A recap of the state's case as we understand it so far: Oscar and Reeva had an argument. She packed her bag to leave. There was perhaps a tussle over the jeans, which landed up on the floor. Oscar went for his handgun. Reeva fled to the bathroom, fearing for her life. Oscar followed screaming "get the f**k out of my house. Reeva locked herself in the toilet with her cellphone. The argument may have continued there for some time. Oscar opened fire, hitting Reeva in the hip. She screamed and fell backwards onto the magazine rack... now realising what he had done, Oscar put his handgun down and went to fetch his bat.
A good example of how the state has nothing more than a theory it has not proven:
Asked by Nel to repeat the exact words he used at the perceived intruders, Pistorius said he screamed at them to "get the (expletive) out my house." ....Nel said Pistorius did use those words, but to Steenkamp in the midst of a fight the prosecution maintains ended with Pistorius shooting his girlfriend multiple times through the door.
Alternative possibilities are not proof. The prosecutor wants the court to infer from the circumstances that its theory, rather than Oscar's version, is the truth. It can't do that without evidence that definitively refutes Oscar's version, and so far I haven't seen any.
What we have is a prosecutor trying to sell a story that might fit with the facts. Oscar stuck to his version. At best, it's a wash, which means Oscar should prevail, since the state hasn't met its burden of proof.
On redirect by Oscar's lawyer, which was very short, Oscar clarified what he meant by saying on cross it was an accident. He didn't consciously decide to shoot, it was a reflexive response to hearing a noise inside the bathroom.
I don't think the prosecutor came through on his promise to show Oscar’s version is a lie.
Some minor details that came out yesterday: Photos showed the jeans both inside out and right-side in, meaning someone changed them. Reeva had access to a remote alarm in the bathroom. An expert confirmed Oscar's statement that the light in the bathroom was not working. Reeva gave Oscar a Valentine's Day card that read "Roses are red, violets are blue. 'I think today is a good day to tell you that I love you."
The defense is now putting on an array of expert witnesses who will disagree with the findings of the state's experts.
The trial has a few more weeks to go.