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U.S. Senate Results

Politico has good maps.

Democrats won their Senate races in Connecticut and West Virginia. Blanche Lincoln in Arkansas and Brad Ellsworth in Indiana lost.

Republicans need to gain 10 Senate seats to take control. I don't think they'll do it.

Update: Marco Rubio wins the Florida Senate seat.

< Early Election Results Thread | Media Coverage: When Changing the Channel Isn't Enough >
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    Woot! Go Green Bay (5.00 / 1) (#1)
    by Cream City on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:00:03 PM EST
    and I don't mean just the Packers.

    AP reports that elections officials in Brown County printed almost 23,000 more ballots after voter turnout came in higher than expected.

    That's the first report I've seen of need for a lot more ballots in a Dem stronghold area -- if it's mainly for the city of Green Bay, not environs.

    We will see, as the countdown to poll closings across the state starts:  60, 59, 58, 57, 56. . . .

    Uh oh, Kenosharick's hometown (5.00 / 0) (#35)
    by Cream City on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:03:03 PM EST
    is heading red, per a report here?  Longtime Dem stronghold (between Milwaukee and Chicago) but hit hard economically by the auto industry muckup -- never having recovered from the last recession.

    And it looked like a good turnout in Kenosha, which seemed a good sign for Dems.  If not, and if this is the same reason for a big turnout in Green Bay, it's bad.  So I hope these early reports are bad.

    Parent

    Feingold camp update (none / 0) (#3)
    by Cream City on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:05:37 PM EST
    Feingold spokesman John Kraus says: "the exit polls we have seen show it very close, we are looking at a very long night."

    CNN exit polls:  Johnson 50, Feingold 49 -- but a wide margin of error. . . .

    (Per my earlier comment on another thread:  It could look good for Feingold early, with what looked like low turnout in Milwaukee, where counts come in faster, anyway.  So this and other races probably will depend this time not on Milwaukee but on Waukesha County, just to the west and one of the reddest counties in the country -- and turnout was high there with ballot shortages, plus mechanical problems, so the count will come slower from there and elsewhere away from urban life.)

    Parent

    The exit poll does reflect a tie (none / 0) (#11)
    by andgarden on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:19:05 PM EST
    I will say this much though: Feingold ran the race the way he wanted to, and he apparently asked for no DSCC expenditures, so nobody gets to complain that he was written off.

    Parent
    But if Obama had come to the state (none / 0) (#15)
    by Cream City on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:24:26 PM EST
    last weekend -- as WaPo said was in the works after his Chicago stop but then was rejected because the White House called Wisconsin a "lost cause" -- wouldn't it be interesting if that would have made a difference, if the results turn out to be so close?

    Money is a big part of it.  But you can't always buy enthusiasm.  

    Parent

    It's a possibility (none / 0) (#18)
    by andgarden on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:26:21 PM EST
    But to be honest with, given all of the information available at the time, I can't say that was the wrong call.

    Parent
    I'm actually (none / 0) (#22)
    by Socraticsilence on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:46:25 PM EST
    curious as to whether Feingold would have wanted Obama anyway- by rejecting the DSCC funding he could be trying to seperate himself from the party at least perceptually.

    Parent
    But Feingold was fine with Obama (none / 0) (#25)
    by Cream City on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:49:03 PM EST
    coming to the state through most of the campaign season, so I don't think that storyline will work.  The WaPo story had the pullback by the White House happening quite recently.  

    Parent
    ABC polls (none / 0) (#14)
    by jbindc on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:24:19 PM EST
    Shows Johnson leading Feingold 62-37 (but that's with 1% reporting)

    Parent
    Ignore (none / 0) (#16)
    by Cream City on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:25:07 PM EST
    that upstate precinct. That's all it is.  Yet.

    Parent
    Fingers crossed (none / 0) (#17)
    by jbindc on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:25:41 PM EST
    Hope he hangs past the wee smalls of morning (none / 0) (#41)
    by Ellie on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:21:05 PM EST
    ... which -- traditionally in close races -- is when the election night Rethug Lizard Brain likes to do its worst.

    It's become the one despicably predictable factor in the aughts. (Well, besides that whole dirty tricks thing of course, but that's been going on my whole lifetime.)  

    Parent

    that would be huge (none / 0) (#8)
    by CST on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:12:56 PM EST
    if he squeeks that out - and barney and deval win tonight - I'll call it a win.

    Parent
    MSNBC (none / 0) (#30)
    by jbindc on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:55:34 PM EST
    Predicting Patrick keeps his seat.

    Parent
    I'd say that's a fairly (none / 0) (#33)
    by CST on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:59:41 PM EST
    safe prediction at this point.

    At this point I think the Dems will sweep MA again - holding every seat in congress.

    Parent

    On the other hand, extra ballots (none / 0) (#9)
    by Cream City on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:14:21 PM EST
    could just mean voter "confusion," as in Milwaukee, where some wanted to, um, elect the city librarian:

    Milwaukee election authorities were faced with "a last-minute rush for extra ballots" late Tuesday, partly because voters were confused by the ballot layout and voted for too many gubernatorial candidates, a city election official said.

    The city Election Commission sent out a total of about 15,000 extra ballots to roughly half of Milwaukee's wards, but that caused only minor delays in voting, said Neil Albrecht, the commission's deputy director. Many of those ballots were needed to replace others spoiled by voters who tried to vote for both a major-party ticket and an independent or third-party candidate in the race for governor and lieutenant governor, he said.

    "We even heard that someone thought 'Libertarian' was 'librarian,' " and that they were voting for a separate office, not a lieutenant governor candidate, Albrecht said. The Milwaukee library director is a mayoral appointee, not an elected office.

    Sigh.

    Parent

    Whaa? in Madison/Dane County (none / 0) (#40)
    by Cream City on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:20:43 PM EST
    that hotbed of progressivism, with 30% of the votes in, Tammy Baldwin is ahead but not putting it away -- against an unknown.  Not a good sign re the rest of Wisconsin.

    Parent
    NBC: Feingold loses -- big (none / 0) (#46)
    by Cream City on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:41:26 PM EST
    NBC calls it.

    There will be some 'splaining to do about those exit polls that said it would be close. . . .

    And in the gubernatorial race, Wisconsin also is called for the Repub.  Another state goes red.

    And this Repub, my new boss, is a Paul Ryan clone.  It is going to be purely awful here in Wisconsin.

    Parent

    Apparently (none / 0) (#62)
    by Inspector Gadget on Wed Nov 03, 2010 at 11:19:29 AM EST
    AP reports that elections officials in Brown County printed almost 23,000 more ballots after voter turnout came in higher than expected.

    Those were not for happy democrats.

    Parent

    An older, more conservative electorate (5.00 / 1) (#2)
    by jbindc on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:02:07 PM EST
    That's who's voting today.

    Early exit poll data also suggested that the 2010 electorate was turning out to be significantly older and more conservative than in previous elections.

    The data indicated that a remarkable 25 percent of the electorate was age 65 and over - a big jump from the 2008 election when only 15 percent of the electorate was age 65 and over.

    And the early data also suggested that younger voters were not responding to urgent pleas from Obama and Democratic leaders to vote in the way they had in 2008.

    Young voters (those age 18 to 29) accounted for 10 percent of the voters; in 2008 they accounted for 18 percent of the electorate.

    Only 3 percent of 2010 voters said they were voting for the first time -- a sharp drop-off from 2008 when 11 percent of the electorate was first-term voters.



    Manchin wins in WV (none / 0) (#4)
    by ruffian on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:06:50 PM EST
    Cuomo wins.

    Gillibrand wins too (none / 0) (#6)
    by jbindc on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:11:20 PM EST
    It's still early (none / 0) (#5)
    by Tony on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:10:40 PM EST
    Only 22% in, but Giannolious is up big, 60-35.  Would be nice to keep that seat.

    Are those Cook County numbers? (none / 0) (#7)
    by caseyOR on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:12:16 PM EST
    Or downstate?

    Parent
    No idea. (none / 0) (#10)
    by Tony on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:18:53 PM EST
    Kirk already inching back though.

    Parent
    Looking at ABC.com (none / 0) (#13)
    by jbindc on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:21:09 PM EST
    It's all over, but mostly the numbers are from Cook County and the 'burbs.

    Parent
    It's tied right now (none / 0) (#20)
    by jbindc on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:32:06 PM EST
    With moderates breaking for Giannoulias

    Exit polling shows the race essentially tied, though Giannoulias' side got some early good news: Moderates are breaking for him 51 percent to 42 percent, according to the exit polls.

    African-Americans voted 94 percent to 3 percent for Giannoulias, according to the exit polls. White voters went 61 percent to 34 percent for Kirk, the polls showed.

    Women broke for Giannoulias 49 percent to 46 percent. Men went for Kirk 49 percent to 45 percent, the polls found.

    Voters under 40 went for Giannoulias; voters over 40 went for Kirk, the polls showed.

    Both sides are watching the numbers of votes coming in from Chicago -- Where Giannoulias is strongest -- and the far suburbs and downstate, where Kirk dominates.

    In 34 states around the country, candidates are likewise watching the returns, but Illinois could be the most important for one or two reasons.

    The first is that Illinois' new senator will be sworn in early, around Thanksgiving Day, to serve out the remainder of Barack Obama's senate term. If Kirk wins, he could provide the 42nd vote to block bills the Democrats might try to pass in the lame duck session before the new senators -- most of them expected to be Republicans -- take office in January.

    The second reason is largely symbolic: This is Obama's old senate seat and both parties have poured millions of dollars into this race for the bragging rights of capturing the president's old seat



    Parent
    CNN Flash Rep have gain control of house! (none / 0) (#12)
    by Saul on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:21:07 PM EST


    Not really a shock (none / 0) (#29)
    by Socraticsilence on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:53:11 PM EST
    I could have predicted that 15 months ago maybe sooner (so many marginal seats picked up in 2006 and 2008), the Senate wont happen prior to 2012 (2014 if the GOP does something stupid like nominate Palin and thus ensure not just an Obama re-election but a 1964,1972,1984 style popular vote landslide).

    Parent
    Larger Democratic turnout in Oregon (none / 0) (#19)
    by caseyOR on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:31:22 PM EST
    As of approx. 5:30 PM PDT, 90,000 more Democrats than Republicans had returned their ballots here in Oregon. Polls are open for another 90 minutes. And unaffiliated voters are so far not showing up.

    How many of those Dems are voting GOP is the question here.

    Dems aren't voting dem in many races (5.00 / 1) (#48)
    by Inspector Gadget on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 10:00:47 PM EST
    according to the CNN analysis of voters polled. Those 60 and above got even with those who kicked them under the bus in 2008 and left them hurting in the health insurance reform bill.

    West coast polls just closing....scared for Patty Murray after watching tonight's trend.


    Parent

    Ron Wyden (D-OR) wins. (none / 0) (#55)
    by caseyOR on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 10:57:41 PM EST
    He's headed back to the Senate. This race was never in doubt, but it's nice to have it over.

    Parent
    Congrats! (none / 0) (#57)
    by Inspector Gadget on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 11:21:14 PM EST
    Rossi is speaking, so the local news broke away from regular programming....seems he just loves hearing himself speak and had absolutely nothing to say.....he's down in the count, so the hope he was going to congratulate Patty on her win was big!

    Parent
    Isn't Oregon (none / 0) (#23)
    by Socraticsilence on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:47:57 PM EST
    almost entirely mail-in (like Washington- I think those are the only two states where significantly more people mailin than vote in person).

    Parent
    Yes, mail-in voting in Oregon. (none / 0) (#53)
    by caseyOR on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 10:18:35 PM EST
    Our ballots arrive in the mail about 2 1/2 weeks before election day. We can mail them back, drop them off at our county election office or take them to one of the many ballot drop boxes located all over the state (at libraries, city halls, etc.). To be counted a ballot must be received at the election office by 8 pm on election day.

    A lot of ballots come in the last couple of days.

    Parent

    Washington is ALL mail-in - no voting booths (none / 0) (#56)
    by Inspector Gadget on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 11:17:35 PM EST
    here.

    Parent
    In PA (none / 0) (#21)
    by smott on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:42:00 PM EST
    Sestak who was down about 7 last week, is up 55-45 on Toomey with 43% in...

    Onorato for Gov, also down in polls, is 50-49 over Corbett...

    Where are the PA returns from (none / 0) (#24)
    by Socraticsilence on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:48:44 PM EST
    from memory this is a good sign for Sestak as the Philly polls are almost always in last but who knows.  

    Parent
    Other way around (none / 0) (#28)
    by andgarden on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:52:45 PM EST
    Dem strongholds report first, and then you grab a rope and hang on for the slow bleed--to mix metaphors.

    Sestak is still in this IMO.

    Parent

    You sure? (none / 0) (#32)
    by smott on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:58:37 PM EST
    My understanding was rural is first as more sparsely pop'd and fewer votes/results to compile. Heavily populated West/East ends of the state are last. Good for Sestak....

    Parent
    Yes, I'm sure (none / 0) (#34)
    by andgarden on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:01:32 PM EST
    Rural areas lack as many machines (none / 0) (#36)
    by Cream City on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:04:08 PM EST
    at least in my region, so it's hand-counting, which goes a lot slower than machine counts in urban areas.  That's the story as told to me. . . .

    Parent
    Then why is Philly always last?? (none / 0) (#37)
    by smott on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:05:10 PM EST
    ???

    Parent
    Maybe for the same reason (none / 0) (#42)
    by Cream City on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:21:25 PM EST
    that Gary, Indiana is always last?

    There always are outliers (or just liars:-).

    Parent

    Juts going by maps on Politico (none / 0) (#44)
    by smott on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:27:05 PM EST
    It is the middle rural PA counties that are all 100% reported. West urban ie Alleghency county or East Philly aren't close.

    In any case, Toomey's closing.

    Parent

    We need (none / 0) (#45)
    by CoralGables on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:34:34 PM EST
    a Pennsylvania elections guru to know where this will be headed late night

    Parent
    Between his loopy views on civil rights (none / 0) (#26)
    by Socraticsilence on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:50:21 PM EST
    and other things, and the thuggishness of his supporters is there any chance Rand Paul is this centuries Preston Brooks (say over healthcare reform) and if so who does he attack?

    The only target he wont go for (none / 0) (#27)
    by Socraticsilence on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:51:06 PM EST
    Is Webb but I'd also put Tester there (either of those guys would be really, really, dumb to hit with a cane).

    Parent
    Easy- pick any woman (none / 0) (#43)
    by ruffian on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:25:37 PM EST
    Boxer most likely

    Parent
    Harry Reid would be amusing (none / 0) (#63)
    by Socraticsilence on Wed Nov 03, 2010 at 11:41:27 AM EST
    he's an old man, and is a central figure for HCR demonization- on the flipside he'd probably knock Paul out with a combination.

    Parent
    Annnnnnnddddd (none / 0) (#31)
    by jbindc on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:56:22 PM EST
    MSNBC calling Missouri for Roy Blunt

    John McCain wins in Arizona (none / 0) (#38)
    by jbindc on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:10:46 PM EST


    Change! (5.00 / 1) (#39)
    by ruffian on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:15:14 PM EST
    McIntyre (none / 0) (#47)
    by lilburro on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 09:59:49 PM EST
    wins over Pantano in NC 7.  SO HAPPY (even though Mike is a Blue Dog, Pantano is the epitome of the Bush war way).  If Sestak and Bennett win I'll be happy tonight (assuming Brown and Boxer win in CA).

    Raw Exit Poll #'s for Patty Murray (none / 0) (#49)
    by Inspector Gadget on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 10:02:36 PM EST
    are very good!! 52% v. 46% for Rossi....will keep my fingers crossed as the counts come in.


    Boxer wins (none / 0) (#50)
    by jbindc on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 10:12:30 PM EST
    According to LA Times

    Didn't the polls just close?! (none / 0) (#51)
    by nycstray on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 10:17:22 PM EST
    I wasn't paying close attention, but I thought that's what the news flash just was . . . gawd, i hope they're right!!!!

    (I voted by mail 2 weeks ago)

    Parent

    They are also (none / 0) (#52)
    by jbindc on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 10:18:14 PM EST
    calling the governorship for Brown.

    Parent
    on thank dawg! (none / 0) (#54)
    by nycstray on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 10:22:38 PM EST
    Toomey wins PA (none / 0) (#58)
    by jbindc on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 11:24:03 PM EST


    NBC calls it... (none / 0) (#59)
    by Tony on Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 11:40:44 PM EST
    for Harry Reid.

    Between Nevada and Delaware, allow me to say a quick thanks to Sarah Palin.

    Except (none / 0) (#61)
    by jbindc on Wed Nov 03, 2010 at 07:06:00 AM EST
    Most of her chosen candidates won last night.

    As CBS News Correspondent Jeff Glor reports, .the former GOP vice presidential nominee backed 43 candidates for the House. Thirty of them won, with races involving nine others still undecided.

    Her record in Senate races was closer: She endorsed 12 candidates. Seven won.



    Parent
    Picking house races isn't hard (none / 0) (#64)
    by Socraticsilence on Wed Nov 03, 2010 at 11:43:10 AM EST
    hell picking winners isn't generally hard- what's hard is picking winners in upsets (like say California) or choking in places you should win (CT, NV, AK).

    Parent
    And the odious Evan Bayh refuses to really go away (none / 0) (#60)
    by shoephone on Wed Nov 03, 2010 at 12:10:42 AM EST
    He wants us all to remember that he knows best, before he skiddadles off the scene to go lobby for health insurance companies:

    And we were too deferential to our most zealous supporters. During election season, Congress sought to placate those on the extreme left and motivate the base --

    I'm glad we no longer have to endure phony Dems like Blanche Lincoln and Evan Bayh. Good riddance to bad rubbish.

    Go Murray!