Update: Pennsylvania is fading for Hillary. I don't think there are enough votes left to make up the difference.. 97% of the vote is in and she's 35,000 votes behind.
Without Pennsylvania, she would have to win every electoral vote left except three. In other words, she could only afford to lose Alaska. She'd need to win Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, MN, Maine, NH.
Update: Sheriff Joe Arpaio has lost his re-election bid in Phoenix.
Update: Pennsylvania is still tight - 36,000 votes apart. Trump has won Lebanon County and Northhampton(as did Romney before him). Of the counties left with less than 100% reporting, Hillary is ahead in Lehigh and Bucks. I'm not sure there's 35,000 votes left in them though. In Minnesota, Hillary is ahead by 70,000 votes. In Wisconsin, Milwaukee and Madison still have votes out and she's ahead in both. But she's also 75,000 votes behind statewide.
Chuck Todd at NBC says Hillary doesn't have the numbers with the outstanding votes.
Update: Hillary wins Nevada. Still out: Minnesota, where Hillary is leading. She's also leading in Maine. New Hampshire is a dead heat.
Update: Pennsylvania: 100% of vote now in in Lackawana and Centre counties in PA and Hillary won both. Trump took Erie. He's winning in Northhampton. She's ahead in Lehigh and Monroe. He leads overall by 2,500 votes. Only Lebanon county is out.
Nevada is outstanding and leading towards Clinton. How has Trump not won Arizona yet.
Update: CBS expects to call the race in 30 minutes. It sounds like it thinks Trump will win. I don't see it. I think Nevada and Pennsylvania will go to Hillary. In Nevada, I think Clark and Washoe County alone are enough to give her the state. Here's the 2012 results. Here are the 2016 results so far. The counties in red are tiny counties.
Update: With 97% of the Philadelphia vote in, Hillary is ahead 82.4% to Trump's 15.5%. There aren't that many counties left to count, and she's leading in six of them and has 7,000 more votes. Only two are unreported and two leaning towards Trump.
Update: The Detroit Free Press calls Michigan for Hillary.
. It says Trump cannot win without either Michigan or Pennsylvania, even with wins in Ohio and Florida.
California passes recreational marijuana!
Update: Trump wins Florida. Wisconsin and Iowa are leaning his way. Pennsylvania, Michigan and Nevada still not called.
Update: North Carolina called for Trump.
Update: Hillary has won California and Hawaii and she now has the lead in electoral votes, 190 to 172. Florida is likely going to go to Trump. So is North Carolina.
Update: Good news, Colorado voters passed end of life options (aka physician-assisted suicide) (Proposition 106.) We don't have to move to Oregon.
Update: Hillary takes Colorado, 48% to 44%. Amazingly, on the local news, people are still in line voting. In Michigan, very little of Detroit has been counted. Nevada and Pennsylvania would seal it for her. Chuck Todd just said Broward and Miami Dade may have votes outstanding. The Florida SOS says Browaard is 100% in and it's 66.03% for Hillary. Miami Dade has just a few precincts out and it's 63.64% for Hillary.
Update: Hillary has won Virginia. CBS just called Ohio for Trump.
Update: Boulder, CO is partially in, it went 73% for Hillary so far. Totals for Colorado: Hillary ahead 48.44% to Trump's 44.01%. That's a 4.5% lead, doesn't seem like a toss-up to me. New turnout numbers:
- All Registered Voters: 3,763,219
- Ballots Cast: 1,728,433
- Voter Turnout: 45.93%
Update: Hillary is now up 17,000 votes in Virginia with Fairfax county reporting. Trump has won Missouri (no surprise there.)
Update: CBS' results in Florida are different than the Secretary of State. CBS says Trump is 2% ahead, the SOS says he is 49.15% and Hillary is at 47.72%. CBS says Colorado is a toss-up and all mail-in state. That doesn't mean you can't vote in person in Colorado, and lines were enormous everywhere. The system broke down twice and judicial intervention was sought to keep the polls open later. The judge said no. The local news showed the huge waiting lines to vote. CBS, get your facts straight. I'm changing channels. (Added: before I changed the channel, one anchor asked another, "How do you explain this?" about some result. The answer, "Uh, I don't know." How helpful.
Update: How little do I trust the mainstream media? I'm taking all my election results in battleground states from the official election results published by the states' secretary of state/election divisions. They have much more detailed information. I think the media is milking the lack of reported precincts to make it seem like more of a contest. So far, the state results have been predictable.
Memo to CBS' female anchor: No, if you're a Clinton supporter, you're not taking an anxiety pill. You're patiently waiting for results to come in, confident it will all work out. Either stop milking it or go back to working at cable news networks. We don't care about your opinion, you have no idea how we feel, we just want results.
Update: Could this be right? Voter turnout in Colorado was only 25%. (No, it's not right. The number changes, it's now at 38%.) Hillary is presently ahead, but turnout was higher in Republican counties. Registered Voters: 3,759,671; Ballots Cast: 919,837; Voter Turnout: 24.47%. Hillary has 75% of the vote in Denver, which had a 40% turnout. Boulder isn't in yet.
Update: Only 10% of the Cleveland precincts have reported so far. (Michigan report deleted, the SOS office was reporting March primary results.)
Update: North Carolina results are here. Hillary Clinton has won New York, Trump has taken Kansas and Nebraska, North Dakota and Wyoming (no surprises there).
The media wants to know why Trump is doing okay with women in Florida. Easy answer: Anti-immigrant sentiment is unfortunately important than gender.
Update: I can't believe it's only 6:45 pm here. It feels like this has been going on for hours. NBC has Hillary with 75 electoral votes and Trump with 72. No Florida, Ohio, PA, NC or VA yet.
Update: Marco Rubio has won reelection. He's doing much better than Trump. Hillary is killing Trump in Miami Dade, leading him by 30 points, 40 points in Broward, 17 points in Palm Beach and 7 points in Hillsboro. How can they not call it for Hillary?
Update: I think Hillary will take Florida. Florida turnout: Broward did not have great turnout, 615,086 of 1,179,255, 52%, but Hillary is killing Trump there with 69% of the vote. Miami Dade had much higher turnout, 959,402 of 1,379,230, 69%, and Hillary has 64% of the vote. Palm Beach not great turnout: 442,193 of 901,642, 49%, but Hillary is killing Trump there (and it's home to Trump's Mar a Lago.). Hillsboro is higher, 521,298 of 849,838, 61% and going for Hillary -- she's 9 points ahead. Volusia has very high turnout Volusia, 255,081 of 363,438, 70% and is going for Trump.
Update: No winners in the big battlegrounds yet. Hillary has won Illinois, Mass., Maryland, District of Columbia, Vermont, Delaware, Rhode Island.
Exit polls show Hillary has the votes of 20% more college educated women in Pennsylvania than Obama. Hillary has 62% of the Hispanic vote in Florida (and that is despite the Cuban vote which still are trending Republican). [More...]
Seriously? A Clinton campaign ad is running on CBS. It's 6:00 here. Who hasn't already decided who they are voting for? The polls close in Colorado in an hour and a half (voting machine problems caused the polls to extend the time.)
Update: I forgot the networks are also covering the results. I tried NBC, which at least pointed out the need to differentiate which counties have reported. But I didn't care for James Carville.
I'm now watching CBS. It was good for a half hour and now they have pollster Frank Luntz on? How did he get a job with a major network? Time to try another channel.
On Florida, Broward is not in yet. It has more than 1 million voters. So does Miami Dade. Palm Beach has 900,000 and Hillsbrough (Tampa) has 800,000. The other counties are much smaller.
The results from the predictably Republican states are coming in. I skipped them. (Indiana, KY, West Virginia). Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina are too close to call.
I keep muting CNN. Their pundits are terrible, but so is John King tonight. All he wants to talk about is how Mitt Romney and Obama did.
Wolf says Trump has to win Ohio. That just keeps him in the race a little longer.
Marco Rubio is out-performing Trump in Miami-Dade. Florida as a whole is too close to call.