovering the wisdom of Noam Chomsky. Didn't Chomsky belong to the "egg head" and "elitist" part of the democratic base that many of HRC's supporters gleefully kick "under the bus"? :-)

    Parent
    Funny, that some people will say (5.00 / 4) (#202)
    by Valhalla on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:35:13 PM EST
    anything to stereotype Clinton supporters.  Hello Strawman, you are my friend.

    I've long read and moderately admired, yet occasionally been critical of, Chomsky.  And yet was a Clinton supporter.

    The objection is not to Chomsksy, but to the slavish adoration of his every word.  The absence of applying any critical faculty to his work only mirrors the same in regard to Obama by many (but not all) of his supporters.  And is equally frightening and objectionable.

    Parent

    Flip-Flop Free Zone (5.00 / 2) (#160)
    by salmonrising on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:15:47 AM EST
    For all any of us knows, Obama may be channeling his inner Morris. Long ago I said if Obama became president he would make Bill 'Triangulator" Clinton look like a flaming liberal. So far, I feel justified in that assessment. (BTW, I will be happy if I turn out to be wrong.)

    The only thing I am absolutely POSITIVE Obama will not flip flop on is his plan to install a basketball court at the White House. For that he is evidently channeling his inner Michael Jordan.

    The big question about the Democratic Party (5.00 / 2) (#164)
    by joanneleon on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:26:48 AM EST
    remains, for me:  Why don't they use the power that they have?


    I don't think they have power to make change yet. (5.00 / 1) (#173)
    by MyLeftMind on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:46:03 AM EST
    There are still many seats in Congress that we can win this fall, unless the FISA bill is stalled and we, um, have an unfortunate terrorist attack that can conveniently be used to make it look like the Dems in Congress were complicit by not extending the governments spying abilities.  Sen. Gordon Smith is a good example.  He'll be fired for Bush rubber stamping, or he'll win because Portland has been destroyed by a dirty bomb dropped by boat downtown in the park where Obama's big 70,000 strong rally/concert occurred.

    I'd like to fire him.  And I'd like our Dems to stand up for the Constitution.  So far I can't see a way to have both.  And of course I don't want to see Americans die because our government is complicit in terrorism to extend their political deathgrip on us.


    Parent

    Why is this shocking? (4.75 / 12) (#1)
    by cmugirl on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:00:58 AM EST
    Obama has always praised Repbulicans and touted how he supposedly wanted to "work across the aisle". What he is doing now, I think, is more true to what he really believes. What should be shocking is that he convinced the far left that he was actually liberal.

    JMO

    I agree with your point. (5.00 / 6) (#60)
    by tree on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:44:02 AM EST
    Since his positions have changed, he is either pandering now or he was pandering then. Most of his supporters want to believe that he is pandering now, and his most avid supporters want to believe its all part of some brilliant strategy to win the WH and swing back left.

      I think he was pandering then, knowing that he had to appear left, or at least center-left, in order to win the primaries. I think what we are seeing now is more in line with what he really believes, but couldn't say during the primaries. Thus his early emphasis on "hope" and "change" and not on issues then.

    Parent

    I am wondering what you are referencing (none / 0) (#3)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:05:47 AM EST
    as to shock. Pols are pols is something you may have read here.

    And Dem pols generally are worse at politics thant Republican pols.

    Thank Gawd for George Bush should be the Dem pol motto. Without him they would be nowhere.  

    Parent

    "Shock" (5.00 / 3) (#13)
    by cmugirl on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:13:30 AM EST
    I was referring to the NYT editorial you cited, whereby they said:

    We are not shocked when a candidate moves to the center for the general election. But Mr. Obama's shifts are striking because he was the candidate who proposed to change the face of politics, the man of passionate convictions who did not play old political games.

    The bolded statement implies that they really are shocked.  My point was that folks in the media are starting wake up and say "Gosh, what happened?"  instead of saying, "Gee, this is who this guy was all along."  Obama has never been any liberal.

    Thank Gawd for George Bush should be the Dem pol motto. Without him they would be nowhere.

    I agree completely. (although I'm confused by the 2 rating).

    Parent

    Hmm (5.00 / 5) (#19)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:18:18 AM EST
    I don't buy your reasoning at all. Striking it is. For precisely the reasons the Times' editorial states.

    It is what makes his craven flip flops so DAMAGING. He claimed to be so much more.

    Clinton supporters have long argued, rightly, that Clinton did not argue she would change politics, but that she would fight for you.

    IT is because Obama claimed so much for his campaign that the cravennesss now is particularly damaging.

    Parent

    I find it hard to believe that the New York (5.00 / 8) (#28)
    by tigercourse on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:25:12 AM EST
    Times editorial board, or any savvy political observer believed Obama's "change" rhetoric for even one second. I tire of this Claude Raines schtick.

    Parent
    Thank you!! (5.00 / 2) (#30)
    by Stellaaa on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:26:19 AM EST
    I think you miss the point (5.00 / 2) (#37)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:33:01 AM EST
    The NYTimes has its own views on issues and is using the devices it has to have Obama align with its own views.

    They are not playing Claude Rains at all.

    I am surprised most of you are missing it.

    You are too steeped in what happened to Hillary it seems to me to think past it.

    At this point, none of you seem interested in issues either. In your own ways, you have become the mirror images of the Obamabots - you do not seem to care about the issues either.

    Parent

    I don't really understand your criticism (5.00 / 2) (#48)
    by tigercourse on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:37:42 AM EST
    in the last two paragraphs. I don't see what this has to do with Clinton. Anyway, I'll just say that I give the Times board a little more credit for brains then you do, and a little less credit for scruples then you do.

    Parent
    Actually you give them no credit for brains (5.00 / 2) (#59)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:43:22 AM EST
    as far as I can tell.

    But I attirbute it to the fact that you think they do not care about influencing Obama on the issues. I wrote:

    The NYTimes has its own views on issues and is using the devices it has to have Obama align with its own views.

    My reaction in the last grafs is based on My belief that you and others seem to have no scruples on the question of influencing Obama on the issues. Either you do not care about the issues, or you think there is nothing to be done and you simply will not vote for him and be done with it.

    In any event, you certainly did not address my argument as to what the Times Ed Page was trying to do.

    In essence, some of you seem to just want to complain about why people are voting for Obama and seem to have no interest whatsoever in exploring whether there is any way to influence Obama.

    You folks can do what you want but it seems pretty despotic to demand everyone do what you are doing. It is the mirror image of the "fall in line" line I get from Obamabots.

    I choose to not follow either path suggested.

    Parent

    I'm voting for Obama. But no I don't believe (5.00 / 3) (#63)
    by tigercourse on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:48:39 AM EST
    there is any way to influence a politician. If you want a politician who will support some of the same goals that you do, you find one who has a record of doing that, vote for them/work for them and hope that once they are elected they will continue in roughly the same path as before.

    Expecting a politican who does not share many of the same goals that you do to change after the electon because you send him some tough letters is a silly waste of time.

    Parent

    That is certtainly an admiring view of pols (5.00 / 2) (#70)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:56:47 AM EST
    That they have beliefs that they stick to.

    Of course you and I have diametrically opposing views of politicians.

    I am NOT shocked to discover there is gambling going on - to wit, that pols are about getting elected and reelected and adjust their views accordingly.

    You make "writing letters" the synonym for loud persistent criticism that effects a pol's public image - the public image that is central to a pol's chances of getting elected.

    I think you are wrong. I think it is funny that most of you think NOT voting for Obama in November will have more of an effect on him than ripping him.

    I think it is the opposite.

    Parent

    Well, if the Baby Boom geners (5.00 / 1) (#76)
    by zfran on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:03:48 AM EST
    are going to be the key bloc this election year (as one polster has it), then I know a lot of them who are not voting top of the ticket this year. It will send a strong message...knowing he has your vote, sends a message that you are ok with anything he or mostly anything he does. He doesn't have to win you over or support your issues. By the way, his issues don't have to always be in align with mine, but he has lied, cheated and has shown lack of integrity in this cycle way beyond what is acceptable to me.

    Parent
    truth be told, the block of dems not (5.00 / 2) (#182)
    by hellothere on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:58:24 AM EST
    voting for obama may very well include latinos, jewish voters, boomers, blue collar workers, and those who value the constitution. i include myself in those who value the constitution.

    Parent
    But if, in your view, all that matters (5.00 / 4) (#104)
    by tree on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:25:04 AM EST
    to all pols is getting elected, then refusing to vote for that pol unless they support your issue is no less effective than criticizing them for not supporting your issue. In fact, criticizing them, but still promising them that you will vote for them nevertheless, is much less effective than clearly stating that you will not vote for them, unless they support your viewpoint. If all they fear is the loss of your vote, then your vote is clearly the most effective bargaining tool.

      Personally, I think that some politicians have core beliefs beyond getting elected that they will support no matter what. Senator Church was one of those politicians. Senator Obama, however, seems to fit to a tee your more negative view of what all pols are like.

    Parent

    Primaries (none / 0) (#134)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:48:18 AM EST
    Notice my use of the word "hope". I (none / 0) (#74)
    by tigercourse on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:02:22 AM EST
    don't admire many politicians. And even if I do, there isn't a one of them that I would implicitly trust.

    And no, I don't think not voting for Obama is particularly more effective then criticism.

    I don't see much of anything at this point that would be effective.

    Parent

    As you say, (5.00 / 2) (#64)
    by zfran on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:50:06 AM EST
    "In essence, some of you seem to just want to complain about why people are voting for Obama and seem to have no interest whatsoever in exploring whether there is any way to influence Obama." Other than what has been mentioned, the usual email, phone calls, etc. and, as it appears articles of the NYT ilk does nothing to influence Obama in any way, how would you propose addressing your issues of inconsistencies in his policies. Mine is to not vote for him. Nothing else, I believe, is going to work. I do agree that some of us are mirror images of the "Obamabots" however, we have not been taken over, as they seem to be, by the Invasion of the Body Snatchers.

    Parent
    While I share your general pessimism (5.00 / 1) (#191)
    by BackFromOhio on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:16:31 PM EST
    I do think the thousands of signatures on letters to Obama complaining about his FISA flip at least led him to try to explain himself on his web site. The explanation was not satisfactory, and as BTD and others have pointed out, underestimates our knowledge of the issues. I still hold out hope that if BTD and others with substantive knowledge of the current FISA bill, the amendments and the significance of same respond to Obama at his web site in the thousands, perhaps we can move him.  Note:  The Gallup poll has moved so close this week that pundits are all saying the polls are a dead heat -- 46 Obama & 44 McCain.  Too close for comfort for Obama, I would think. Perhaps his flips to the right are indeed hurting him -- & there's some hope for moving him back toward stances he took during the campaign -- whatever his core beliefs or lack thereof.

    Parent
    See my response (none / 0) (#71)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:57:22 AM EST
    to tigercourse.

    Parent
    I am familiar with politics (5.00 / 3) (#81)
    by zfran on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:07:35 AM EST
    and pols and what it takes to win elections. Perhaps being called names does not bother you, but it bothers me and I try to teach my children better than that. To me, as he is running now, he is no different than McCain. McCain at least courts my vote....I want a potus who fights for this country not himself. Listening to his surrogates is frightening.

    Parent
    Hmm (2.00 / 1) (#87)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:13:41 AM EST
    Did Obama call you a name? Or do you mean me? What name did I call you?

    BTW, have you ever called Obama any names? What do your children think of that, if you do?

    Sanctimony is not a winning way with me zfran. Perhaps someone else will find it more appealing.

    Parent

    I am not sanctimoneous, (5.00 / 3) (#103)
    by zfran on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:25:01 AM EST
    however, his campaign called me a racist, something I certainly am not. You can look through my posts and see if I called Obama or anyone else any names. I don't like that behavor. When I just used the term "Obamabots" I believe it was in quotes from your answer to me. I don't call anyone names, nor do I allow (within my household for anyone to call anyone else names). We don't cuss in my house either. I don't believe in lying either. Call me a goody-two shoes if you must, (I have many faults) but I believe we have a myriad of words to use and we should use them wisely. I appreciate that you challenge many here and I agree with you sometimes. But I believe I've been respectful, altho' o/t sometimes.

    Parent
    Um (2.00 / 1) (#108)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:29:42 AM EST
    his campaign called you racist? Puhleeaze.

    Parent
    BTD of course they did (5.00 / 5) (#118)
    by Stellaaa on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:35:51 AM EST
     Just look at Obama's speeches on being Bamboozled.  Who did the bamboozling?  All the racists, starting with the Clintons.  Frankly, this was the shenanigans that proved to me that he and his campaign have no core values.  Everything is up for grabs when it comes to politics for them.  

    Parent
    You, on the other hand, have (none / 0) (#114)
    by zfran on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:34:19 AM EST
    been more respectful, at least for me. I have been around long enough to learn that I do not have to settle. The future for me and mine is too precious. I can compromise and bend, but I will not just settle. I know what pols have to do to win elections...this is beyond that for me.

    Parent
    The name-calling referenced here (none / 0) (#181)
    by Cream City on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:58:02 AM EST
    was, it would seem, the term "Obamabots" that started in comment #37.

    Parent
    I get it (5.00 / 4) (#65)
    by nell on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:50:35 AM EST
    The NY Times was telling Obama to please stop it already. I get it. It's what many of us have been telling him to do for a few months now. I sent my share of emails to the Obama campaign about his position on health care asking him to change it...but I think there are many of us who feel it is totally pointless now because he went and ran right when he really did not need to. This is a Democratic year, people just want a leader who stands for something, they would not have been nitpicking about whether Obama having a spine on FISA means he doesn't care about national security. I don't think his campaign did this just out of political expedience but there is really no expedience to be gained. I think this is Obama channeling his own inner Dick Morris. He is willing to "compromise" on anything and everything as long as it avoids a principled food fight, and that's what you see happening here. He doesn't have to have so many issues debates with McCain anymore because he is slowly becoming McCain. That's what he did with Hillary, he copied her so it became a personality contest. That worked during the primary due to CDS, but I am not so sure it would work during a GE with McCain. But, thankfully for Obama, in a Dem year, people not really care.

    Parent
    So your idea (5.00 / 2) (#66)
    by coolit on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:54:19 AM EST
    of how to respond when you don't agree with  a presidential candidate's stand on the issues and you don't respect his character is to try to change him?

    I'm sorry, but I don't have the inner fortitude to say, "I don't like his stand on that, I'm going to try to get him to change it."

    I know you can't agree with a candidate on every issue and I am ok with that.  Sometimes I will be wrong, sometimes he will.  At that point, I look to 'character' and realize that I have respect for the person.  I have never, ever had such a lack of respect for any democratic candidate as I do for Barack Obama.  

    That's why I can't give him such a pass as you can on the issues that we disagree on.  I guess you have more respect for the man's character than I do.

    Parent

    Because if you have no interest in trying to change a pol's views and votes, then what do you care about it all exactly?

    Why are you here?

    Parent

    I hate to break it to you, but nobody here (5.00 / 2) (#85)
    by tigercourse on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:11:24 AM EST
    is involved with politics (except for that poster who plans to run for office). We're posting on a relativley small board mainly concened with the law, our arguments and opinions carry very little weight. This is little more then a round table discussion in a poly sci class.

    And just because I am largely fatalistic does not mean I do not care.

    Parent

    So the sum total of (5.00 / 1) (#90)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:15:05 AM EST
    your "involvement" in politics" is posting at Talk Left?

    Then you are right, you are not involved in politics.

    Parent

    Well, I also used to donate money and (5.00 / 6) (#98)
    by tigercourse on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:20:13 AM EST
    phone bank for Moveon. I wasn't "involved" as you term it, then either. I simply don't share your very idealstic view that you can change the philisophical/ideological core of someone by posting on a message board.

    Parent
    Good question (5.00 / 3) (#86)
    by coolit on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:12:13 AM EST
    First of all.  Telling someone to stop being involved in politics is stupid.  You are not the decider.  You can be wrong, so can I. Such an absolute and final statement is short sighted and totally unproductive.

    As to your other point, I think the reason I am here is to find like-minded thinkers and discuss and ferret out my stance on a multitude of issues.  I also learn a lot about the issues and the way others think about them.  I think it is much more productive than reading the major newpapers.  

    Let's take your point about changing a pol to my way of thinking.  Doesn't that go directly against your "stick to your guns and stand for something" idea?  I'd rather not change them, but undersand why they stand for something.

    Parent

    You are not the deicder of what I say (5.00 / 1) (#95)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:16:31 AM EST
    Comment on what I say and I will comment on what you say and will leave it at that.

    As long as we are talking about the issue in the post, then we will be on topic. Right now we are perilously close to going OFF topic. And I am the decider of that.

    Parent

    If reports are to be believed, there is a revolt (5.00 / 8) (#144)
    by MO Blue on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:55:02 AM EST
    on Obama's own blog regarding FISA. Even Obama in his letter acknowledges that there is strong opposition to his intention of voting in favor of the FISA bill. Yet, he has decided to vote for it.

    Now I may be missing something but I'm confused on exactly how we are to are to successfully influence Obama when he seems intent on pursuing his own course even if it goes against the wishes of his supporters. Since the 2006 elections, it seems that we have failed to influence the Democratic leadership and members of Congress on any important issue. They have voted against the wishes of Dem voters and even against poll results. What Bush wants is what Bush gets on Iraq, FISA and no accountability etc. Prior to the Dems obtaining the majority, the Republicans rubber stamped whatever Bush wanted. After the Dems achieved the majority, the Democrats have performed their little show of opposition, did their little kabuki theater bit and then rubber stamped whatever Bush wants. The end result has been the same.

    The ongoing mantra in the last month or so coming from the Dems is we will pursue what we want to pursue whether you like it or not because you the voters "Have Nowhere Else To Go." Somehow this doesn't make me feel that they are open to influence now anymore than they have been since they obtained the majority.  

    Parent

    Ouch, MO Blue, it hurts! (5.00 / 3) (#159)
    by Dr Molly on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:13:42 AM EST
    But you're so right. Even Obama's reply to the netroots on FISA could be synopsized as "I'm sorry about FISA, but you have nowhere else to go so I believe I'll get your vote."

    We seem powerless to influence.

    Parent

    Exploring ways to influence Obama (5.00 / 1) (#168)
    by samanthasmom on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:33:09 AM EST
    1. My vote - His campaign says it doesn't need it

    2. Money - Seems to have all of it he needs without mine

    3. Public discussion of how and why people disagree with his positions - Gets enough positive response to his positions from both MSM and the bloggers to make those of us who disagree look like whiners who just need some time to get over it

    4. Organizing with others who disagree with his policies to get more attention paid to those issues- doing that already

    I'm open to other paths if anyone can suggest them.

    Parent
    Obama Campaign Doth Protest too Much (5.00 / 0) (#194)
    by BackFromOhio on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:25:03 PM EST
    with regard to not needing our votes or the votes of those in the traditional Dem states.  Whatever else the campaign says/does, they can still count -- true, they count with rose-colored glasses on, but still counting and some light gets through.  Why else would Obama be using HRC on campaign trail & trying to get Bill on the phone?  Why entertain as VP candidates Governor of Ohio, Bayh, etc.  However any of us intends to vote in the Fall, I still say we bombard his web site with e-mails regarding FISA; we don't know what his campaign is thinking given all of the negative responses to his flips from the likes of the NY Times, MSNBC, his own faithful supporters, and the closing of the gap between himself & McCain in the polls.  Changing Obama's positions on anything may be a longshot, but I think it's still worth trying.

    Parent
    Well (5.00 / 7) (#54)
    by nell on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:40:45 AM EST
    in a way you are right. I certainly still care about the issues, but I never believed for one second that Obama was someone I should believe in to bring progress on those issues. His recent change in position on a number of issues proves that I was correct in my assessment to not put any faith in him. And while the Clinton campaign and supporters spent months trying to point out the difference between them on the issues, trying to point out that the fact that Hillary actually has a record means that 1) you better know where she stands and you can hold her accountable, and 2) that she will be more likely to implement policy changes, the Obama supporters insisted on making the primary about how eevvviiilll Hillary is.

    So, when people who cared little about the issues suddenly tell me that I have to vote for him over the issues, especially given his recent run to the right, it is hard to take it seriously.

    Parent

    My issue is not FISA (5.00 / 4) (#165)
    by Valhalla on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:27:06 AM EST
    Or rather, it's not my only issue.

    There are specific political issues that are important but then there is the larger issue of which underlying philosophy drives the party.  What will control the million slightly lesser issues, what direction will the party and country go in, and what other losses are we willing to take?

    Both are important.  But Obama's allegiance to the faction of the Democratic Party whose driving philosophy is not mine makes it extremely unlikely that he will ever forward the specific issues I care about most, and equally unlikely that he can be influenced on them.  (Notice I did not say his allegiance to beliefs or issues, no need to drag out 'pols are pols' here).

    Perhaps, if the entire Left (whatever that means these days) truly rose up, netroots and FDR/Clinton supporters alike, combined with MSM in a great tidal wave coalition, we could get him to flip back on FISA.  If his polls started seriously slipping on  a single issue he probably would flip back.  He might even do something about it as President.

    But that is one issue at great cost (a cost that is unlikely to be paid as long as a large part of his support rationalizes him no matter what he says).  And does nothing to change his direction.

    Still, on every other issue, he will be driven by the Stevensonian side of the party, this 'new coalition' of dreamers, not doers, of compromisers, not leaders.

    On the specific issues that are my greatest priority, he already broke the deal.  He wasn't influence-able on those during the primary, so no, I don't think he can be influenced on my issues.  I doubt he can be influenced on any issues at this point, by activists on the left anyway.  Maybe one or two in isolation, at least as to what he says, but doubtfully as to what he does.

    But more alarming is that he's made his choice on which underlying philosophy will underpin his actions as a politician, and it ain't mine.  That won't change and won't be influenced.  He's beholden now to people who are committed to it, people who are committed to compromising with everyone everywhere except the other half of their own party.

    You may be able to achieve a win on one or two issuess, but the overall direction of the country and the party and the other thousand important issues are lost with Obama.

    Parent

    I need help on the Claude Raines (none / 0) (#127)
    by DFLer on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:43:34 AM EST
    reference.

    Could you explain?

    Parent

    "I'm shocked, shocked..." (5.00 / 3) (#151)
    by tree on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:59:33 AM EST
    See this from Casablanca.

    Parent
    brilliant (none / 0) (#192)
    by DFLer on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:20:32 PM EST
    thanks...very funny too.

    Parent
    You're both right.... (5.00 / 4) (#44)
    by coolit on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:35:49 AM EST
    You two don't seem to be disagreeing.  

    What Stella is saying is that we are not surprised and "shocked" to see Obama go back on his change the face of politics campaign because he never was doing that in the first place.  It was only the media (who really, really wanted him to win) and his supporters (win at any cost) who are shocked.

    BTD seems to be saying it is disturbing how bad his campaign has gotten.  To have gotten this far on the change/unity idea and then have the past couple weeks (in which he seems to go against his entire raison d'etre), is just sad.  

    If I'm right what I think you two were saying, I agree with you both.

    Parent

    Living History (5.00 / 4) (#79)
    by Carolyn in Baltimore on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:05:59 AM EST
    I am in the middle of Hillary's book.
    It is very clear that while newbies, the Clintons entered the White House with specific plans and methodically started moving their agenda through.
    I believed that not only would she fight for us but she has a blueprint for what she wants to accomplish.
    If Obama has a blueprint he hasn't shared it. Him not wanting to fight was one of the first things that turned me off.
    You must stand up to bullies. The people need a fighter.

    Parent
    Haven't read LH, but surely (5.00 / 1) (#153)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:01:54 AM EST
    you must remember how spectacularly Clinton's presidency nearly came apart at the seams in the first 100 days or so.  Bogged down on Gays Military, unnecessarily imo; botched appointments for AG (two); just barely (50-50) passing his key budge bill, then fairly spectacularly failing in the first year to pass health care.

    So much for all those specific methodical pre-inauguration plans.

    Later on, in Bill's book, iirc, he confessed that he had his priorities wrong in the first term.  He said he should have done welfare reform first, then left health care for the second term.

    Parent

    Then, as you say, there was an agenda (5.00 / 3) (#158)
    by Cream City on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:13:32 AM EST
    for Clinton, a set of priorities, even if he later said he got them wrong for the times.

    What are Obama's priorities?  Still unclear to me, other than faith-based initiatives, and that one really doesn't work for me.  I know more now about what aren't priorities, from the start (UHC) or from his backpedaling on them in recent weeks.  What is his agenda for which he will fight -- the reasons we are to fight for him?

    Parent

    Iraq withdrawal, economic (none / 0) (#161)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:22:51 AM EST
    recovery program, substantial health care reform, just to name three.

    And he won't have any choice, on any of those, to delay equivocate or meekly call for half- and quarter measures.

    Dems, including the lib base, won't stand for inaction and semi-action and timidity.

    Though it might not end up being FDR's First 100 days, it should be much more progressively minded than Bill's first 100.

    Coming to office with a solid mod-lib to lib Dem majority should help keep things on the right lib-oriented track.  Obama has no choice but to lead -- else he'll catch hell from the voters and end up like Jimmy C.

    I don't think he's stupid and he's not of course stubbornly stupid as Carter was ...

    Parent

    I really cannot see how he (5.00 / 3) (#167)
    by Cream City on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:30:00 AM EST
    can be said to be solid on those three issues.  His stand against the gas rebate, for example in terms of the economy, vs. his opposite stand in the state senate.  His "Harry and Louise" flyers and his health care plan being the worst, compared to Edwards' and Clinton's, although his promise to work with Elizabeth Edwards gives some hope -- but I'll believe it when I see it.  As for Iraq, you must have missed how much he has shifted and shifted again on that.

    That's what I see -- shifting sands, where you see solid ground.  All we can do, then, is wait and see.

    Parent

    Solid on Gas Tax Rebate (none / 0) (#201)
    by daring grace on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:33:14 PM EST
    When this came up during the primaries, most economists said it wasn't a useful strategy for easing the pain at the pumps for consumers.

    Even Paul Krugman who generally was critical of Obama in other areas agreed with his rejection of this.

    Parent

    I think what is being taken as shock (5.00 / 7) (#67)
    by talex on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:54:52 AM EST
    is the fact that you are wondering why Obama does not do the things you mentioned. cmugirl summed it up perfectly.

    What is a real shock is that some people are still scratching their heads wondering either what happened, or why Obama does not do this or that. The writing on the wall was there long ago. Obama didn't just tip his hand, he openly and publicly broadcasted that this was the path he had mapped out and was going to travel.

    You mention Obama should be honoring his own base. He never honored his own base, especially the Left of the base. He 'pandered' to the base in the primaries and now that he has the nomination and figures no one has anywhere else to go he can reveal his true self. That is what you are missing.

    You are getting so caught up in the 'whys' and 'what for's' that all along you have missed the forest for the trees.

    "What is unstated in the editorial is the lack of confidence that there will not be changes regarding those "vital differences.""

    But that lack of confidence is not missing on this board. It is loud and clear and was so even before Obama won the nomination.

    As for Obama losing the election - again there are those of us who predicted that was a very real possibility for many many reasons, some which you are writing about here, many that you have never written about.

    There is no Dick Morris in Obama as you are trying to suggest. Obama is Obama and always has been if you examine his record. Sure he had a more liberal record when he was a state senator - only because he represented a liberal region. But he was always an elitist who tried to rub elbows with everyone including the Right and their lobbyist friends. He is the typical poor boy who made it and now wants to be part of the in-crowd.

    "...which would make him the biggest Dem loser of all time."

    This may come as a shock but...

    Obama already is the biggest Dem loser of all time!

    A loser in the sense that he told people one thing, and they bought it hook, line, and sinker, and then for some he revealed his true self (which some still refuse to see) - and for others just confirmed what we already knew.

    What is a shock is that there are still those who say they are loyal to the Party but yet want to vote for a guy who is not loyal to the Party and in fact is damaging the Party's image and standing for probably decades to come if he is elected.

    If he is not elected then Dems have a chance to reflect and to make sure we don't nominate this type of fraud ever again. That is why I and others will not vote for him - because the future of the Party is more important than short term gain.

    If McCain wins I trust the Dems have learned their lesson with Roberts and Alito and will not allow McCain to do any further damage. I trust they will not allow our country to go into further debt or to have undermined our social safety nets. Beyond that anything else that may happen is survivable and will set us back 4 years but we can come back in 2012 a wiser Party and a stronger Party who has not been stained by letting a center-right Dem destroy our very fabric.

    Parent

    I am starting to (5.00 / 11) (#93)
    by Carolyn in Baltimore on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:16:19 AM EST
    think more and more along those lines.
    If Obama wins, the Rethugs may get the next 16 years. If McCain wins we have another chance w/ some real democratic candidates in 2012. While I hate the idea of McCain making SC choices, I don't see Obama's as much better.

    I think there is a fight for the soul of the democratic party.
    The republican party abandoned the moderates decades ago. My dad was an Eisenhower republican and Sierra CLub lifer with liberal social views. He finally became a dem when Reagan was elected.

    If the democratic party is abandoning us, I guess its time for some other changes.....

    Parent

    re: SC Choices (5.00 / 4) (#100)
    by talex on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:23:43 AM EST
    Remember this. As much as Obama supporters try to say the SC appointments are a reason to vote fo Obama they leave one very important thing out that I mentioned in my previous post. And that is that McCain cannot get anyone in the SC that the Dems hold up in committee. Nor can he get anyone into the SC that is voted down, should a vote even be held.

    Again I trust the Dems have learned their lesson with Roberts and Alito and will not make the same mistakes again.

    A President McCain should be forced to offer up acceptable nominees.

    Lastly there is no guarantee that any justices will even retire in four years so the justice question could be a moot point.

    Parent

    Unfortunately (5.00 / 2) (#111)
    by Carolyn in Baltimore on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:32:12 AM EST
    the liberal justices are quite old or in ill health. They have stayed on in hopes of  replacement - but if they can't do their job or die they will need to be replaced.

    As for trusting the demoratic Congress - that hasn't gotten us very far. They wouldn't filibuster when they were the minority, they've caved reliably as majority, and when there is a strong majority, the republicans are not afraid to filibuster and obsruct themselves.

    Truly - we need to 'primary' the dems who can't/won't stand up.

    Parent

    Another point to take (5.00 / 5) (#140)
    by tree on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:52:24 AM EST
    on SC justices is that some of the liberal justices have been appointed by Republican Presidents, while a few appointed by Democrats have been conservative. Byron White, appointed by Kennedy, was a dissenter to Roe v. Wade. Earl Warren was appointed by Eisenhower. David Souter was appointed by the first Bush.

      I not entirely sure that Obama's choices would be much better than McCain's. I do know that McCain's choices will get more scrutiny by Congress than Obama's will. I think its too much of a cr@pshoot either way to have the SC selection  influence my vote.

    Parent

    Not to Mention (5.00 / 1) (#169)
    by The Maven on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:33:50 AM EST
    that Justice Stevens was nominated by Gerald Ford.  And assuming that Stevens would be the first to leave the Court, there's little reason to believe that an Obama nominee would be even remotely as liberal, given both his stated intentions to be post-partisan as well as his close ties to University of Chicago jurists such as Cass Sunstein, who is one of his advisers on legal policy.

    Obama's nominees to SCOTUS would be vastly better than any we could expect from McCain, but it is doubtful they would do anything more than generally preserve the status quo of the Court's political alignment, not shift it in any discernable way back towards the left.

    Parent

    And (5.00 / 2) (#185)
    by cmugirl on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:06:21 PM EST
    Here's the money quote, thanks to tree:

    I not entirely sure that Obama's choices would be much better than McCain's. I do know that McCain's choices will get more scrutiny by Congress than Obama's will. I think its too much of a cr@pshoot either way to have the SC selection  influence my vote.


    Parent
    I trust this congress (5.00 / 5) (#208)
    by americanincanada on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 01:25:15 PM EST
    even less to stand up to Obama's choices for SC, no matter how bad they may be or seem.

    This congress by and large will roll over for whatever Obama wants and that scares me more than McCain ever could.

    I agree this is a fight for the soul of the democratic party and while I canot vote for McCain, I will not vote for Obama.

    Parent

    I agree 100% with every word (5.00 / 2) (#176)
    by RalphB on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:53:09 AM EST
    you wrote.  I only question whether Obama alone is the biggest Dem loser of all time, or his supporters share that mantle.


    Parent
    Yeah (5.00 / 2) (#109)
    by Ga6thDem on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:30:02 AM EST
    but frankly, I'm not so sure that is enough. Lots of times people will vote for candidates who are strong and wrong vs. weak and right.

    Parent
    Obama and his team (3.66 / 3) (#6)
    by Stellaaa on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:07:31 AM EST
    are winging it, they make it up as they go along.  This is the danger of his candidacy.  It loses credibility.  It ends up not looking like leadership and people right now want leadership.  

    Winging it? (5.00 / 4) (#10)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:10:06 AM EST
    I wonder. Their primary campaign was carefully crafted. They are professionals. I don't think so.

    It seems to me the mistakes being made are carefully prepared.

    Parent

    Winging who he is (5.00 / 4) (#12)
    by Stellaaa on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:12:57 AM EST
    since there was no "him" politically, they can make it up on an as needed basis.  It is blowing in the wind.  

    Parent
    Is Obama Flipping or Moving to the Right? (5.00 / 2) (#143)
    by santarita on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:54:02 AM EST
    Aside from the obvious flip on the filibuster of the FISA and the apparent waffling on his Iraq withdrawal timetable do we know enough of Obama or his values to be able to say that he is moving to the right?

    Are the people who projected onto him what they wanted to see simply seeing the real Obama?

    Parent

    I will tell you why, (none / 0) (#15)
    by Stellaaa on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:15:14 AM EST
    cause they did a Republican styled campaign against Hillary.  It was the "narrative" the story of Obama.  Now they are up against another story, and I don't think they know what to do.  Greenwald's book on the hero story that is reinforced by the press.  

    I am curious, how they will now go against the same narrative.  They try to destroy the other guys story, now they move to the right.  

    Parent

    I found no comfort in being reminded (5.00 / 4) (#40)
    by Cream City on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:33:38 AM EST
    last night, watching 1776, that this historic candidate is just following in a tradition of more than 200 years -- "Cool, Cool, Conservative Men":

    Come ye cool, cool, considerate set
    We'll dance together to the same minuet
    To the right, ever to the right
    Never to the left, forever to the right

    May our creed be never to exceed
    Regulated speed, no matter what the need . . .

    Much in the lyrics is applicable today, too.  Even the Obama campaign posters project that, now as then, "Emblazoned on our banner is: keep kewl."  (Okay, the lyrics don't spell it as kewl.:-)

    Parent

    I watched that too (none / 0) (#55)
    by Carolyn in Baltimore on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:41:19 AM EST
    though I was SO glad I have a good education and also watched the John Adams miniseries too.
    And yes- that song, from 1969, still rings true.

    Parent
    Move-in towards the right, (none / 0) (#17)
    by zfran on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:17:04 AM EST
    conquer and destroy! Everyone in the way is just collateral damage.

    Parent
    kids hacking at a pińata can seem (5.00 / 2) (#83)
    by Edgar08 on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:10:30 AM EST
    well organized when the media is one your side.

    Parent
    The 'craft' was all towards winning the nomination (5.00 / 2) (#183)
    by Ellie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:59:13 AM EST
    Team Obie had no problem pulling out all the stops to get Sen Clinton AKA the Clintons out of the way: fomenting CDS, enabling sexism by feigning charges of racism, gaming the voting.

    To complete the GOP/Rove playbook: they kept it close enough to snatch (and relied on playing the Refs to give it to them.)

    I don't see their application of resources in GE-mode being as deviously intelligent. Their own arrogance and tunnel-vision is self-defeating.

    To give just one example, the natural downward movement of thuggery to keep "their" voters in check was innately flawed at the outset.

    It became increasingly unstable with Obama's almost daily ritual of throwing additional groups of voters off the bus, but not having traditional Dem voters locked it nor rewarding wannabee NuDem insiders sufficiently to keep flogging the disgruntled ones till the morale improves.

    The thuggery within African American Dem strongholds is also a joke, with prO-bama up-and-comers wasting time and energy "punishing" HRC supporters.

    Short-sighted, wasteful, divisive, stoopid. This burns up existing pol experience and relationships for the pointless gaudy bonfire of an auto-da-fé to impress and lather up the most faithful and secured voters.

    Obama's most enthusiastic apologists keep misusing the word "pragmatic" to describe all the tossing and reversals on core Dem principals when they mean "cynical".

    Burke and Dewey actually were (ethical) pragmatists and nothing they wrote (::: HRC millisecond pause ::: AFAIK) has anything to do with the Obama campaign.

    The style the Obama apologists refer to is more Macchiavellian. He wasn't moustache-twirlingly evil so much as cynical and world-weary even for the Renaissance. His advice for governance is much closer to the contemporary acceptability of the rock-bottom standard that Obama is a "politician like every other one."*

    It's pretty much a given that Obama hasn't actually read the full writings from which he cribs, but he or his handlers really should take some time out from disgracing democracy and settle on an effective, practical method and tailor the style to it:

    Available online and in the public domain:

    Go cynical with Niccolò Macchiavelli's The Prince (with Valentino and Castracani included).

    Or, go somewhat more self-flatteringly idealistic and idiosyncratic while upholding tyranny with The Meditations of Marcus Aurelius, Emperor of Rome.

    I mean, it's clear Obama already KNOWS on some level that he's an a$$hole because he's daily behaving like one. Now it's just a matter of deciding what kind of a$$hole he wants to be and sticking to that.

    *Bah. I think there's a better way.

    Parent

    btd, the thought comes to me that (5.00 / 1) (#184)
    by hellothere on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:01:42 PM EST
    yes they may be well prepared, but their operating assumptions are very flawed in my view. their inner mission statement if you will that i personally view as different from the public one. of course you can argue that all politicans do that and that is very true. but at this time and place, it is just not something i can handle from this politican.

    Parent
    Comparisons with Clinton (2.00 / 1) (#209)
    by call me Ishmael on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 02:08:49 PM EST
    One of the problems with these evaluations of Obama is that they compare him to some fantasized version of Bill Clinton.  Clinton won the stand-off with Gingrich but how often did he actually stand up for things?  Don't forget he had his own inner Dick Morris or he wouldn't have hired the outer Dick Morris.  I think that if we are going to have a better chance of analyzing Obama we would do well to get rid of a mythical version of the Clinton years.  After all:

    1. Everyone makes a huge deal about Clinton's political success.  But should we really buy that.  He won in 1992 because of the Perot vote and one of his political failures was his inability to secure the Perot populist sentiments for the Democratic party.  I don't think that this was accidental--Clinton was, after all, one of the founders of the DLC and it was the DLC that agitated for far more corporate friendly policies at the risk of losses for working people.  That Clinton showed a remarkable capacity to express empathy (something Obama could do with learning) is one thing.  That his policies or political instincts led that way is another.  From another vantage point, I think that it is undeniable that by the end of his presidency the Democratic party was weaker by most important metrics than it had been at the start of his presidency.  The party had fewer governors, fewer senators, fewer representatives, and I think, fewer mayors.  Why we should look back on this as a golden age I am not sure.  True, had the election not been stolen in 2000 Gore might have been able to recoup this (although having raised Lieberman to the Vice-Presidency would have had its own dangers) but that would have been because of Gore not Clinton.  Nor has there been any evidence that the Clintons' political instincts have changed--as evidenced by Hillary Clinton's vote not only for the war in Iraq but for Lieberman's Iran bill (fool me once...)  The late campaign populism was one thing but why should we take it as more than a temporary strategy.

    2. You can of course argue that the weakness of the Party was due to the well-organized republican attack machine of the 90s.  That again is certainly true.  But that the republicans were so well positioned to do so was a result of the only period where Clinton actually governed--1992-1994.  The rest of the time he was trying to prevent the Republicans from governing as they wanted to.  And what did 1992-1994 give us in terms of accomplishments?  Health Care...well, no.  Much else?

    3. In fact, it is hard to see what the great accomplishments of the Clinton administration were.  The economy was doing well given the boost from the end of the Cold War and the relatively easy money policies of the Fed.  But there were bubbles and hints of big bubbles to come, inequality was rising I think, financial deregulation proceeded apace, NAFTA was forced down the democrats throats without the necessary labor and environmental protections, and the 1996 Death Penalty and anti-terrrorism act provided a platform for what later became the PATRIOT act.  The ending of "welfare as we know it" was politically popular but pretty punitive on the poor.  There was the balancing of the budget but it was tied to an ideology that made any deficit spending suspect--but clearly some sort of deficit spending (for true public works) is not a bad thing.  Did Rubinomics help the majority of the American people?  But the Dems are now tied into a knot by Clinton ideology.

    4. Again part of the argument for calling for Obama to be more like Bill Clinton is that criticizing the Clinton years can look like you are making no distinction with the Bush years.  But that doesn't necessarily follow.  And treating Clinton as a success because of Bush is like treating Warren Burger as a great Chief Justice because he wasn't Rhenquist.

    5.  Again, if the comparison is with Bush that is one thing.  But even in foreign affairs the Clinton record isn't so great.  The Bosnia affair looks like it is unraveling,  He was awfully slow on Russia, nor did they ever have a real vision for what the world might look like in a post-Cold war world.

    None of this is to defend Obama on Fisa which really seems inexcusable to me.  But the comparison between the "principled" Clintons and the empty Obama doesn't seem to me to get us anywhere.


    Indeed (none / 0) (#4)
    by andgarden on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:05:48 AM EST
    It might be too late though, the picture of Obama as absurd flip-flopper is all over the place now. Only the true believers deny it.

    I dunno (none / 0) (#5)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:07:05 AM EST
    There will be other opportunities to show strength.

    But I wonder if the Obama camp is at all worried about this? My feeling is if they knew how it would play, they would not have capitulated on FISA.

    Parent

    How it wasn't obvious that it would play (5.00 / 6) (#11)
    by andgarden on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:10:57 AM EST
    as it is escapes me. He explicitly promised to filibuster any bill with immunity, and now he says he won't.

    I'd like to know which genius advised him to change his mind. I'd REALLY like to know why he agreed to do it himself.  

    Parent

    Hmm (5.00 / 3) (#16)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:16:24 AM EST
    Was there any indication that the base (to say nothing of the Netroots) would EVER hold Obama accountable for anything?

    I myself was surprised by the pushback.

    In that sense, Glenn Greenwald's break woth Obama, to call him out by name on this, became important.

    Parent

    Well, for whatever reason, there's essentially (5.00 / 1) (#31)
    by andgarden on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:26:20 AM EST
    a CW consensus on what he's doing. Maybe it's because there was actually some base pushback on FISA that the media noticed? In any case, we have the NYT and the WSJ agreeing on his behavior, and it doesn't look good.

    Parent
    Of course (4.00 / 3) (#34)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:29:51 AM EST
    That has always been the power.

    It is funny to me that the Obamabots do not see themselves as to blame for this. If they had given any indication that they would NOT accept anything Obama did without protest, he might have NOT done what he did. He might have taken their views into account BEFORE announcing his FISA flip flop.

    Look at the silly NARAL organization rationalizing Obama's statements on mental distress? When you act in this way, you have no influence nor appearance thereof.

    The Netroots stared becoming like NARAL in the face and apparently stepped back from the edge.

    Parent

    It's as if they are afraid of him (none / 0) (#35)
    by Dr Molly on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:32:27 AM EST
    NARAL? (4.00 / 3) (#41)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:34:15 AM EST
    Who knows. NARAL has had the stupidest leadership I have ever seen anywhere.

    I have said this for years and years. Anyone who gives a dime to NARAL is a fool.

    Parent

    What is an alternative organizing/lobbying group (5.00 / 1) (#62)
    by jawbone on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:46:41 AM EST
    for NARAL?

    Since their strange endorsement of Obama, I knew something else was necessary. Before they were over the top on Lieberman, then the endorsement without consulting their state orgs, now this--which is over the moon!

    I fear that now, more than since the 70's, is when we're going to need a good pro-choice organization.

    Parent

    No, I meant the netroots (none / 0) (#45)
    by Dr Molly on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:36:11 AM EST
    It seems to me that the netroots behave as if they are too afraid of Obama to criticize him on the issues.

    NARAL has been pathetic, as an aside.

    Parent

    I no longer can figure out (5.00 / 1) (#49)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:38:30 AM EST
    what the Netroots thinks.

    And I have said all I can about it.

    At this point, I just write what I think and let others write what they think.

    Parent

    I noticed the NARAL response (none / 0) (#43)
    by andgarden on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:34:56 AM EST
    Remind me never to trust them again. It's like they've become their own wost issue enemy.

    Parent
    Remind you? (2.00 / 1) (#47)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:37:26 AM EST
    You trusted them before? Why for heavens sake? They are the worst issue organization in existence period.

    Parent
    ok, trust is the wrong word (none / 0) (#52)
    by andgarden on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:39:49 AM EST
    I should have said: "remind me to pay no more attention to them."

    Parent
    Reading Greenwald for as long (5.00 / 4) (#36)
    by tree on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:32:31 AM EST
    as I have, I was not at all surprised that he would continually hold Obama to account for this. It would have been totally shocking had he not done so. We may be unsure exactly where Obama truly stands, but there is not one scintilla of doubt where Greenwald stands on this issue.

    Parent
    Well (5.00 / 1) (#46)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:36:33 AM EST
    Let's be honest, Glenn was slow off the mark on critiquing Obama generally and the Media on Hillary Hate.

    The FISA fight, well, that's one he and many of us have been at since late 2005.

    Parent

    Agree about GG being late to the party (5.00 / 1) (#61)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:46:19 AM EST
    about certain things.  And he would have a little more credibility with me overall had he been a little less partisan in the primaries.

    I will give him cred on FISA, and it's one issue where Obama and his team seem to have seriously misjudged the backlash from the left.

    Parent

    I've got no problem criticizing (5.00 / 2) (#69)
    by tree on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:56:08 AM EST
    Greenwald for his performance on those issues, and I agree totally with your take on them, but when it comes to FISA and governnment spying I've never seen Greenwald pull a punch or hold back for fear he might get flak for his position. It is totally unsurprising to me that this is the one issue on which he has strongly and vehemently taken Obama to task.

    Parent
    GG get "flak" for taking a tough (none / 0) (#155)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:06:18 AM EST
    position?  Please.  Look I like the guy, read him regularly, agree 90% of the time.

    But it's easy to be tough sitting where he is -- he's paid to write tough opinion (he also does nuance, plenty of it, for sure) and is not going to lose his job for taking principled stances whenever and wherever he feels the urge.

    Pols alas have a different constituency to answer to, and in a GE they have to appeal to a wider group.  GG, bless him, needs only to basically write to his "base" of liberal readers to stay on his lofty perch at Salon.  

    Parent

    Surprising (none / 0) (#58)
    by Stellaaa on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:42:37 AM EST
    considering he had just published a book, that described the Obama campaign to a tee.  I actually lost some respect for him on that one.  He tried once or twice to critique Obama, but got so much guff, that he pulled back.  Frankly, I stopped reading him.  

    Parent
    There are so many true believers though (none / 0) (#18)
    by Dr Molly on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:17:25 AM EST
    And I don't see any actual consequences to his flip-flopping. He will win. McCain is a joke.

    I think if we are honest, we have to conclude that there is nothing that would make most Obama supporters not vote for him in the current climate. (To be clear, I'm not being judgmental about this - it just seems to be fact.)

    So what are the consequences for the perception of Obama as an absurd flip-flopper? I guess I don't see any. Will it make his presidency less powerful? Or are there some other consequences that I'm not seeing?

    Parent

    The (5.00 / 1) (#117)
    by Ga6thDem on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:35:48 AM EST
    problem isn't the kool aid drinkers imo. It's all the other voters out there. Are there enough to make him win the general election? I have my doubts about that one.

    Parent
    At the least (none / 0) (#20)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:19:53 AM EST
    it has serious consequences to his Presidency as his mandate for anything will not exist.

    He should at least care about that in terms of his reelection chances in 2012.

    Parent

    Reelection (5.00 / 2) (#25)
    by Stellaaa on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:21:21 AM EST
    he will keep going to the right.  Get some red states blue, and forget the "base".  

    Parent
    Some talk about holding his (none / 0) (#21)
    by zfran on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:19:53 AM EST
    feet to the fire. If nothing can beat him, then it seems the only course of action is to actually not vote for him. Letters, calls, emails do not matter anymore. They seem to be on a search and destroy mission and dems seem to be in their way.

    Parent
    Does this sound like the Obama (none / 0) (#14)
    by zfran on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:13:36 AM EST
    running today (not in the primaries) I believe running for President using this premise is a miscalculation of the huge electorate. Again, when you take all sides to all issues, you stand for nothing but yourself. Harvard

    It's an eerie read now, isn't it? (5.00 / 4) (#22)
    by Cream City on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:20:22 AM EST
    At the last moment, the conservative faction, its initial candidates defeated, threw its support to Mr. Obama [as law review president]. "Whatever his politics, we felt he would give us a fair shake," said [classmate] Bradford Berenson, a former associate White House counsel in the Bush administration.


    Parent
    Very eerie (and scary)! (none / 0) (#24)
    by zfran on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:21:18 AM EST
    As for Obama listening too much (none / 0) (#68)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:55:13 AM EST
    to his inner DM, let's note that the comparison is one between a candidate in a fairly tough election contest and another from yesteryear involving an incumbent president battling the cong'l oppo.  

    A more apt comparison would have involved a Dem standing strong in the campaign for a principle even in the face of advisors telling him it would hurt politically.

    One that comes to mind is Kennedy's decision late in the fall of 60 to phone Mrs King to offer his support and assistance in the effort to get MLK released from that dangerous jail sentence.  He heard the voices telling him it would destroy his chances for winning southern states, but Kennedy went ahead, and his team managed to quietly arrange for flyers to be printed and handed out outside of many black southern churches noting Kennedy's assistance to King. JFK/LBJ also managed to carry enough southern states in the fall to prevail.

    Secondly, Clinton was up against a not very popular or well-liked and highly partisan pol in the bomb-throwing Gingrich who was recognized about that time by Bill as his best possible opponent.  The outcome there was easily foreseeable, imo.

    No comparison today with Obama going up against the generally likable, certainly respected McCain, who is no Newt Gingrich.

    Ridiculous (5.00 / 1) (#73)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:00:17 AM EST
    In late 1995, Clinton was in a MUCH MORE precarious position politically than Obama is, even now, in his election.

    I think your comment utterly absurd. Just ridiculous.

    What Clinton did was find the magic for WINNING - STANDING FOR SOMETHING.

    Obama? He is listening to his inner Dick Morris.

    Parent

    Exactly (5.00 / 2) (#78)
    by andgarden on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:05:48 AM EST
    People like politicians who stand p to unpopular things. Clinton said that he wouldn't let Newt Gingrich destroy Medicare, and his image was rehabilitated.

    But what will Obama stand up for? If it appears to be "nothing," he will lose.

    Parent

    I have used this example (5.00 / 1) (#82)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:10:01 AM EST
    of how Clinton "stood for something" in 1995 for years now.

    No one ever ever has written that. No one has cited to my writings on it nor written it independently. Too busy calling Bill the DLC.

    Clinton 1992 was not Clinton the President. I have said this often and no one can see it clearly.

    Digby maybe.


    Parent

    It's funny, the Bill Clinton I remember (5.00 / 1) (#91)
    by andgarden on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:15:51 AM EST
    was not a DLC triangulator. But then, I mostly remember his second term, which was all about fighting the hypocritical Republicans and their "ideas." Al Gore ran for Bill Clinton's second second term, it seems to me.

    Parent
    Bill Clinton, I agree, grew into (5.00 / 2) (#92)
    by zfran on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:15:58 AM EST
    his presidency. Please (my memory is not good on this) compare Bill's campaign (1992) to Obamas. Other than character...Bill Clinton was a governer with a record (good or bad). Obama is an opportunist who's background shows he likes the fight, but not the service. I like the fight as well, but I continue to learn, I haven't seen where he learns or has changed one iota from years past.

    Parent
    Short memories some of you have. (none / 0) (#157)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:12:43 AM EST
    Or very selective ones.

    Bill famously ran as a DLC "New Democrat" in 92 -- moderate, anti-doctrinaire lib "tax and spend", budget balancing, trimming gov't waste, welfare reform towards the center/right, muscular but moderate FP, etc.

    Iow, he ran as the anti-Mondale anti-Dukakis in 92.  And basically governed as same, no huge surprises.  

    Though I'd like to think that he was actually more liberal than how he had to govern in the WH.  But, it was a more conservative time the 90s, with a bare-bones Dem majority at the outset that included a few Nunn/Boren types on the center-right, and one or two Dems about to come out as Repubs.  Not much to work with there.  Clarence Thomas-backing Bobby Byrd was much more conservative and ornery to Bill too.  

    Parent

    I do not see your point (5.00 / 2) (#162)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:23:48 AM EST
    Clinton ran the campaign he thought he had to to win in 1992.

    In late 1995, he chose to take a stand and confront the GOP Congress, and won. Then won a smashing reelection victory.

    BTW, Clinton did a few thing while President too.

    Parent

    But I think (5.00 / 2) (#89)
    by Dr Molly on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:15:02 AM EST
    He will not stand up for much, and he will still win.

    And that makes me very sad for the prospects of any progressive agenda for this country, a wasted opportunity at this point in time.

    Parent

    It's a little like Bush after 9/11 (5.00 / 4) (#102)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:24:52 AM EST
    After 9/11 Bush had a whole lot of politial capital to do what's right by this country and by the world.  He instead used 9/11 to further his own political desires (namely invading Iraq).

    Now, the Democrats had the chance to further at least a few progressive ideals -- like FISA pushback. Why do they refuse?  I don't know, but they do.

    Parent

    For sure Clinton was on less (none / 0) (#101)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:23:45 AM EST
    firm ground politically than Obama is today, but he was faced with a stark decision -- to capitulate to the Repubs and basically allow Newt & Co to make him a completely neutered and essentially lame duck president, or take a stand and call their bluff.  After a few days of gov't shut down, people were getting ornery about basic services they took for granted not being there -- and they blamed the Repubs.

    There was also the business of Newt's whining about Bill not giving him a choice seat on AF1 which made big news in 95 -- that and the radical draconian step of shutting down the gov't led to Repubs taking a major hit in the polls.

    Today, Obama is faced with no such dire political circumstances since he's fairly comfortably in the lead.  He has misstepped though in underestimating the total impact of his various centrist moves (less the one on Iraq which is no shift at all).  That's not going Dick Morris so much as taking the time-honored and reasonable lesson about moving to the center in the GE a little too much to heart and in too brief a time period.

    Now, BTD, can you find a positive object lesson for Obama from a prior election campaign, as I did above, as to how he should conduct himself re standing firmly on principle?

    Parent

    Your example seems flawed to me (none / 0) (#106)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:27:47 AM EST
    Kennedy needed black votes which in 1960 were still GOP votes. You wrote:

    his team managed to quietly arrange for flyers to be printed and handed out outside of many black southern churches noting Kennedy's assistance to King. JFK/LBJ also managed to carry enough southern states in the fall to prevail.

    Quietly being the operative word there no?

    As for an example of principles winning an electin - I submit, Ronald Reagan, FDR, Abraham Lincoln, Teddy Roosevelt. Hell, Harry Truman in 1948.

    Parent

    Ah, FDR could have phoned in (none / 0) (#120)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:38:12 AM EST
    his campaign in 32, given the Repub Depression.  And he ended up running a fairly moderate budget-balancing establishment campaign meant not to upset TPTB.

    Lincoln?  Geez, if there'd been an internet back then, lib-lefties in full throat about Total Abolition Now! would have been going nuts about how he wasn't standing up sufficiently on principle in re slavery -- recall his moderate, narrow MOR anti-slavery in the territories position.  Not to mention how he'd failed to stand up for a belief in the full personal abilities of blacks back then (they were not quite up to white abilities, Abe noted on several occasions, as to strength of intellect).

    HST was tough in 48, no question.  But in 47 he'd caved to the FBI on nat'l security matters and the Loyalty Act, areas where even as he was signing the bill he knew that Hoover would just take it and go wild in running over people's const'l rights.  Which is exactly what happened (ditto for the newly created CIA, something which he didn't recognize publicly until he'd left office -- Dec 63 to be exact).

    Parent

    That is a shibboloeth (5.00 / 1) (#130)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:45:36 AM EST
    from daily kos on the type of campaign FDR ran in 1932. It is simply false.

    How in heaven's name do you think the Hundred Days happened?

    Parent

    As to Kennedy and "quietly", (none / 0) (#174)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:47:08 AM EST
    it's possible to be both principled and not politically stupid.  It would have been self-defeating for JFK to loudly trumpet in statewide adverting throughout the South his help for MLK -- specific targeting to blacks was the proper political strategy.  He handled it about right.  

    But it's not like his phone call didn't get pubbed in the press down there -- it was, and so was MLK Sr's response that he now had a briefcase full of votes for Kennedy (Sr had previously endorsed Nixon) "despite his religion".

    Also it's worth remembering that Nixon also thought about what he might do in re getting King out of jail and what positive PR it could bring.  Back then, the Repub Pty still counted on blacks thinking of the GOP as "The Party of Lincoln", and such party ID had a positive impact.  

    In the end, Nixon thought long and hard and decided he'd be hurt more than helped by a phone call -- and of course the exact opposite result (in most pundits views) occurred as Kennedy won a much larger share of the black vote than any Dem (iirc) to that point.  

    Parent

    It is indeed (5.00 / 1) (#177)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:55:17 AM EST
    For example, on the FISA bill, Obama could have been principled and politically smart, He chose to be unprincipled and politically stupid.

    Parent
    We don't disagree (none / 0) (#188)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:09:34 PM EST
    about Obama and FISA.  Blame too though for our cong'l leaders who've been criminally weak in letting Junior and Rove dictate the wildly unbalanced RW frame in re nat'l security vs personal liberties.

    Well, Kennedy didn't want to let the Repubs paint him as soft on communism so he went to the right in the campaign on FP (alarming a fair number of libs and lefties along the campaign trail).  Governed though much more, post-BoP, as almost a "dangerous" lefty (in the eyes of the insanely cold warrior Pentagon and CIA); certainly he began pushing hard against the FP establishment and moved for détente with Khruschev.

    There's still some hope, iow, for Obama learning his lesson and doing right by the constitution ...

    Parent

    Can you clarify some points here? (none / 0) (#189)
    by Cream City on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:12:42 PM EST
    I thought that the phone call was from Bobby Kennedy -- of course, on behalf of his brother, but. . . .

    No question for me, though, that much of the JFK drive for African Americans was missed by the mainstream media.  I happen to have researched the career of one of the leading black pols then who was very adroitly used by the JFK campaign, and there was much more in the black press that never surfaced in the mainstream media.

    (Notable was a photo of her with JFK that was sent widely to the black press, despite the campaign's concerns that she did not look "black enough" in it.)


    Parent

    Both brothers made phone calls -- (none / 0) (#195)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 12:25:21 PM EST
    interestingly both independent of each other (accd'g to Bobby in his oral history later).  Jack called the desperate then relieved Mrs King.  Meanwhile, Bobby called the judge in charge of King's sentence -- that was the one that sprung MLK from jail a day or so later.

    Interesting too that it was Bobby who was one of the first to loudly protest in the inner circle when Jack thought out loud about calling Mrs King and intervening.  Bobby supposedly saw the wisdom of Jack's view a little later, and made his call.

    Parent

    You understate the power (5.00 / 4) (#77)
    by tree on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:04:10 AM EST
    and popularity of Gingrich and his cohorts prior to Clinton taking a stand against them.

     And you overstate the "toughness" of this election. A generic Democrat is beating a generic Republican by double digits in the polls. This should be a cakewalk by the Democrat. That it isn't can only be blamed on Obama's weakness as a candidate, and his inability to stand up for Democratic priniciples.

    Parent

    It's also McCain's image (5.00 / 1) (#80)
    by andgarden on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:06:20 AM EST
    But broadly, you are right.

    Parent
    You overestimate the popularity of Newt (none / 0) (#110)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:30:10 AM EST
    in late 95.  This was post-OKC, the anti-gov't literal firestorm which caused some to wonder whether the anti-gov't fervor of the Repubs wasn't more of a toxic influence on the body politic, then the news about Newtie and AF1 and the public's adverse reaction to his prickly hypersensitive personal politics of slash and burn and payback.

    The Newtonian Repubs had their high-water mark in the 94 midterms and their Contract on America.  A year later, much of the gloss had come off that one, and even Repubs nervous about re-election and their future careers in Congress were rebelling about its radical nature.  Bill CLinton by late 96 likely was beginning to see a political opening or chink in the Repubs' armor.

    As for today, this election still remains a tough one for Obama since our party has hardly had an easy election in decades.  No cakewalk since 64 in fact.  44 yrs by my count.

    Parent

    Good thing Bill (5.00 / 1) (#129)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:44:30 AM EST
    did not overestimate it in 1995 and rejected Morris' advice.

    Would that Obama rejected his inner Morris.

    Parent

    Heh (none / 0) (#136)
    by Steve M on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:49:54 AM EST
    After things have already played out, it is really easy to write the story of how inevitable the outcome was.

    Parent
    Pandering (none / 0) (#72)
    by nellre on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 09:59:22 AM EST
    Both candidates are pandering.
    Obama is trying to woo red states with the 50 state plan.
    McCain is trying to woo those who call themselves conservative but aren't, like the right wing religious folks.

    It's talk. All talk.

    We don't know what either of the presumptive nominees really believe. They're posing to become America's Top Model.

    To be fair to McCain (5.00 / 9) (#112)
    by nell on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:33:19 AM EST
    at least he has a record that you can look to for clarification. All politicians pander, they flip and they flip, but usually, they have some sort of ideological core, things that are too important, too precious to compromise on.

    Hillary pandered during the primaries, but 1) her core issues were always clear, for example, it was clear to me that she was going to fight tooth and nail for universal health care (and indeed, she has done so in the past, same thing in terms of reproductive choice and equal pay, and 2) if I ever had a doubt, I could look to her record. She has a long history of acting on behalf of various issues, and actions speak louder than words.

    Same thing with McCain. Though I would never vote for him because of his record, I have a pretty good sense of who he is. I can balance his pandering with his record and get a more clear sense of where he would emerge.

    The problem with Obama is that he really doesn't have a record that we can look to. He says one thing, does another. He changes his positions 180 degrees, etc. But since he is all talk, since he has never really had to walk the walk, it is really hard to know what is pandering and what is his true position...that is a problem.

    Parent

    a disadvatageous comparison to Clinton (none / 0) (#94)
    by Edgar08 on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:16:20 AM EST
    might be the one thing that gets through to him.

    BTD (none / 0) (#123)
    by Ga6thDem on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:41:44 AM EST
    I remember P. J. O'roure saying on Bill Mahrer's show months ago that the GOP was praising Obama because they saw him as someone they could steamroller over. It seems he may have been onto something.

    Nixon WANTED to run against McGovern (5.00 / 2) (#166)
    by wmr on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:28:37 AM EST
    That's why the dirty tricksters screwed with the primary campaigns of Muskie and the rest (see Peartlstein's Nixonland)

    Now, with the compliant corporate media they don't need to go to that much trouble.  For example, all they had to do to Edwards was reduce him to a $400 haircut.

    I think the Republicans are purposely holding their fire until Obama is locked in as the candidate.  Watch what happens in September and October when they open fire with the big guns of the campaign.

    Parent

    Agree with some of that, (none / 0) (#175)
    by brodie on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:52:06 AM EST
    but jeez Obama has been "locked in" as our nominee for about a month now, if not longer.

    Repubs will try to make this an election turning on character -- patriotism, flag pins, Obama and his religion, Obama as Not One of Us, and the like.

    It didn't work in the mild recession campaign of 1992 against Bill, though Rs tried mightily to make it about BC's character.

    And it won't work this time, especially with a much more severe economic downturn, with trends expected to continue to head southward for the remainder of the year.

    Oh, and the 11th hour major terra alert card won't work either ...

    Parent

    Nicely done, BTD. (none / 0) (#126)
    by Edger on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 10:42:34 AM EST
    Who is Obama's "inner voice"? The DLC?

    Move to the Center or to the Right? (none / 0) (#179)
    by KeysDan on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 11:55:37 AM EST
    It is disappointing, but understandable, to observe the movement of Senator Obama to the center in the general election.  However, a by-pass of the center and on to the right would be too much. Some have claimed that there really is no shift in positions--that they were always so, but we just did not notice or read his books.  Mr. Obama, however, is more likely living up to his self-assessment as a political Rorschach test.  An important piece of the puzzle will emerge with the selection of a running mate.  Bob Herbert, in today's NYTimes,  references the former Senator David Boren for an anything but novel idea about national decline.  Maybe, this is a trial balloon for Boren--now president of the University of Oklahoma and a right-winger, masquerading as a moderate Democrat.  The shifting sands have not yet affected my voting decision, especially given the alternative, so long as there really is one.

    No Way (none / 0) (#205)
    by pluege on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 01:06:37 PM EST
    That perhaps honoring his own base will be seen as a moment of strength for him.

    BTD, I can't understand why you appear to refuse to acknowledge the double standard US corporate media applies all the time in virtually every area:

    if playing to the base is good for the republican, its bad for the democrat

    if flip-flopping is no big deal for the republican, its a major story against the democrat

    if going after an opponent's military service is no big deal for the republican, its a major faux pas and completely unacceptable for a democrat.

    and so on and so on. double standard in virtually everything. Its a major rerason republicans win and democrats lose elections.

    A Quaint Idea: Represenatation (none / 0) (#207)
    by WakeLtd on Sat Jul 05, 2008 at 01:09:59 PM EST
    The idea that "We The People" should not attempt to change the ideas of our representatives in office strikes me as bizarre.  As citizens, that is our primary political role. We vote for representatives to stand for us in elected office, and to implement laws and actions that, presumably, we as the people have decided will  best further our interests. Now, of course, there are conflicting interests, and compromise is necessary, and desirable. Just as Senator McCain has had his base pressure him to backtrack on his almost-liberal stance on illegal immigration, the base most likely to vote for Senator Obama has every right and the duty to pressure him when he seems to be straying away from the consensus of what could be a liberal-progressive coalition of support. That being said, Obama trying to raid the the base of likely-McCain voters,  by his sudden morphing into what looks like an "enlightened Republican" is worth the effort to change his mind. If warning him of dire consequences for his chances at being elected are one of the tools used to pressure him, that, my friends (apologies to John McCain),  has always been the essence of how we pressure politicians. I don't care how remarkable the man is.