Traveling to warmer climes today.
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Unacceptable in this day and age of communication. If the protesters get their hands on the secret police documets, like East Germany, US standng in Egypt and the Arab world will fall more, if that's possible.
Does't the government understand the pan national anger conerning Palestinian isses, among others?
I think that horse has left the barn. Parent
Yes, I think our state and intelligence apparatuses are that ineffective.
Currently there appears to be no effective leadership in Egypt. This might be better than most alternatives, at least for now.
--reports of widespread looting-- sounds like Katrina redux.
I'll be following this, guaranteed. Parent
turning AJ now. Parent
I read or hear 'widespread looting' and I think the regime will be pulling out it's heavier weapons. Police in Egypt are well armed and numerous. It's a paramilitary force. Maybe no field artillery, but everything up to and includng. Parent
and I agree with you that there is no doubt that some of those police stations probably had some serious arms. Parent
Not that there's anything wrong with that. :-) Parent
I do care if it is bad for America.
I hope that you would adopt the same attitude.
Nothing I have seen in revolutions in the Middle East leads me to believe anything but that this will end with Egypt dominated by religious fanatics.
I desperately hope that I am wrong. Parent
Yes, we must protect the corporate interests and stockholder profits of American citizens and companies above the interests of the Egyptian people.
Except that the religious opposition, the Muslim Brotherhood, has been trying to piggy-back and ride the unrest to their own advantage with a notable lack of success.
Oh, I'm sorry, did I lend credence to facts ahead of your fears?
I desperately hope that I am wrong.
Given your past track record of wrong predictions you've made here, that's almost a given. Parent
Your nasty personal snark is identical to what I could expect from Dark Avenger.
I wonder why?
;-) Parent
What's nasty and/or personal in relating the fact that you have made many predictions here and at your blog, and few of them have yet to materialize.
Seems you take it personally when someone relates the truth about you, not that there's anything wrong with that :-) Parent
I submit if looting was taking place it was either just aholes or people trying to discredit the demonstrations. Parent
My husband & I were talking about this last night with some friends from Egypt. After my husband rehashed the matter of the US providing so much money to Egypt all these years--second only to $$ given to Israel--we also talked about the peace treaty way back when where the government of Egypt was willing to go against other Arabic states (and a fair portion of its own people) to recognize Israel, acknowledge it right to exist, and reach agreement. Discerning the many paths to some peaceway in the Middle East has not been easy...ever. Everyone has their own idea of what is the correct approach. At that time and for some years later, the government of Egypt allied in many ways with us. You allude to the King of Jordan: Look at the size and location, and consider the alternatives the ruler of that land has available...and, one can see the father as well as the son walking a tightrope.
I do understand woulda-coulda-shouldas; but, I'm such a believer in playing the hand you get (or inherit.) Here is what I think: (1) Yes, it can be a transformational moment all the way around...especially, if the moving forward part doesn't stumble like some revolts have by turning to juntas or reprising a "reign of terror" (ala 1792 in France or 1960s Cambodia or Nkrumah in Ghana or....) It is important to think about a transition leader. See also Al-Jazeera's comments on same subject. (2) The pendulum swings, and the US needs to ride that change with open eyes, because there are layers of issues and relationships in that part of the world that we westerners have misunderstood for centuries. To assume that there is clear good or bad in the several state structures has the drawback that we witnessed when Bush II decided to go into Iraq to make it more like us and all that. (3) The biggest assumption that I make involves our quest for oil: Until we are truly & demonstrably ready (not just talking ready) to lower significantly our dependence on oil in that part of the world, the maneuvering "ally" situation has to continue. Why? Because our own oil lust has trapped us. But then, we really have to talk about who drives what, how many miles individuals drive, how big are people's residences, how much energy do we use, from where do each of us buy our food (even, do we insist on fresh fruits from foreign climes in winter), what about all the high-tech energy driven devices, etc. Yep, #3 is the biggie. Parent
as far as what the do. IMO its a no brainer. just like the Bush Tax cuts all he has to do is nothing. Parent
The best thing which can happen is the overthrow and arrest of all those "allies" of US imperialism. Parent
If we are seen by the Muslim world as quashing a public call for democracy, how many of those young men in the streets now will be scooped by Al Qaeda? Parent
If an allied leader has lost the support of his people at even half this scale, it would be foolhardy for us to continue with our support. As for Marc Ginsberg, he brings a neocon bias to his expert opinions (e.g. a commenter for FOX and contributor to the Weekly Standard) on the Middle East, and, in this case, sees Iran's fingerprints all over these young demonstrators. Ginsberg seems to have started out well as an assistant to Senator Kennedy, Cyrus Vance, and then, made Ambassador to Morocco by President Clinton. I wonder when he stopped learning. Parent
Interesting that you heard of looting of food; reports on AJ were otherwise, and that such supplies are fine so far. However, the loss of utilities -- water, electricity, etc. -- is going to cause some privation soon, if not restored. Parent
I don't defend Mubarak at all. I do blame the US for continually backing up a repressive regime. Egypt has been our partner in the dirtiest parts of the war on terror.
I think that the US has not attempted to develop relationships with non-Mubarak actors in Egypt, but instead has marginalized those actors.
For example, El Baradei and those he influences. The US put all its eggs in the Mubarak basket. Reminds me of, oh, US policy toward Somoza, Trujillo, Duvalier, Pinochet, Pahlavi, and more.
then they choose a new person to back, irrespective of the will of the people of the independent nation.
And then, ultimately, our government will make profound statements about 'democratic reform' for the new folks, while ignoring the previous support of dictators. Parent
"I will take off my uniform and join you on the streets"
But then, he said that he would put his uniform back on at nighttime to patrol the streets, telling the people to go in their homes overnight for safety.
But there apparently are not enough military to do so, as now the people have had to form neighborhood vigilante groups, armed, to defend some areas. Awful. Parent
I'd like to see an interim military takeover of government. End Mubarak's reign, do some democracy-building, and then elections.
We won't wake up tomorrow to a provisional government of outsiders who have the social institutions in place to govern.
Interior in Egypt is set up like the KGB. Parent
I suggest the military for Egypt because as an institution, it has the respect of the people protesting, and it is conservative enough and well-disciplined enough to take over administration from the Interior.
IMO, Mubarak has eliminated any entity BUT the military that could enter and maintain the bureaucracy while joint military/civilian entities establish civil governance.
After 30 years of this strongman, and the years of Sadat and Nasser before him, nothing is in place.
In Poland, Czechoslovakia, Hungary-- well, there were social institutions in place unconnected or only remotely connected to the regimes that were replaced.
I'm not suggesting a coup. I'd like to see a resignation and a handing of power to an interim, military-headed, provisional government. Parent
Al-Jazeera indicates throught its commentators concerns about a vacuum or the eventual leader. What are your impressions of ElBaradei in any transition? Parent
But I'm just looking at this from an armchair.
I have tremendous respect for ElBaradei. My concern would be that as an interim president, he'd be blamed for the nasty mess-cleaning that will have to follow regime change.
I don't know if Egyptians would stand for a "truth commission" approach, as the South Africans did. But I don't think Egypt need collapse into complete chaos OR go toward fascism, either.
It would be exciting and interesting to be involved in the creation of a new national government, even on a low level. Parent
I am watching and listening to AJ, too -- because AJ is capable of subtleties, not simplistic all-or-nothing thinking. Parent
The extreme difference in living standards between the rich and everyone else is certainly an issue.
Average wage in Egypt is about 50 bucks a month. The ultra-wealty live like the ultra wealthy do here, above most of the laws, and above most of the social problems.
More to be said after my browser allows me to type. An ineresting and extremely importat area, Towanda. Parent
Of course I just adopted two of them. Cookie the Pit Bull looking dog (not a pit bull, amstaff, or any other 'vicious' type for legal/insurance reasons, his vet labelled him a 'mixed breed,' thank goodness) needs a companion or two.
Besides, who doesn't like fuzzy puppies?
If not, I'm flattered. Parent
'Oculus,' 'Anne,' or 'Military Tracy,' inter alia, just don't have the 'snap.' Casey, OTOH, but she's the captain, and I don't want to either kiss up or offend. Next female I adopt...
;-) I'm eager! Parent
I did manage to throw enough of the correct stuff in the soup pot, so chicken soup is simmering on the stove. I highly recommend that everyone keep a supply of chicken backs and necks in the freezer for just such occasions. Also, I have decided that nothing soothes a sore throat quite like lemon sorbet.
Jeff, you've chosen excellent names, and namesakes, for the new dogs. I trust pictures will be forthcoming. How do you think the pups will take to the sea?
Kdog, Jeff, one of you take the helm, please. Your captain needs to lie down. Parent
I have to figure out the whole flicker thing. I have pics already, sent by the rescue group. Don't know how to load them to here, though. Facebook, yes, here, I gotta see a fella about a thing.
Feel better, Casey. As I told my brother yesterday, if all else fails, drink tequila. It tastes worse than medicine. Parent
Bourbon, on the other hand, is a fine liquid refreshment. I must have some around here somewhere. :) Parent
I've got a similar allergy to cat dander. After a day around cats, I'm physically ill, even taking something like claritin beforehand. Parent
depends on the trust and confidence levels. Parent
Capitalism-- use fear and uncertainty to make money? fine.
An economic system with the ideology of cancer. ugh.
Be careful what you wish for because you may get it.
Is this Obama's Iran 1979 moment??
No one knows.
Hopefully the Iranian revolution can serve as a warning to the Egyptian people to not allow the religous tyrants to sneak in the back door while the US-friendly tyrant is kicked out the front door. I think the internet and a better educated citizenry gives Egypt a better shot at some success in building a better society than the Iranians had. Parent
Again, I hope I am wrong.
But nothing I have seen in the past, or at this time, leads me to believe I am. Parent
Though I fear that isn't going to happen...he is digging in for a fight. Parent
But I can't. And you can't. Butterflies are free but Unicorns don't exist.
If I am right then the people of Egypt will lose what small freedom they had to a religious theocracy that will bear ill will to all the non-Islamic world.
And I desperately hope that I am wrong. Parent
Eduation levels in Egypt, literacy, both much higher than Iran 1979.
Again, I see similarities between Cairo and Tehran. But this is an urban uprising based more on economics than religion. Poverty and mistreatment of the educated city population has been a driving force in this. Parent
Mostly tho, with PPJ, it's just comedy. And not intentional. Parent
Good times, good times. This guy played Polonius, BTW (link). Parent
The genocide in Guatemala is Latin America's Holocaust. Last week, a Federal indictment was issued against an ex-Guatemalan soldier who had participated in one of the many, many massacres. He was indicted for lying in his citizenship application about not having committed any crimes. Two others were recently indicted or deported for the same thing.
Reagan's henchmen in Guatemala will be hunted down one-by-one in the tradition of Simon Wiesenthal.
Iran. You have to go back to 1953. The CIA toppled the democracty in Iran and put the Shah in power because the democracy was viewed as too Left. We took the wrong side in 1953 (against Democracy) and reaped the whirlwind.
And, in 1954, the CIA toppled the democractically elected Arbenz government in Guatemala, ending its Decade of Spring. Parent
Facebook, twitter and the rest make it a different world. Parent
I think his approach so far has been acceptable. marginally. but he needs to show them that we are willing back the freedom and democracy that we like to talk about so much.
aljazerra yesterday pronounced US speaks out of both sides of its mouth. its true. man up barry.
Mubarak is a slippery f*ck. he know how to do this doesnt he?
The Egyptian Army only bought 700 M-60s.
I'll have to do housetraining, but Cookie the wonderdog (the one who resembles a pit bull but really isn't, even though he really, REALLY resembles a pit bull) will help with that, I hope.
Cookie loves other doggies and children, so not expecting any issues. Except poop. Parent
in advance for what I may say regarding our Secretary of the Treasury, Tim Geithner.
He was Charlie Rose's only guest last night, and while it wasn't the first time I saw Geithner being interviewed, or giving a speech, or whatever, it was an experience that I guess you could call an epiphany.
I would love to be able to interview Charlie about last night's show and see if his interpretation was similar to mine.
Basically..........the man (Geithner) is an incoherent, mindless, blathering fool. This isn't a simple ad hominem, it is a reasoned, clinical description.
I hope someone else in TL's audience tonight saw the show last night as describing it is very difficult. It wasn't just me that was perplexed by the man, the audience also was confused. They didn't know whether to applaud, reject, laugh, or cry at some of his babbling, masquerading as sentences. His facial reactions, or actions, also were baffling. When Charlie asked him a question, Timmy's face, and his lips, went in two separate directions. We didn't know if he was trying a little self-deprecation, humor, or was just confused.
After a while the audience responded to each of these little episodes with a kind of embarrassed murmur; you could tell they were quite uncomfortable.
And, BTW, how I wish I was there to do the interviewing as Charlie did a lousy job in probing and asking the questions anyone here would have thought of to ask. (Chas. is usually pretty good, but this was not the first time I saw Rose capitulating to a rich & powerful person)
Anyway......bizarre.
As for Geithner, your description, "an incoherent, mindless, blathering fool" fits the bill.
And, we should come to some realization, it seems to me, that we should take in something about Obama who appointed this guy in the first place. Parent