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Were gas prices manipulated?

There was more than a little back and forth before the election on the mysterious decline in gas prices.  No-lead went from close to $3 down to close to $2, in the course of just a few months.  No new huge discoveries, no new technology making gas easier, cheaper or more abundant, no decline in demand.  No nothing.  Just cheaper.

So, just in case you were one of the skeptics who doubted gas prices had been manipulated around the election, I've been keeping track.  Every day, I go past an off-brand place, which (almost always) has the lowest prices I've been able to find within 10 or 15 miles of where I live.  Here's the price movement for a gallon of regular no-lead:

Monday, 11/6:  1.919

Tuesday, 11/7:  1.919

Thursday, 11/9:  1.949

Saturday, 11/11:  1.969

Monday, 11/13:  2.049

And, everywhere else, the price is rising, too.

The 1.919 on 11/6 had been there for a few days.  In the two or so weeks prior, the price had gone down to 1.929, up to 1.969, and then back down to 1.919.  In other words, a classic double bottom, for those inclined to make technical analysis charts.

Which means, prices are going up.

I'll go out on a limb, and predict we'll see $2.50 a gallon at the place I track, by spring.  And, I'll put a poll below, for those of you who care to bet for or against my prediction.  No rewards, just the satisfaction of knowing your prediction was right (or wrong).

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Poll

Will gas be $2.509 a gallon or more at the off-brand place scribe tracks, by 3/21/2007?
Yes, no-lead regular will be $2.509 or more by 3/21/07. 80%
No, no-lead regular will not be $2.509 or more by 3/21/07. 0%
Worse case: no-lead back over $3.00 by 3/21/07. 20%
Better case: no-lead under $2.00 at 3/21/07. 0%

Votes: 5
Results | Other Polls
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