Anyone who thinks that Obama is the nominee needs to prairie dog their head out of the Obamahole and take note of the fact that, if in fact he had all the SDs, they would've already gone for him.

Right now most of the "buzz" momentum is still with Obama.  They may have about the same number of people voting for them, but Obama has the noisemakers, and they are going to have a disproportionate influence on super delegates.

While he may lose whites, she will lose blacks, and though that may not affect the electoral vote, it absolutely will affect down ticket races, and the SDs are not going to risk that.

Let's say Obama is ahead by 100 pledged delegates and behind by the 15 SDs he is now.  According to RCP there are 268 unpledged supers.  Just to make up the gap Clinton would need 85, then another 92 to have a  win.  That means she would need about 66% while Obama would only need 35% of the remaining SDs to to beat her.  That seems a lot tougher than you make it sound.  The majority of SDs could buy Clinton's argument and she would still not get the nomination.

Jeralyn, here's the thing. A supermajority of superdelegates have to agree with your view for it to be plausible. Not "the superdelegates," but a massive majority. In the same sense that if Hillary Clinton were to win remaining undeclared superdelegates by her Pennsylvania margin, she wouldn't come close to winning the nomination. And, plainly, there is no such supermajority.

Likewise, we can keep doing this head-bashing-a-brick-wall thing about why you can't just manipulate vote counts to favor your candidate, but the salient point is that nobody outside the cocoon buys your math in the first place. (Likewise with shifting the magic number.)