After Sanders' two wins on Saturday, Clinton held a delegate lead of 1,234 to 956 over Sanders, according to an Associated Press analysis, an advantage that expands to 1,703-985 once the superdelegates are included. It takes 2,383 delegates to win.
Based on the AP count, Sanders needs to win more than 57 percent of the remaining delegates from primaries and caucuses to have a majority of those delegates by June's end.
I am also not much interested in whether Sanders' supporters accept Hillary's olive branch after he drops out and show up in November to vote for Hillary. I don't think it will be an issue by election day.
I think this election may well be decided by haters, rather than supporters, of both Hillary and Trump. The question to ask is not what Bernie's supporters will do once he's gone, but what will happen in a battle between voters who have a visceral hatred of all things Trump and those who feel that way about all things Clinton? Sanders' supporters will vote for Trump if they really, really hate Hillary, and for Hillary if they really, really hate Trump. Sanders will have very little to do with it by then.
I think those who vote based on policy are in the minority. If I didn't already have a favorite, I'd ask things like which candidate will give us better (less conservative) Supreme Court justices, which will be better for immigration reform (from an immigrant perspective), which will care more about reducing our over-reliance on incarceration (for reasons other than its cost)? The answer would be obvious to me and I'd decide to vote for Hillary over Trump.
Unfortunately, there are too many lazy citizens out there, who can't be bothered to learn about positions on issues, and instead will pull the lever for one candidate instead of the other based on nothing more than what they hear on cable news, or because whatever they did hear on cable news or read in the tabloids caused them to develop a Pavlovian-type avoidance reaction whenever they hear the other candidate's name, making it a virtual certainty they will never vote for that person.
So I'm not really following Bernie Sanders news and I'm clicking off as soon as I see a headline that suggests today's results could portend a watershed change in the outcome of the Democratic nomination.
To be sure, Republicans are no better. Ted Cruz might as well be on life support -- it seems everyone but his campaign staff and rejected candidate Carly F. knows the nomination belongs to Trump. It would take a Trump screw-up of monumental proportion for his die-hard under-educated supporters to jump ship. Something of lesser significance (like his views on torture or his comments that many perceive as misogynistic or anti-immigrant)[snark] won't cause a ripple.
It's true that anything can happen in an election. Either Hillary or Trump could be struck by lightening, opening a path for Bernie or Ted. The chances of being struck by lightening in the U.S. are 1 in 700,000 in any given year. Those are about the odds I'd give Bernie or Ted Cruz at this point.
Congrats to Bernie for his wins out West today. But a Bronx cheer for those who claim it means the outcome of the Democratic nomination is any different today than it was on Super Tuesday or two months ago or will be two months from now. As to those who think a little bird flew into a room in Seattle and told them differently, good luck with that.