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Obama Administration's Expansion of The War on Terror Abroad

In the Sunday Times: a feature article on the Obama administration’s "shadow war against Al Qaeda and its allies."

In roughly a dozen countries — from the deserts of North Africa, to the mountains of Pakistan, to former Soviet republics crippled by ethnic and religious strife — the United States has significantly increased military and intelligence operations, pursuing the enemy using robotic drones and commando teams, paying contractors to spy and training local operatives to chase terrorists.

...The White House has intensified the Central Intelligence Agency’s drone missile campaign in Pakistan, approved raids against Qaeda operatives in Somalia and launched clandestine operations from Kenya.

The Times calls it a stealth war on terror, and says while it began under Bush, it has expanded under Obama. It also points out the risks: [More...]

the potential for botched operations that fuel anti-American rage; a blurring of the lines between soldiers and spies that could put troops at risk of being denied Geneva Convention protections; a weakening of the Congressional oversight system put in place to prevent abuses by America’s secret operatives; and a reliance on authoritarian foreign leaders and surrogates with sometimes murky loyalties.

Then there's the blending of functions:

The administration’s demands have accelerated a transformation of the C.I.A. into a paramilitary organization as much as a spying agency, which some critics worry could lower the threshold for future quasi-military operations.

The Times asks who should be running this covert/shadow war. Using an example of a strike in Yemen, it says:

The Yemen operation has raised a broader question: who should be running the shadow war? White House officials are debating whether the C.I.A. should take over the Yemen campaign as a “covert action,” which would allow the United States to carry out operations even without the approval of Yemen’s government. By law, covert action programs require presidential authorization and formal notification to the Congressional intelligence committees. No such requirements apply to the military’s so-called Special Access Programs, like the Yemen strikes.

There's also questions as to whether the shadow war is having the desired effect. AQAP, for one, is not any weaker.

Despite the airstrike campaign, the leadership of Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula survives, and there is little sign the group is much weaker.

Attacks by Qaeda militants in Yemen have picked up again, with several deadly assaults on Yemeni army convoys in recent weeks. Al Qaeda’s Yemen branch has managed to put out its first English-language online magazine, Inspire, complete with bomb-making instructions. Intelligence officials believe that Samir Khan, a 24-year-old American who arrived from North Carolina last year, played a major role in producing the slick publication.

The operative question:

Do the selective hits make the United States safer by eliminating terrorists? Or do they help the terrorist network frame its violence as a heroic religious struggle against American aggression, recruiting new operatives for the enemy?

Seems pretty clear to me the second option is the correct answer.

A former Ambassador to Yemen points out the U.S. can't rely solely on the use of force.

Edmund J. Hull, the United States ambassador to Yemen from 2001 to 2004, cautioned that American policy must not be limited to using force against Al Qaeda.

“I think it’s both understandable and defensible for the Obama administration to pursue aggressive counterterrorism operations,” Mr. Hull said. But he added: “I’m concerned that counterterrorism is defined as an intelligence and military program. To be successful in the long run, we have to take a far broader approach that emphasizes political, social and economic forces.”

Obama officials respond:

They emphasized that the core of the American effort was not the strikes but training for elite Yemeni units, providing equipment and sharing intelligence to support Yemeni sweeps against Al Qaeda.

I'm not seeing any social and economic help to the people of Yemen in that answer. What's next, are we going to go in and destroy their qat crops, claiming it's contributing to terrorism and draining their water supply?

Instead of ramping up military strikes we should be providing developmental aid. As Gregory Johnson, a former Fullbright scholar now at Princeton, and co-author of the Yemen blog, Waq al-Waq, wrote last year:

The US and other European and western countries cannot afford to focus on the al-Qaeda threat in Yemen to the exclusion of every other challenge. There has to be a holistic approach and an understanding that all of the crises in Yemen exacerbate and play-off against each other.

Simply targeting the organization with military strikes cannot defeat al-Qaeda. Something has to be done to bring a political solution to both the al-Huthi conflict as well as the threat of secession in the south. Not dealing with these will only open up more space for al-Qaeda to operate in as well as creating an environment of chaos and instability that will play into the organization’s strength.

Indeed, by focusing so exclusively on al-Qaeda and by viewing Yemen only through the prism of counter-terrorism the US has induced exactly the same type of results it is hoping to avoid. This demands much more development aid to the country as a way of dealing with local grievances in an attempt to peel-off would-be members of al-Qaeda.

If we don't help Yemen with its economic issues, the war on terror won't be much of a help. Yemen's problems won't stay within Yemen.

Military operations to kill or capture al Qaeda operatives will likely increase in 2010. These actions carry risks. Publicly acknowledged American involvement in counterterrorism operations in Yemen would be deeply unpopular in the country, likely undermine the legitimacy of the Yemeni government and feed into the grievances that help fuel al Qaeda militancy.

Development assistance is one of the most effective tools available to address the interconnected long-term challenges facing Yemen. But, U.S. aid is disproportionately small considering the magnitude of the problems facing the country and Yemen's strategic importance to the United States.

Here's more, quoting another analysis by Gregory Johnson (pages 8 -11):

The United States must learn that its insistence on seeing everything through the prism of counterterrorism has helped to induce exactly the type of results it is hoping to avoid. By focusing on al-Qa`ida to the exclusion of nearly every other challenge, and by linking almost all of its aid to this single issue, the United States has ensured that the issue will never be resolved

...This short-sighted and narrow focus by the United States has translated over time into a lack of influence within the country. The United States is not the most important player on the domestic Yemeni scene.

I'll bet I'm not the only one disappointed that when it comes to the war on terror, Obama's vision and focus seems as narrow and misguided as that of his predecessor.

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  • Display: Sort:
    Geez (5.00 / 1) (#2)
    by squeaky on Sat Aug 14, 2010 at 11:41:13 PM EST
    These people never learn. Between arming and training our future enemies, we are creating 10 new enemies with each one we kill.

    I guess a political solution does not enrich enough people selling arms, planes, and bombs, so it is more of the same.

    One thing really troubles me (5.00 / 1) (#4)
    by Militarytracy on Sun Aug 15, 2010 at 05:15:13 AM EST
    And that is Obama's desire to be completely removed from accountability and make operations "covert".  President Clinton got rid of all such actions for a reason, because there MUST be accountability.  A lack of being able to trace accountability brought us Abu Ghraib and torture.  If a President cannot be accountable for military or paramilitary actions he should not be President in my book, he or she is too much of coward and is also a global danger to sanity and safety.

    This strikes me as once again the President who speaks with a forked tongue.  He is free to give all sorts of wonderful speeches proclaiming his generosity and humanity while at the same time empowering the most powerful forces the world has ever seen to kill anyone, anywhere, and anytime and answer to nobody.  I can think of nothing more dangerous.

    The NYT article has two spelling errors (5.00 / 1) (#5)
    by Edger on Sun Aug 15, 2010 at 05:50:18 AM EST
    For some reason they printed "pursuing" and "chase".

    In roughly a dozen countries -- from the deserts of North Africa, to the mountains of Pakistan, to former Soviet republics crippled by ethnic and religious strife -- the United States has significantly increased military and intelligence operations, pursuing the enemy using robotic drones and commando teams, paying contractors to spy and training local operatives to chase terrorists.

    The correcting spelling is "creating" and "create", as in:

    In roughly a dozen countries -- from the deserts of North Africa, to the mountains of Pakistan, to former Soviet republics crippled by ethnic and religious strife -- the United States has significantly increased military and intelligence operations, creating the enemy using robotic drones and commando teams, paying contractors to spy and training local operatives to create terrorists.

    It may have been on purpose. Their purpose has always been framing to create public support for the US foreign policy establishment.

    erm... "correct spelling" ;-) (none / 0) (#6)
    by Edger on Sun Aug 15, 2010 at 05:51:32 AM EST
    Editing, Edgar -- you just edited for clarity. (5.00 / 1) (#8)
    by jawbone on Sun Aug 15, 2010 at 10:24:30 AM EST
    And more punch.

    Parent
    "Edger" (none / 0) (#9)
    by Edger on Sun Aug 15, 2010 at 10:28:54 AM EST
    ;-)

    Parent
    (Gleep) (5.00 / 1) (#14)
    by jawbone on Mon Aug 16, 2010 at 10:49:48 AM EST
    We shall reap what we sow -- Jeralyn, great post, (5.00 / 1) (#7)
    by jawbone on Sun Aug 15, 2010 at 10:23:23 AM EST
    well compliled and supported.

    And, indeed, how many do we kill, those people who are collateral damage? We'll never get an accounting, real answers from our government.

    How sad is that?

    I hope this article gets wide distribution; people need to know what is being done "in their name."

    Weak, weaker.... (5.00 / 1) (#10)
    by desertswine on Sun Aug 15, 2010 at 12:52:34 PM EST
    "Despite the airstrike campaign, the leadership of Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula survives, and there is little sign the group is much weaker."

    No, but we are. How much longer can this continue? We are engaging in operations, covert and otherwise, in virtually every country in the Middle East and beyond.

    I imagine the real power (5.00 / 1) (#11)
    by jondee on Sun Aug 15, 2010 at 01:09:19 PM EST
    in the Arabian peninsula, oil-rich and always beyond the reach - and will - of the law, pets it's militants and fanatics with one hand the same way the coalition-builders in the U.S and Israel do..

    Fanatics and Teabaggers make good foot soldiers.

    Parent

    Yes (none / 0) (#12)
    by squeaky on Sun Aug 15, 2010 at 02:10:23 PM EST
    Just like the WOD...  It appears that once we build these incredibly expensive bureaucratic 'machines', they run on automatic and the off switch gets moved to a place where no one can reach it.

    Parent
    There's no surprise in any of this, BTD. (none / 0) (#1)
    by Anne on Sat Aug 14, 2010 at 10:46:46 PM EST
    Which may be the most disappointing thing of all.

    Narrow, yes.  Misguided, absolutely.  And as long as he surrounds himself with advisors who have helped guide him - with his full cooperation - to this place, that's not going to change.

    For all that he was going to change things, bring in diverse voices, I think it's pretty clear that the echo chamber is once again ruling the day.

    Whole thing gives me a migraine.

    Jeralyn, come on now. Think a bit. (none / 0) (#3)
    by Gerald USN Ret on Sun Aug 15, 2010 at 01:28:33 AM EST
    Your statement:  "could put troops at risk of being denied Geneva Convention protections"

    That statement is kind of ridiculous.  None of our soldiers get any kind of protections.

    Dismemberment, beheading, torture, burning, dragging behind vehicles, hanging, etc.  is what our troops have learned to expect.

    There is no AQ or Taliban Gitmo.  Americans aren't so lucky.

    I've got it! (none / 0) (#13)
    by NYShooter on Sun Aug 15, 2010 at 02:18:49 PM EST
    Let's get word to the Taliban to change their name to "Republican."

    Obama will give them whatever they want; we'll be outta there in a week.