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Don't Worry, Be Happy Redux

Eugene Robinson tells Dems not to worry:

People here complain that the polls are too close for comfort, forgetting that there is rarely anything comfortable about a presidential contest. When was the last time a non-incumbent Democrat cruised easily to the White House? Clinton, remember, won only a 43 percent plurality of the popular vote in 1992. You have to go all the way back to Franklin Roosevelt in 1932. Why would anyone think for a moment that Obama could win this without a fight?

Actually, that is sort of the worry Gene. There have not been many Democrats period winning Presidential elections lately. As for the polls, Jimmy Carter led by 30 and won by 2. Dukakis led by 17 and lost. Oh by the way, Bill Clinton won easily. The contest was not really in doubt in 1992. Gore won narrowly in 2000, with tight polls all the way. There you have the 4 "Democratic non-incumbents" of the past 32 years. Let's not discuss the other ones - McGovern, Mondale, Humphrey, Stevenson - you get my drift.

You see Gene, following YOUR advice, the Democratic Party seemed to be following a policy of trying to distance itself from the ONE GUY who actually WON Presidential elections. That worries some of us. Indeed, given your bad advice on this, I am not real happy right now with the political situation. I am worried.

By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only

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  • Display: Sort:
    I've (5.00 / 11) (#1)
    by Ga6thDem on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 06:46:36 AM EST
    already accepted that Obama will likely lose in Nov. At least his team NOW realizes that he has a problem and are trying to correct it at the eleventh hour. His campaign has been abysmal for over 5 months now. He's failed to expand his demographics and lay the groundwork for a win in Nov. The same people that were pushing Obama over the line in June are the same ones that have put forth all the presidential losers. Maybe next time they'll listen to the voters?

    Losing as a habit or a practice. (5.00 / 13) (#24)
    by Nike on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:15:37 AM EST
    I agree. It is very worrying that those in the DNC who have most strongly and had most quickly supported Obama are those who past credentials are all losses. For some of these people (e.g. boosters like Donna Brazile) being a political winner by being a political loser is a way of doing business. Others, like Dean, have perhaps wanted to win, but unlike Clinton, have not done so. Some like Pelosi are perhaps just as happy to be able to say, well, I tried without ever having to put up the goods. But for whatever reason, this campaign does not have many people who have had the experience, habit, or practice of winning, and that is not a positive thing.

    Parent
    So...where ARE the folks (5.00 / 1) (#46)
    by Fabian on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:33:04 AM EST
    who brought us two Clinton wins?  (Besides the Clintons, that is.)

    If you want someone with a track record....

    Parent

    What about their western strategy (5.00 / 15) (#55)
    by BernieO on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:44:52 AM EST
    where they turn their backs on the working class  and poor to favor the "knowledge workers" and small businesses? Surely that will be a winner! After all those states like Montana and Wyoming are so densely populated that they outweigh Pa and Ohio.....

    If you think I'm nuts just listen to yesterday's Fresh Air interview with Ryan Lizza on NPR or read his article in the New Yorker. These guys are willing to dump the core principles of the party in order to gain power. Forget the concerns of the lower classes, just win.... If they succeed (which looks pretty doubtful, especially if people catch on to their objectives) we will have one party with two divisions,Republican and Republican Lite. So much for democracy!

    Parent

    Strategy? They have a strategy? (5.00 / 3) (#59)
    by myiq2xu on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:52:38 AM EST
    I thought they were just making it up as they went along.

    Parent
    Ding ding ding! (5.00 / 14) (#61)
    by lambert on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:55:27 AM EST
    What you said:

    These guys are willing to dump the core principles of the party in order to gain power.

    Exactly.

    This should come as no surprise.

    What we now need to show them is that they made bad decisions about where the power really lies.

    Parent

    it still amazes me (5.00 / 10) (#68)
    by ccpup on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:04:10 AM EST
    that politicians always forget that without me (and you and you and, yes, even you ... over there), they HAVE NO JOB!

    Piss me off and then expect me to turn around and vote for you?  Nope, ain't gonna happen.  Oh, you have a (D) behind your name?  That's nice.  I do, too.  But I don't stab those in my own Party and it's Voters in the back in a desperate, greedy scramble up that slippery slope to the Brass Ring.

    So, without me, Mr. and Mrs. Politician, you're just a well-dressed person on a job interview hoping to get your contract renewed for another four or two or six years.

    And if you can't or won't or didn't deliver the goods you promised LAST time you stood in front of me angling for that position, what makes you think I'll believe or trust you now?

    In the end, whatever power you have is up to me and millions just like me.  Forget that and you might as well call the movers and start boxing up your office now.

    Parent

    I'm not as sure as BTD that Obama (5.00 / 3) (#95)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:25:21 AM EST
    is going to win this.  When McCain starts getting real dirty Obama is going to need his base and I don't know how much of the base is going to be there for him....I don't know if it's going to be enough for him to win it.

    Parent
    obama's victory may well ratify (5.00 / 4) (#161)
    by sancho on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:13:19 AM EST
    the one party, with token pretend divisions, we already have. that's why, imo, the clinton hatred was cranked up so high by the media. it wasnt just CDS--some people's, some very few people's, interests were being served. and with the clintons out, those folks win either way. and that's what we call democracy in the usa. now where's my convention hat?

    Parent
    the scenarios - (5.00 / 2) (#74)
    by Josey on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:08:15 AM EST
    If Obama loses, it will be because of his skin color and the Clintons didn't support him enough - rather than his lack of specificity on the issues.
    If he wins, it will be a success for the media and PR/marketing strategies.
    Woot!


    Parent
    Agreed! (5.00 / 3) (#2)
    by TN Dem on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 06:48:51 AM EST
    What, for me, is most disturbing is the trend at this point. It seems that people are becoming less likely to endorse Obama. To make matters worse, it seems that the campaign which capitalized in so many ways on the Clinton campaign's first push towards 'inevitability' is too full of 'confidence' to acknowledge it.

    I think the debates will be extreemely telling. If we don't see a fairly strong turn-around after those, I think Obama will have a tougher time than Robinson alleges.

    and if obama loses in nov. (5.00 / 4) (#5)
    by sancho on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 06:56:39 AM EST
    robinson will be inpsired by the "nobility" of his nomination, the "beauty" of his loss, and the chutzpah of those clintons. and we'll hear much about how obama's loss guarantees hillary cant run in '12. and all the dems who brought us this debacle (and i still hope mccain does not win) will congratulate themselves on their foresight and vision and courage in bringing this "great" loss to pass.

    the repitition of this cycle is why we get stevensons and mondales and dukakises and kerrys.

    btw, watching the post-first night coverage, i didnt see a lot of media darling status--in part b/c obama's supporters (robinson and olberman and brazile) just aren't as good as the republican hacks.  

    Parent

    Eugene Robinson has lost all... (5.00 / 11) (#22)
    by Maria Garcia on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:14:41 AM EST
    ...credibility with me. It's as if some of these Obama fans in the media think that their whole lives were leading up to this moment. They are too invested to be objective, but that's been the case with MSM for many years now.

    Parent
    I Totally Agree (5.00 / 7) (#197)
    by flashman on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:42:27 AM EST
    It is, in fact, these overly biased so-called journalists who drove me away from the MSM and to these blogs.  Bloberman, Robinson, Maddow, Roland Martin, Jamal Simmons, etc.  Good Gawd, what awful sin have we committed to have these gasbags hoisted upon us.  I can't stand the sight of them anymore.  And BTW, I'll never forgive or forget when Robinson said that every American, who was offended by the "bitter" remark was just "stupid."  What a jacka$$.

    Parent
    Distancing themselves (5.00 / 16) (#3)
    by Notyoursweetie 0 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 06:53:59 AM EST
    from the one successful president in recent times.
    They are doing more than that. They are
    rewriting history
    Krugman wrote: it could have been so easy! Just compare W with 8 years of peace and prosperity!
    Unfortunately, there was another agenda, and it didn't imply winning the eelction.


    Distancing Theirselves From Clinton (5.00 / 6) (#200)
    by flashman on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:45:42 AM EST
    Didn't Al Gore make that mistake?  Who doesn't the party learn from its mistakes.  

    Those who fail to learn the lessons of history are doomed to repeast them.  For that reason, I forsee a loss for the party on November.  ( not that I'm hoping for that; it just appears to be inevitable. )

    Parent

    Unbelievable (5.00 / 16) (#4)
    by mmc9431 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 06:55:05 AM EST
    Considering the political climate fueled by the worst president in history, I don't think it was unreasonable for Dem's to expect a landslide election.If you would have asked me a year ago I would have thought could have nominated Elmer Fudd and still won hands down. That the Democratic Party has managed to turn this into a horse race is a testament to their incompetance.

    had they nominated elmer fudd (5.00 / 3) (#6)
    by sancho on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 06:57:51 AM EST
    they would win! he looks good in a hunting outfit.

    Parent
    Elmer Fudd is white... (1.33 / 3) (#11)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:08:41 AM EST
    Elmer Fudd is white.  That would give Obama a 10pt bump right there in the polls.

    Parent
    kerry and dukakis and mondale (5.00 / 6) (#38)
    by sancho on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:27:16 AM EST
    and all the others were white too. dems prove over and over being white is not enough.

    i wish obama were a better candidate b/c i do want the dems to win.

    one of barack's appeals is that he is different--he at times does seem to have an aura of something special. running as a good ole average amaerican family (who made it to the Ivy Leagues just like most good old American families!) is not going to get him elected. whever good and bad people think of obama, no one beleives obama or his family is average. you cant market that concept now.

     

    Parent

    Ok then, (5.00 / 5) (#100)
    by dk on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:29:36 AM EST
    How about Jesse Jackson (Sr.), Deval Patrick, or Maxine Waters.  I bet all of them would be doing better than Obama right now.  You know why?  Because they talk and act like Democrats.

    Parent
    There's always an excuse as (5.00 / 4) (#7)
    by zfran on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 06:59:40 AM EST
    to why he's not way ahead right now. People are not engaged until after Labor Day, they don't know Barack yet, Dems. always poll like this, etc. etc.

    I think that Labor Day argument is (5.00 / 9) (#14)
    by inclusiveheart on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:10:35 AM EST
    particularly irksome - if no one is paying attention before Labor Day then why are we erecting extravagant stages, producing expesive 16:9 videos (that are being shown in 4:3 with the edges cut off), and televising countless Democratic speakers when Labor Day is next week?

    Either you dive in and get people's attention or you keep making excuses about why they are ignoring you.

    Parent

    speaking of the stage - (none / 0) (#36)
    by Josey on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:23:55 AM EST
    what's with the carnival thing?  or maybe it's part of a spaceship?


    Parent
    Ha - the tasteful stage. Personally.. (5.00 / 4) (#121)
    by Dr Molly on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:47:33 AM EST
    I think they should have gone all the way and had the mothership come down, along with a P. Funk reunion. At least then, watching last night would have been worth my time. What a complete waste of oxygen those speeches were.

    The only thing I liked were the kids - adorable.

    Parent

    I thought it was pretty cool (5.00 / 1) (#164)
    by inclusiveheart on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:16:38 AM EST
    but I do that stuff for a living so I have a different perspective.  I didn't pay as close attention last night to how the camera shots looked which is my main critique of live event stage design that is set for a televised program too.  Obama looked weird talking about the people he was with even though we couldn't see them on the smaller screen set down just by the speakers - in the long shot I could see that he was flanked by the other people on the large 16:9 screen above - that was a mistake that the director should have responded to.  But it was the failure to convert the 16:9 videos for 4:3 broadcast that drove me nuts last night - they can fix that easily - I hope they are working on that today.

    Parent
    There's always an excuse as (5.00 / 3) (#122)
    by delacarpa on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:49:12 AM EST
    to the reason for not voting for him and now it is because we or I don't know him yet. I have done my homework and that is the problem, I know too much. Most people don't know him is because he isn't telling and they don't get the info with the media. It is slowing coming to light as the media darling hasn't been vetted enough but trust me he will be soon.

    Parent
    Come on BTD (5.00 / 4) (#8)
    by Lahdee on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:02:55 AM EST
    It's Clinton's fault after all, just ask Jim Clyburn. And Gene, he sees what's in front of him, can't be looking for much more than the obvious from him.

    It's really laughable (5.00 / 10) (#9)
    by frankly0 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:06:35 AM EST
    to see the many rationalizations Obama supporters contrive for his poor performance, and the big show of "confidence" in his prospects they put on for the benefit of the world at large.

    The rage the other day was how Obama was showing he knew how to "fight back" because of his attacks on McCain over how many houses he owned. Even Krugman pushed this as if it were a great tactic.

    Yet look at the two tracking polls by Gallup and Rasmussen. Essentially, together, they didn't budge an inch.

    Sorry Obama people. Winning elections is hard work, and requires at the Presidential level great talent or extraordinary circumstances, certainly for Democrats.

    I will never think that Obama possesses great talent as a politician. Whether today's environment is so favorable for him that it might compensate for his poor knack for politics is the question to which no one can claim to have a definitive answer.

    Just to provide the obvious (5.00 / 17) (#23)
    by frankly0 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:15:09 AM EST
    examples of "great talent" for politics vs. "extraordinary circumstances".

    Bill Clinton was the great talent for the Democrats in recent years. Carter got into office under extraordinary circumstances.

    Of course, only Bill Clinton won a second term. That's because circumstances can easily change, whereas talent abides.

    Parent

    Of course Perot was also running (none / 0) (#126)
    by samtaylor2 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:50:56 AM EST
    That obviously helped Clinton win a lot.  I don't remeber Clinton for his election campaigns but for what he did for our economy.  In terms of how he did, if you read Obama's posistions and read about his advisors and his discussions of them- there is no running away from that Democratic legacy.  

    Parent
    Wrong. (5.00 / 6) (#210)
    by Landulph on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 10:07:28 AM EST
    Perot drew votes equally from both parties--academic studies of the '92 election have repeatedly shown this. Stop posting GOP lies here.

    Parent
    hmmm (none / 0) (#86)
    by Jlvngstn on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:19:17 AM EST
    Hillary finished 2nd.  Guess his campaign outworked her at least.

    Parent
    I Beg To Differ (none / 0) (#209)
    by creeper on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 10:04:25 AM EST
    As a politician, Obama possesses a huge amount of talent.

    As a statesman...not so much.

    Parent

    Well, we all know (5.00 / 2) (#15)
    by camellia on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:10:36 AM EST
    that the problem is Hillary.  She just isn't trying hard enough, despite her promise to campaign her heart out for him.  C'mon Hill, get moving.  The Big O might lose this if you don't.

    Hillary is a woman (5.00 / 1) (#29)
    by Fabian on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:17:57 AM EST
    and we know women always get stuck doing everyone else's scut work.  So I think it's time for Michelle to pitch in a little too - maybe the Michelle and Hillary Goodwill Tour?

    Parent
    This criticism was about the campaign (5.00 / 5) (#16)
    by Fabian on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:10:51 AM EST
    not the candidate.

    Objectively, this campaign has been less than stellar.  I could list the ways, but it would hog the bandwidth.  

    I call (5.00 / 7) (#17)
    by Ga6thDem on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:11:19 AM EST
    them like I see them. If you can't deal with that then don't reply to my comments, okay?

    I've known Obama would have serious electoral problems since March. When after winning all those contests in Feb, he started losing swing states in the Dem primary I knew there wasn't much excitement for him outside of the McGovern/Dukakis coalition. Rev. Wright did huge damage too. Obama never got out in front of his baggage and has even failed to do it at this late date. Look at the mistakes from 2004. They are being repeated again in 2008.

    Not winning all those "contests" (5.00 / 8) (#62)
    by lambert on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:56:59 AM EST
    Winning all those caucuses.

    Obama, though the Democratic nominee, did not win a majority of Democrat votes, and required the help of the DNC/RBC to drag the unity pony over the finish line.

    Parent

    and they wonder (5.00 / 10) (#70)
    by ccpup on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:06:01 AM EST
    why the Democratic Base isn't behind the Nominee?

    Maybe it's because they didn't vote for him in the first place?

    Good luck figuring out how to fix THAT little problem.

    Parent

    My patience is growing (5.00 / 8) (#19)
    by weltec2 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:11:52 AM EST
    shorter and shorter with Obama supporters who already seem to sense that failure and loss is in the air and are already blaming Clinton for it before hand.

    i support Obama (5.00 / 1) (#26)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:15:44 AM EST
    and i dont blame Hillary for anything?

    whats your point?

    Parent

    WOW One Obama supporter (5.00 / 9) (#92)
    by Jjc2008 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:23:20 AM EST
    is NOT blaming Hillary and Bill YET.

    Watch the news.  Listen to the Obama campaign surrogates.  Hillary was not enthusiastic enough in FL (nevermind one of her closest friends had just died the day before...that darn Hillary should have been more...)
    Hillary needs to get out there and do more (while Obama is lounging on the beach in Hawaii.
    Hillary and Bill better not steal the spotlight.

    And just this morning I heard that Bill and Hillary better be careful...don't be too good and outshine Obama, but don't be too low key and come off as not enthusiastic enough.

    SHEESH when does it get to be Obama's election to win.  When do Dean, Pelosi, Obama, Brazille start to take some responsibility?  

    Parent

    They started blaming Hillary in February (5.00 / 12) (#64)
    by myiq2xu on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:58:06 AM EST
    Even though she won big on Super Tuesday, she was accused of knee-capping Obama because she didn't quit.

    Parent
    yes (5.00 / 12) (#87)
    by ccpup on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:19:23 AM EST
    it was very, VERY rude of her to keep winning the big Primary States when everyone KNEW Obama was The One.  Well, everyone except for the actual Democratic Primary Voters, it seems.

    And the clueless poo-bahs at the DNC wonder why he's not polling higher with the millions of (D)s across the Country?

    Maybe because they didn't vote for him and didn't want him in the first place?

    Possibly.

    The DNC is neither the Democratic Party nor it's Voters.  And they shouldn't have chosen the Nominee the way they did.  And that's why he'll lose in November.

    Parent

    It's also the hubris (5.00 / 9) (#98)
    by janarchy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:28:17 AM EST
    "I can get her voters. She can't get mine."

    And now everyone is just supposed to magically fall in line and vote for Teh One because the DNC says so.

    Erm, no. The DNC can bully the delegates and superdelegates into a fake show of Unity as they are doing, but last time I checked, they can't force the voters to do what they want. No matter how often Donna Brazile threatens blood on the streets. At this point, I wouldn't vote for Obama if he paid me.

    Parent

    that "blood in the streets" (5.00 / 3) (#139)
    by ccpup on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:58:28 AM EST
    threat is truly frightening.  Has Obama said or done anything to dissuade people from rioting should he lose?  Or has he turned a blind eye and given tacit permission for that to happen?

    Brazile may want to watch what she says when it comes to urging people to riot.  Isn't that against the law or something?

    Parent

    I don't sense failure- I am very excited about (5.00 / 0) (#129)
    by samtaylor2 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:52:15 AM EST
    our prospects.  You should speak for youself.  YOU sense failure in the air.

    Parent
    Your post is off topic. (5.00 / 1) (#20)
    by Maria Garcia on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:12:31 AM EST


    Robinson shoots self in foot citing 1932 (5.00 / 9) (#21)
    by pluege on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:14:13 AM EST
    You have to go all the way back to Franklin Roosevelt in 1932.

    The crux of the concern - very legitimate - is that conditions exist today similar to those of 1932 where FDR ran against a hugely unpopular republican administration. It should be a laugher this year also, which should have allowed democrats to use their once in 75 years advantage to move forward progressive programs such as universal healthcare. Instead the Obama campaign has fumbled badly into a dead heat that should be a romp for Obama.

    polls (none / 0) (#28)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:17:51 AM EST
    polls mean what?  Jimmy carter was light years ahead and in the end barely won.

    I rather it be close now so OBAMA fights harder.

    a big poll lead  complancent over-confident Obama Campaign would lose.

    Parent

    But the point of the post is (5.00 / 5) (#32)
    by inclusiveheart on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:19:42 AM EST
    that the typical Obama fan response to the race being a dead heat isn't to fight harder - it is "relax" - that is the problem.

    Parent
    Yeah, Great Point (5.00 / 2) (#208)
    by flashman on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:55:49 AM EST
    Often, by the time I've read down this far, I've forgotten what the original point is. :)

    Parent
    That is hardly encouraging (5.00 / 10) (#41)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:29:12 AM EST
    Dems blow leads in polls is the point.

    Parent
    People who keep trying to placate (5.00 / 4) (#30)
    by inclusiveheart on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:17:58 AM EST
    those of us who are rightfully nervous about the numbers as they stand right now are doing a huge disservice to Obama's campaign.

    Right now they need to put it into high gear - now - not "after Labor Day" or after September 11th or after October 1st - they need to get it into high gear now.  To that end, they need to create a sense of urgency amongst their supporters and get them out there to help get Obama MORE VOTERS to committ to the ticket.  Telling people it will all be alright is counter-productive.  

    Even if Obama still had a huge lead, they should be creating a sense of urgency about winning and getting out ever single vote.  They are dead even and they are telling us it will all work out?  Crazy.

    I for one (5.00 / 1) (#40)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:29:03 AM EST
    I have joined the OBAMA campaign here in Philly. However this is 100% Obama country.. but voter reg is the main thing is the key
    I am  doing wat Hillary asked of us all,

    Parent
    Lucky for all of us you had the (5.00 / 1) (#50)
    by inclusiveheart on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:35:15 AM EST
    good sense to see that we still have more work to do - now if only we could get the campaign to start acting like they are ten points behind rather than ten points ahead we'd be golden.

    Parent
    Obama and his surrogates - (5.00 / 8) (#57)
    by Josey on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:48:17 AM EST
    didn't begin affirming Hillary and the Clinton administration until after PUMAs (and undecideds) were deemed a factor during the past few weeks.
    Michelle even mentioning Hillary last night must have seemed like a big, big deal - to the Obama campaign. But perhaps that brief acknowledgement did gain Obama some votes.

    Obama's problem is erroneously dismissing PUMAs as 'bitter deadenders' or 'racists' who refuse to 'get over it.'  When actually Obama hasn't changed the minds of PUMAs who always viewed him as inexperienced and unqualified - stealing policy positions from Hillary and Edwards while promoting Obama Girl videos and leading "yes we can" chants.

    Specifics on issues and solutions are still a low priority for Obama. And if the media gives him a pass during the GE debates, as they did in the primary debates - ugh.


    Parent

    Bingo, again (5.00 / 6) (#82)
    by lambert on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:15:45 AM EST
    Again, it's just pure power. So, we need more pressure, not less.

    We can't rely on Obama or his supporters to defend us, so that's how it has to be.

    And with the stats the way they are with Hillary supporters not yet persuaded, forcing the question "And we get?" is perfectly legitimate and laudable.

    So it's the Obama supporters who are going to need to "get over it." Not us.

    Parent

    Now that they've kicked out (5.00 / 9) (#31)
    by alsace on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:18:57 AM EST
    us old folks and others in the base, the Postpartisan can proceed with his strategy of attracting Republicans.  I have a notion about how that will work out.

    No escaping the truth (5.00 / 6) (#43)
    by pluege on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:31:01 AM EST
    it doesn't matter whatever combination of quackery resulted in a slim CW advantage of an Obama win in the primaries - it doesn't change the fact that Obama truly is not ready to be POTUS. As dumb as the American voter seems at times, there will be no hiding this from them. Whether or not enough voters are willing to risk Obama's unreadiness because of their disgust of the ruination the republicans have caused remains to be seen. Even bush was more experienced having been Governor of a big state and still he had to surround himself with poppies wise old men. Obama now has to do the same, only he has even more weakness to overcome, ergo Biden. Of course nearly all of the 'wise old men' experience in the democratic party are Clintonites and Obama will be sure not to draw on them to shore up his inexperience. He already has eschewed the 8 years of prosperity under Clinton that is fresh in the minds of Americans, not taking advantage of the greatest contrast in republican rule of the last 8 years.

    Please don't compare Obama's experience to Bush (none / 0) (#89)
    by wasabi on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:22:16 AM EST
    The Governor's job in Texas is by design a primarily ceremonial position in Texas.  All real power resides in the Lt. Governorship.

    Like Bush adding Cheney to the ticket, Obama has acknowledged his shortcomings in the "gravitas" department.

    Parent

    So, I guess my question to Robinson is, (5.00 / 14) (#49)
    by Anne on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:34:10 AM EST
    when does Obama start fighting his way to a win?  Or is that going to be all Joe Biden's responsibility?

    For that matter, when does the party itself take off the gloves?

    You know there is something wrong when, 19 months after Obama started his run, and two months before the election, the Democratic party is going to waste four days "introducing" Barack Obama to the nation.

    In 2004, it was "don't bash Bush" and "let's help America see that we are, too, patriotic and capable of being strong on national security," a plan that didn't work too well.

    The party has learned nothing, it seems, and there is no excuse for that.  

    I'm betting that Hillary - and Bill - will be the ones to come out swinging against the GOP, and people will look at each other and wonder if the party might not have chosen the wrong candidate to be the nominee.

    As an aside, in my paper this morning, a couple of Clinton delegates in the Maryland delegation are reporting irritation with the pressure by the Obama campaign to make the roll-call vote a unanimous one for Obama; it's making some of them more determined than ever to cast their votes for Hillary.  

    The cluelessness continues.

    The way the roll call vote (5.00 / 8) (#58)
    by sleepwalker on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:52:30 AM EST
    is being handled is cowardly on Obama's part. Let the delegates vote the way they are pledged to vote. Let the SDs vote their conscience. Have enough intestinal fortitude to take the risk. If not, McCain's next ad will feature Clinton supporters asking people if they want a President who's a coward. Too afraid to let people vote.

    Parent
    silly comment (5.00 / 1) (#67)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:03:26 AM EST
    so we can add the word coward to define OBAMA along with  weak,lightweight and unelectable.

    Parent
    Yep, (5.00 / 5) (#76)
    by sleepwalker on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:09:29 AM EST
    I think he's scared sh!tless that he wouldn't prevail if a real roll call vote is held.

    Parent
    Well, Mr. Pope, perhaps you could give us (5.00 / 10) (#96)
    by Anne on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:28:03 AM EST
    a better reason for why Obama seems afraid to let the roll-call go forward without pressure on the Clinton delegates.  Come on, what is it?

    It's the whole unity thing, isn't it?  You think it's because nomination by acclamation would show the voters that the party really is united behind Obama.  Well, that would be just swell, but that works better for the unity meme when it doesn't come by strong-arming the delegates, and threatening them with being replaced.

    See, I think the voters are more impressed with the democratic process.  Letting the process play out, and accepting whatever the results are shows that we - as a party - are committed to fairness and playing according to our own rules.  It strengthens our commitment to voting rights in general, doesn't it?  I mean, if we've already perverted the process and interfered with the voters by the RBC's actions on Florida and Michigan, and restoring their delegations to full voting rights seems less like it was done because it was the right thing to do, and more to blunt the effect of delegate votes for Clinton, I think we have little room to complain when there are, as they say, "voting irregularities" in the actual election, or when overzealous US Attorneys or Secretaries of State attempt to interfere in the voting process.  All around, pretty much bad form.

    If Obama's not afraid, why try to manipulate the process - again?  Unity's one thing, but being tagged with the label of "can't win unless he can change the rules when the chips are down" isn't exactly a winning platform - it's a character flaw that does not translate well to holding the reins of power, ya know what I mean?

    Actually, you probably don't.


    Parent

    Consider how bad it would look... (5.00 / 4) (#112)
    by Dawn Davenport on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:40:10 AM EST
    ...if delegates voted as they'd been elected on the first roll call: MA, FL, PA, OH, CA, etc., going for Clinton, while the Dem delegations from UT, MT, AK, WY and other rock-right states skew toward Obama, and voters see the caucus scheme in red states for what it was: a savvy endgame around states that vote Dem in general elections.

    While I agree with whoever said upthread that if Ted Kennedy could run against a sitting president in the 1980 primary and still get a roll call, then so should Hillary, I can certainly understand Obama's team's reluctance to grant it, considering how bad it would make him look.

    Parent

    It wasn't Obama's request to grant, (5.00 / 8) (#118)
    by Anne on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:45:31 AM EST
    and I wish people would stop buying the BS from the Obama campaign that (1) they "allowed" her name to be placed in nomination and (2) that they were always in favor of it.

    If nothing else, their strong-arm tactics certainly do not suggest they were ever in favor of anyone at the convention having the opportunity to vote for Clinton.

    Parent

    Oh, I agree, Anne.. (5.00 / 3) (#125)
    by Dawn Davenport on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:50:43 AM EST
    ...and I should have put the word "grant" in quotes, I see in retrospect. But since Obama's team had such utter control over the DNC and its convention this year, it really did hold the power to frame the issue, if not ultimately withhold the roll call.

    I think it was a psy-op game against Clinton via framing/messaging that allowed Obama's team to make it seem as if it were some sort of oddity to follow the rules that have been in place forever.

    Parent

    And the (5.00 / 4) (#190)
    by Ga6thDem on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:34:09 AM EST
    same number hates Obama's guts. So what? Despite what Obama and his campaign think they are NOT good strategists. If they were, they wouldn't be tied with McCain right now.

    Parent
    Democrats should worry (5.00 / 1) (#65)
    by Redshoes on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:58:09 AM EST
    I don't often find myself listening closely to James Carville but I too am mystified as to why Democrats don't seem to be fighting for this election or as he says "why'd they hiding the message" -- last night's events while sentimental did nothing to remind this voter why November matters so much.  

    Then after the convention coverage I flip over to Jay (also a rare occurrence) and who shows up by John McCain just as affable and "reasonable" as can be.  This morning the message is all about Madonna comparing McCain to Hilter and when the pretty people talking on cable are talking about that they're all over HRC for talking the talk but in their opinion not walking the walk.

    Doesn't Obama have an surrogates who can get the message.  

    I want to believe he's going to win in November (how could he not) and that all this hand-wringing and angst is just indulgence but having been down this road too many times I just want a campaign where the Democrats and not the Republicans pull the strings and don't get caught in the trap of personality over policy.

    Carville's comment was (5.00 / 7) (#105)
    by Aqua Blue on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:32:52 AM EST
    important.   The issues are not being clearly and repeatedly stated.

    The introduce the candidate crap is wasting free national airtime.   If the canidate were qualified he would not have to be introduced.

    Carville is a brilliant strategist.   Too bad that Obama campaign is not using his talent.  (Oh, I forgot, Carville would remind people of Bill Clinton.  And, all things Clinton must be avoided.)

    Parent

    Well....then Obama and (5.00 / 6) (#130)
    by Aqua Blue on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:53:07 AM EST
    his supporters should have reached out to form a broad coalition.

    He should have selected Hillary as VP.  

    Parent

    If 200 plus years of the republic is at stake, (5.00 / 10) (#165)
    by MO Blue on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:16:38 AM EST
    why was Obama willing to place it in further jeopardy by voting in favor of FISA. Eliminating 4th Amendment rights and strengthening the precedent that the president is above the law weakens our democratic system rather than protecting it,

    Parent
    Right (5.00 / 12) (#203)
    by Nadai on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:48:40 AM EST
    The entire course of Western Civilization depends upon the unification of the Democratic Party.

    Yet, strangely, it's not important enough for Obama to rein in his rabid supporters who are alienating the very people he needs to vote for him.  Odd.

    Parent

    Up to Obama to win those voters (5.00 / 13) (#69)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:05:55 AM EST
    Good to see that Obama supporters will not change their tune.

    Some of you are his worst enemies.

    Perhaps we are (1.50 / 2) (#109)
    by Jlvngstn on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:38:47 AM EST
    but last I checked this blog was about left issues and crime.  Yet we are constantly exposed to petulant and snide remarks about Obama.  The anger from some HRC supporters is disgusting and it seems to me that some are content with consistently spitting in the face of his supporters with their venom.  Once or twice is understandable but the repetitious catty bs here is tiresome and I enjoy watching an O supporter spit back.  If you had the same standard for HRC supporters as you have for O supporters this might be actually be a great site again.  Take a look at the Michelle Obama speech entry on this site.  Get the lumber out of your eyes before you try and get the toothpick out of theirs.

    Parent
    Miss the point (5.00 / 8) (#134)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:53:56 AM EST
    Obama is the nominee. He needs the votes.

    So I refer you to my post form yesterday, "Entitled To Their Vote" to see if maybe you can understand what I am talking about.

    Parent

    I guess it is a matter of opinion (none / 0) (#170)
    by Jlvngstn on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:19:28 AM EST
    On how much he has to "grovel" or how much his supporters have to swallow from SOME rabid HRC supporters who constantly vomit their words about him.  I would imagine there are plenty of O supporters who read this site and the few morons who post the same drivel every darned day are repsonding to that drivel. I don't think BO or his supporters need to swallow dung on this site to make the few idiots happy.  Nor do I think they should have to read the consistent barrage of personal non relevant attacks without reprise.  I think they should have the same liberties you give the HRC wing.  You and I disagree on what "he needs", and what he doesn't need is a bunch of followers begging anyone on this site for his votes.  What he needs is to practice debating for 3 hours a day before he gets his clock cleaned by McCain.  What he needs is an aggressive economic plan that gets middle america excited.  He needs to focus on providing solutions to this nations severe problems not on mending a small portion of HRC's supporters who are bitter over the loss.  I encourage them to vote McCain and more importantly I encourage them to develop some new attack material for O that actually focuses on issues, of course that would require them to read up on the issues...

    Parent
    ahhhh (5.00 / 2) (#173)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:20:28 AM EST
    poor baby.  got snapped at.  it will be OK.
    really.

    Parent
    It is Barack Obama's convention (1.50 / 4) (#180)
    by Jlvngstn on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:25:58 AM EST
    that got your panties in a bind doesn't it?  Or was it that O didn't even consider her for the VP?  Or is that he is not bending over to kiss her arse despite all the belly aching from you and the like?  Good for him.  That is leadership.  I hope to see more of it.

    Parent
    Awesome, the same leadership that led him (5.00 / 8) (#187)
    by Democratic Cat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:32:24 AM EST
    to filibuster FISA! Oh wait.

    My problem with politicans like Sen. Obama is that they spend their time slapping at their fellow Democrats rather than slapping at the GOP. I can respect a politican who stands for something and who leads, but not one who appears to confuse leadership with giving in to a President with a 30% approval rating.

    Parent

    and nod doubt you will get your wish (5.00 / 1) (#191)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:35:35 AM EST
    if not your president

    Parent
    What's your opinion (none / 0) (#132)
    by Edgar08 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:53:18 AM EST
    Of the way Markos Moulitsas and Arianna Huffington talk about Democrats?

    Parent
    The same mistakes and bullwash (5.00 / 1) (#77)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:10:31 AM EST
    and it gets mighty tiresome.  I wish I knew why this consistently happens within and to the party.  So many within the party are intimidated by the Clintons also, and the past Clinton political machine did work so well that it got hard to make Bill accountable when it was needed but the Clintons always fullout play to win......period!  I never loose anything easily in my own real life.  I just don't, I'm not interested in martyrdom........it's overrated.  I don't know why tending to the greater good and the people in general are such a priority with me when I could just be a Republican and do or say whatever it took to win and then I could feather all my nests at the expense of the do-gooders under my thumb. Sadly I was born with a conscience though.  There was one supposed slam out there that I never "Got" that was thrown around by both Clinton and Obama supporters during the primary, that slam about doing and saying whatever it took to win - ummmmm, that is what a campaign is supposed to do while the voters are supposed to make the candidates accountable for the promises they make to get the win.

    Why are you acting like this? (5.00 / 2) (#85)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:17:37 AM EST
    What is it that you hope to gain?

    SO (none / 0) (#115)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:43:18 AM EST
    so an Obama supporter treating Hillary with the highest regard, love and respect  would =   disrespecting Hillary?

    Parent
    First of all (5.00 / 8) (#151)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:06:19 AM EST
    I honestly don't think you have regard for Hillary based on how you have worded your other comments here.  If you want to treat Hillary like she's a diety that's your business.  If you want my opinion about it as it seems you do because you show up here to tell me your business, just treat her like you would other human beings.  Treat her with the same decency and respect you want to be treated with yourself.  As far as "work" goes, she's a politician last time I checked and not God.

    Parent
    Hey, Obama supporter, "get over it" (5.00 / 10) (#88)
    by lambert on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:20:14 AM EST
    When you write:

    wanna win? vote for obama..that'show it's done.

    do you know what that translates to?

    It's translates to "We have leverage."

    So, you need to get over it, and start answering the question: "And we get?" [No SCOTUS talking points, please!]

    Police state..... (5.00 / 9) (#123)
    by Aqua Blue on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:49:31 AM EST
    You mean like the tactics that the Democratic Rules Committee used?

    You mean like not counting votes of Florida and Michican?

    You mean like using arbitrary means to annoint a candidate?

    I am angry because my beloved Democratic Party is beginning to use the tactics that I despise in the Repulican Party.   And, I am supposed to support that?

    Parent

    another thing i dont get (none / 0) (#144)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:03:01 AM EST
    The DNC warned Florida and Michigan not to move up their primaries...they did anyway  disregarding the rules..got penalized.... got the penalty reduced.... but its OBAMAS fault and he stole the primary?

    Parent
    to "get it" (5.00 / 3) (#153)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:07:42 AM EST
    I suggest you try reversing the roles.
    Imagine if Hillary had stopped the votes of those two states from counting and won that way.
    then get back to me.

    Parent
    In Florida, the Republicans moved (5.00 / 1) (#176)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:23:04 AM EST
    up the primary.  You may want to do some actual research on topics before you blow in here.

    Parent
    If we have no leverage (5.00 / 4) (#162)
    by Democratic Cat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:15:33 AM EST
    it must be because you don't think there are enough of us to make a difference.  So, begone you goodwill ambassador, your work here is done.

    Parent
    The police state? (5.00 / 10) (#213)
    by Landulph on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 10:25:57 AM EST
    Dude, it was your man who voted for FISA--while that evil, corporatist, crypto-Republican she-devil Hillary Clinton voted aginny. Facts are pesky things . . .

    Parent
    One of the reasons (5.00 / 1) (#91)
    by OldCity on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:23:18 AM EST
    the republicans have been so dominant is because they have an ability to get on message, stay on message and define the opposition.  

    It's no accident that the Democrats lost the congress during the Clinton admnistration and it surely wasn't an accident that Bush won with a Congressional majority.

    All of us can demonize them all we want, but the hallmark of that party is discipline and minimization of intramural disagreements, no matter how significant those disagreements might be.  
    The end result is what matters to the republicans.

    Essentially, Obama is being forced to fight a war on two fronts...he's fighting for the support of his own party, which is ludicrous at this point (he's also having to reassure every single interest group, also laughable), and he's got to deal with the Republican smear machine, who are often co-opting the attacks originated from WITHIN the Democratic party.

    I've heard enough about Democrats who "will never get in line".  My question is, do you want to win?  Obama is the candidate, the other option is McCain.  So, are we going to be sophisticated enough to recognize that governing and preservation of position occasionally requires compromise, or will we sacrifice the Presidency, for God's sake, over inferred "disrespect" or a poorly constructed primary process.  Honestly, for the Republicans, this is a perfect example of their meme that "Democrats can't get things done.".

    At this point, it's too late to even attempt to convince some Democrats that the Clinton era was great, but that many, many voters just weren't part of that era.  Those voters don't have the same connection some do...what they remember are constant Republican attacks and the President forced to defend against allegations of infidelity, etc...for those younger voters, that's the Clinton legacy...bitter, bitter partisanship and subsequent endless moralizing by the right.  Those voters are tired of having to defend Clinton at every turn.  because, they're not having to defend his economic legacy and they're not having to defend his foreign policy, they're having to defend his personal choices.  And they're over it...they want their own guy.  At one time, Clinton was a version of Obama...no presence on the national stage, younger, actually.  And, he had his own people.

    So, the choice we make is clear, do we regroup and coordinate our efforts to beat down the republican smear machine and buttress the Democrat, or do we continue to slog through this internal morass and lose?  

    what you seem to miss (5.00 / 9) (#113)
    by ccpup on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:41:03 AM EST
    in all this is that the Democratic Primary Voters DIDN'T CHOOSE OBAMA!

    He ran up his delegate count in Red State Caucuses throughout February, but, when it came to the Blue State Primaries, he lost every single one (except his Home State of Illinois).

    Millions and millions of Democrats around the Country said in historic numbers "we do NOT want this man as our Nominee!"  They made their choice clear and were ignored -- IGNORED! -- by the "Leaders" of their own Party.

    Who would support a Party and it's Nominee after treatment like that?

    As to Obama fighting two battles, it's not as true or clear-cut as you state.  On the matter of fighting his own Party, they were never behind him in the first place.  And then, after being given a most unDemocratic assist from the DNC to be the Nominee, he turns and stabs us in the back with his FISA vote and assorted acts of flip-flopping.

    We are not Republicans.  We don't fall-in-line like sheep and just pull the lever for the (D).  We demand a bit more of those we vote for and Obama, as we clearly stated throughout March, April, May and June, doesn't measure up.  

    Had the Party listened to us, we would actually have a strong nominee and not a man we need to coddle and protect, buttress and carry to the finish line.

    But they ignored us so now we've decided to respond by ignoring them.  We've scratched their backs long enough.  It's about time they turned around and started scratching ours.

    Parent

    The French Revolution (5.00 / 1) (#211)
    by MKS on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 10:10:00 AM EST
    explains today's Democrats....

    We have Danton, Marat, and Robespierre....all killed by those on the Left, not the Monarchists....Danton not revolutionary enough.   And history now repeats itself.

    The Democrats are so invested in their own petty greivances and jealousies they look foolish and incapable of governing.....

    And so we will get a version of Bonaparte....a military strongman....and have to relegate ourselves to the hope it is a benign version of Bonaparte--although with the saber-rattling over Georgia and the longing for the return of the Cold War, one has to wonder.

    Parent

    Persistently self-centered (none / 0) (#147)
    by OldCity on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:03:26 AM EST
    is how I would characterize that last post.

    You can ingnore the reality of the fact that he's the nominee all you want.  You can denigrate him all you want.  You can demonize the primary process all you want, though I'd wager that you didn't until the rules seemed to be working against your preferred candidate.

    That whole "don't fall in line" stuff is just so much cr@p.  You have a choice between an overwhelmingly conservative man whose views will invariably influence the future of the Supreme court and a man who isn't overwhelmiongly conservative.  You've got a man who articulates the reality of politics, which is compromise in almost every case.

    Instead though, you're willing to blow a chance at a Court that just might represent your rights better (especially your privacy rights, which seem to be rather a concern) than a court almost assured to take real steps to further limit those rights, all because we had an untidy election.

    That's why we Democrats are so roundly abused bu the right; because so many have no sense of opportunity cost.  I don't deserve a McCain victory, just because Hillary lost and Obama made some decisions to vote in particular ways.  I'm not going to feel any sense of vindication that your message was sent when the Supreme Court restricts my right to privacy or my daughter's right to choice.

    Your so focused on your own disappointments that you won't even acknowledge that what you seem to want has long range ramifications, and bad ones.  You will be to blame.  Don't fall into that, "he won't lose because of us, stuff".  The more you contribute towards party dissension, the more you feed into republican talking points, to wit, "the democrats are so concerned with pettinessthat they can't be trusted to govern, let alone show any capability to govern", the greater McCain's chances.

    It will be you and your ilk who are to blame.  The fact that you're already pleading the victim in defense of your activities, "Oh, they're going to blame us..", is indicative of the fact that you KNOW what's going to happen and you know you will have some responsibility.  If you're so sure that you're right, than stand up and acknowledge the probable repercussions of your actions.  Don't foist them on others, and don't expect to be thanked.    

    Parent

    ugh (5.00 / 5) (#155)
    by ccpup on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:09:12 AM EST
    another "if he loses, it won't be his fault" Post.

    Does Obama ever take responsibility for anything ... ever?

    Oh, and he was ready to vote FOR Roberts until it was explained to him it could hurt his chances at the Nomination.  And an Obama Presidency could possibly (probably?) lead to a USSC Justice Cass Sunstein ... which would NOT be a good thing.

    But keep pushing that Unity.  

    Parent

    It's refreshing to see (1.00 / 1) (#196)
    by OldCity on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:40:41 AM EST
    assumpions confirmed.  Obama isn't saying anything, I am.

    I'm saying that the math works in Mccain's favor if Democrats don't get behind the candidate.  You totally blew off my offer for you to take a little responsibility yourself.

    I mean, what is it you want?  On what planet do you live, that all of your desires will be fulfilled?  The simple fact is that you have one choice...it's a zero sum game.  Somehow, you keep deflecting, deflecting, deflecting, but never manage to acknowledge the reality before you.  

    Sometimes, you make the best choice available, because the alternative is worse.  that's what adults do.  Our system is based on compromises...we'll never get it all, we're not supposed to...read a few of the federalist papers and educate yourself on the perceived consequences of one party dominance and a unitary system.

    The simple questions is, are you willing to have a role in the election of John McCain?  It's simple, you will if you don't vote against him.  Don't give me the third party cr@p, either...we have a two party system, everything else is marginal.  

    So, don't deflect, say straight out that you want a McCain presidency.  Say you're willing to affect the lives of a younger generation because you couldn't get what you wanted.  

    The unwritten assumption is that somehow younger people aren't entitled to have their own prefereneces or that their analysis isn't valid.  Well, mine is dispassionate and based in reality.  You have some unfocused opinion that simply doesn't acknowledge the consequences of what you want.

    Write it.  In big letters.  

    But you simply won't

    Parent

    I am willing to have John McCain (5.00 / 1) (#207)
    by sleepwalker on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:53:37 AM EST
    as president. OK? I won't work for him, send him money, or vote for him, but it's OK with me if he wins.

    Parent
    Um (5.00 / 10) (#193)
    by Ga6thDem on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:40:16 AM EST
    your previous post was typical of the Obama campaign and the Obama supporters. It's nothing more than a temper tantrum declaring that "we want our nominee or else!". It's been going on for months now and people are tired of it.

    Obama is going to have to take responsibility for these problems. He's going to have to quit blaming racism, the voters, the Clintons, his staff or whoever else he can come up with to pass the buck. He's going to have to get off his duff and do some work. He can't expect anyone else to do what he needs to do himself.

    Parent

    You are right - (5.00 / 3) (#124)
    by Xanthe on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:50:32 AM EST
    the generational shift is as important as anything going on in this election.  And you are right:  Democrats are antiauthority at heart and don't "stay on message."

    Last night I was at a city meeting concerning partisan-nonpartisan ballots - The Democrats in the audience did not walk away from their party, warts and all.  And we wanted more time to consider it - at some point someone from the ruling party said something about stupidity because we didn't agree with him and the several townships in the area that have gone this way.  The room erupted in mayhem -

    That is the attitude I get from many supporters of Sen. Obama -  I'm not smart enough to understand what he is bringing to the table. To me anyway, his campaign is reaching out to others than the old guard Dems - ironically helped by Sen. Kennedy.  As though we're damaged goods, old goods and forgive me he conveys this to his followers.  That is how he plans to win the hearts of independents and people who think people like me are yesterday's coffee grinds - doesn't make for enthusiastic voters.  I see him bringing the nonpartisan ballot - I don't like it. I will continue to offer whatever I can locally - but am beginning to think I should just worry about my family and my ever shrinking retirement funds period.

    I had a thorough eye examination the other day at a good opthamologist's office - it was more than reasonable - the expense.  Medicare covered it.  Now Medicare is not free - and the supplemental I carry is getting more expensive every day - but I could not have gone to this clinic had I not had Medicare.  Medicare is the result of partisanship - sorry guys that's the way it works - and then at some point coming together.  But first - take a bloody stand.  the other side will roll over wusses.

    Having said that:  an aside - I did think Michelle looked lovely last night - I only watched the highlights but she would make me proud in the White House as a first lady - even if I'd have preferred Bill as the first hubby.

    Parent

    Unfortunately, generational war has not proven (5.00 / 5) (#128)
    by esmense on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:51:27 AM EST
    a successful strategy for Democrats. They tried it in '72 and it was a disaster.

    I suggest younger voters inform themselves about the context in which Bill Clinton took office. Come to understand the mess Reagan/Bush left behind and the dire economic straits many voters found themselves in as a result. It may help you understand why it was "the economy, stupid" then and is "the economy, stupid" today.

    The culture wars aren't going away. They arise out of deep divisions and differences -- regional, economic, religious, etc. -- that have persisted in our political culture since the beginning. Read some political history, you will see that many of the same social conflicts arise again and again and again -- in new forms -- and that every generation must find their own way to deal with them. Pushing the baby boomer generation off the political stage is not going to end those divisions or save your generation from the frustration, hardwork and bitter conflict that surround those issues.

    Parent

    You believe that Obama is "fighting... (5.00 / 5) (#135)
    by lucky leftie on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:56:21 AM EST
    ...for the support of his own party?" I only wish that was true.  The only candidate who is "fighting" (half-heartedly, at least)for unconvinced democrats is McCain.  

    And as for the people who "want their own guy" in charge, here's the problem: 48% of the primary voters wanted THIER candidate at the top of the ticket.  Obama won by political manuevering, not by building a majority.   It is now HIS job to win over those voters, no one else's.

       

    Parent

    Sadly, (5.00 / 4) (#101)
    by sleepwalker on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:30:17 AM EST
    there will be no unity this time around. Obama will be the first black man to become the nominee of a major political party. He will lose, but that's OK. His historic candidacy will open the door for more black men to run in the future. His bravery and grace under fire will have made the path easier for the next black candidate. We should all be grateful to Senator Obama for opening this door. My sons will benefit from everything he has done, and I thank him.

    [smirk] (5.00 / 1) (#183)
    by Fabian on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:30:00 AM EST
    You forgot to include the part about the "glass ceiling".

    Parent
    You know (5.00 / 7) (#106)
    by Steve M on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:33:42 AM EST
    I am most annoyed with the people whose stated reason for supporting Obama was that Hillary would give us only a narrow win at best, while Obama would be a map-changer, win a mandate, yadda yadda.

    Now that the polls are close you can't even find these people.  Instead, it's all like "duh, presidential elections are always close."  Argh!

    I can forgive a lot if Obama actually wins in November.  If he doesn't, grrrrr.

    always getting it right BTD (5.00 / 4) (#127)
    by Bornagaindem on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:51:23 AM EST
    Obama barely won the democratic primary what in the world made anyone think he was a strong candidate. And then he didn't choose the one person whom he needed to unite the party (thank god I say). Good judgement? Not that I have ever seen. He is blowing any chance that he had to get new supporters because of gaffs like "answering that question is above my pay grade". The DNC are idiots and have always hated the Clintons. Their stupidity and obamacrats have lost us this election.Please call me when we stop being Obamacrats and become democrats again.

    On behalf of others of us (5.00 / 14) (#131)
    by Cream City on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:53:18 AM EST
    who will not vote for McCain but are still undecided:

    Thanks.  On this day when I annually celebrate the great women (and hardly any good men) who fought for my right to vote, you and the other a**es here with such messages reinforce my voting . . . downticket.

    That's where I see real Dems.  Oh, and they're coming to my door and asking me what they can do for me.  Repeat: asking me what they can do for me.

    And then they're asking me for my vote.

    You could learn from that.  But you won't.

    Btw, one came to the door just yesterday.  A millionaire whose uncle is the richest man in the Senate.  And the nephew wants to start his own political career, so he shows me he needs me.  And even his uncle asks me what he can do for me and asks me for my vote.  Every time.

    That's how it's done by those without a sense of entitlement, at least not entitlement to my vote.

    Thank you, Susan B. and Elizabeth C.S.  I just love it that I've got what they want -- and that even the millionnaires know they can't buy me but have to ask.  Nicely.



    you're awesome (5.00 / 3) (#148)
    by ccpup on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:04:09 AM EST
    just ... awesome.

    :-)

    Parent

    Lake's take (5.00 / 3) (#140)
    by wasabi on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:59:46 AM EST
    I agree that the actual members of the PUMA coalition is probably rather small in number.

    However the disaffected Dems, those who objected to being called racist, those concerned with the limited experience of Obama and those who felt that Clinton was unfairly marginalized by his campaign and the media are a whole nother section of the electorate.  If you take those out of the "dead-ender count", then yes you shouldn't have to worry about a thing.  

    But what is the strategy to win over those disaffected voters?  A voter registration drive?  I think not.


    I'm a Democrat. (5.00 / 1) (#141)
    by ccpup on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:59:49 AM EST
    But I'm not a sheep.  

    What's your point?

    Hillary joined the Obama team in (5.00 / 3) (#172)
    by sleepwalker on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:20:20 AM EST
    June and has been yelling "All aboard" since then. Anyone who is planning on getting on board is already there.

    Republican troll? (5.00 / 2) (#201)
    by wasabi on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:45:43 AM EST
    I've voted in the last 11 Presidential elections, and NEVER once for a Republican.  Won't even consider it.

    Rather presumptuous of you to assume I'm a Republican, no?

    Eugene Robinson (5.00 / 3) (#205)
    by Bluesage on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:51:14 AM EST
    Lost all credibility when he moved into the MSNBC's kennel and became Olberman's little lap dog.  That whole network is nothing more than a sick joke now. Eugene Robinson pulls his opinions straight out of Olberman's rear.  When Obama loses this race much of the blame will have to be put on the media that carried him and on Obama himself for thinking he would just ride in on that cloud of adulation from his fans.  I can't call them supporters because I think most know nothing about politics or history.

    Mr. Robinson's neighborhood (5.00 / 2) (#215)
    by Desired User Name on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 11:11:20 AM EST
    Eugene Robinson is hardly the Bertrand Russell of politics. I'm just glad he's no longer slinging around anymore of that race baiting rhubarb about The Bradley Effect!

    The Obama Camps 100% DISS of the Clintons is biting them in the left butt cheek and may very well attack the flabby flesh of the right side too if they don't get themselves together...ridiculous.

    I sure miss my prosperous life under Bill Clinton and I'll never forget those years, because they truly were some of the best (for me). He surely wasn't the best prez in the history of prez but he was the best in MY LIFETIME.

    Pffffffft on Robinson. I have petitioned MSNBC and requested that every time Eugene talks, instead of his voice, I want to hear the Adults from The Peanuts Cartoon. I haven't heard back yet...

    Well, (2.00 / 1) (#12)
    by bocajeff on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:08:59 AM EST
    The Dems have spent the past 6 months or so perfected the art of fighting amongst themselves instead of taking on the enemy. At the end of the day it's the Obama AND Clinton campaigns that have done this. This is kind of why the Obama campaign wanted Clinton out earlier and kinder - to take away this acrimony.

    BTW, President Clinton won in 92 and 96 with a little help from a very strong 3rd party candidate who was actually leading in the polls before, well, he went a bit off the rail...

    Sorry (5.00 / 11) (#27)
    by Ga6thDem on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:16:57 AM EST
    but that "get out" stuff only made things worse. Obama has been the presumptive nominee for almost 3 months now and has done nothing to unite the party. It's his responsiblity no one else's.

    Parent
    It would have given (5.00 / 9) (#34)
    by Fabian on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:20:53 AM EST
    Obama two more months to kick back, relax and take vacations!

    That argument would be a lot more persuasive if Obama had been out stumping for votes nonstop.

    Parent

    Exactly. (5.00 / 7) (#37)
    by Ga6thDem on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:24:30 AM EST
    He hasn't used the time he was given so who's to say that he would have used 2 extra months.

    For some reason, his campaign has always thought they would coast to Nov.

    Parent

    force Clinton out? (5.00 / 17) (#33)
    by souvarine on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:20:13 AM EST
    You have no idea how deeply that would have entrenched the bitterness you see now. If Obama had succeeded in forcing Clinton out while she was winning he would have had no opportunity to reconcile with Democrats who voted for her. No matter how graciously she withdrew, given the atmosphere of the primary, people who voted for her would have seen it as a betrayal by the party and by Obama himself.

    People keep making the mistake of thinking this is about Clinton, she is just a representative of the people who voted for her. This is about the voters.

    Parent

    The same lie (5.00 / 8) (#47)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:33:07 AM EST
    gets peddled every time this is discussed. Perot did NOT help Clinton.

    Both the polling at the time of Perot's reentry and the exit polling of Perot voters proves this conclusively.

    Parent

    Regardless Obama has no Perot (5.00 / 1) (#56)
    by inclusiveheart on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:46:21 AM EST
    to count on to pull away from the GOP and he does have Nader who can take some of his votes - as well as of course McCain who was always going to be the only Republican that could possibly pull from the Democrats in a year when the GOP ticket should be polling in the low 40s or even the 30s.  It is just not good where we are today.  Pretending like it will be okay and talking about a secret society of youthful cell phone users who no one seems to be able to find while voters we can find are migrating over to McCain's side is kind of delusional imo.

    Parent
    The Obama campaign (5.00 / 5) (#63)
    by Ga6thDem on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:57:51 AM EST
    apparently believes in magical voters. Those voters who don't show up in any poll but will magically show up in Nov. to vote for Obama.

    Obama's campaign is beginning to sound more and more like Howard Dean's primary campaign in 2004.

    Parent

    They are reminding me more of (none / 0) (#72)
    by inclusiveheart on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:06:47 AM EST
    Kerry's campaign.  I had friends how did not GOTV for Kerry because they assumed he would win - that was the Kerry camp's spin they were listening to.  Politocos are often afraid to say they are behind or that a race is close - the smart ones tell their supporters to take nothing for granted - those are the pols who win.

    The Democrats have been cursed with the notion that there is no way they can lose, but they can.  Recent history shows that we are pretty good at it in fact.

    Parent

    Excuse me (5.00 / 2) (#73)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:07:50 AM EST
    a Perot would not help him, just as it did not help Clinton.

    Please stop buying the BS.

    Parent

    I was making the point that (none / 0) (#111)
    by inclusiveheart on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:40:09 AM EST
    it makes no sense to bring up Perot not only because he didn't do what many people think he did in 92 for Clinton, but also because there is no strong challenger on a third-party ticket in this 2008 race.  

    Parent
    But remember-- (none / 0) (#212)
    by Landulph on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 10:20:11 AM EST
    Bob Barr's gonna take away McCain's votes! hyena laughter

    Parent
    There's blame for all (5.00 / 2) (#52)
    by mmc9431 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:39:22 AM EST
    I don't think it's fair to place the blame on either Obama or Clinton for this mess. It's been a joint effort at worst. Dem's have has two yrs to show America what they could do. They were so busy trying to play nice that the Republican's managed to make fools of them at every turn. (So much for phoney junk about working together and unity! Everyone including the Blue Dogs want unity as long as it's their way.)

    I would put the bulk of the blame on the DNC and Howard Dean for complete incompetence. The rest can go to the idiots that allowed them to do it.

    Parent

    What would Obama have done in those months (5.00 / 9) (#80)
    by esmense on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:12:33 AM EST
    that would have made a difference? Could he have suddenly provided himself with a resume that included a history of successful, popular legislation that had made an impact on people's lives? Changed the fact that he had little more than a year of national political experience, and absolutely no executive experience, before deciding to run for president? Provided himself with a political history of commitment to, struggle and both political and personal sacrifice for and important causes or values? Commitment, struggle, a work history that would give people a clear idea of where his passions lie, what ideology he is committed to, what expertise he has, what his most important priorities are? Health care? Civil rights? Civil liberties? Worker's rights? Poverty reduction? Election reform?  Deficit reduction? Tax reform? Military reform? Reducing government spending and taxes? Reforming "entitlements?" etc. Where has he stood out and/or led on any issue, done significant work, earned a national reputation?

    Yes, he has "positions" on these kind of issues, for and against. But he doesn't have experience or documented success he can use to back up his positions or show how effective he might be at prevailing on those issues and at governing.

    And that is the fatal flaw of his candidacy.

    The campaign will spend a lot of time trying to let people know "who Obama is" personally -- emphasizing his family, his family "roots" in the Midwest, his "single mother," his hardworking, middle class grandparents, etc., etc. But they won't be able to do what they most need to do -- demonstrate who Obama is and will be as a potential leader. The only answer they have to voters questions about his competence and ability to do what he says he wants to do is this; have faith.

    That is enough of an answer for a certain kind of voter -- but, as Obama's stalling support -- first in the primary and now in the general appears to indicate -- it may not be enough for enough voters.

    Parent

    Obama could have recognized... (5.00 / 8) (#199)
    by EL seattle on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:45:40 AM EST
    ... that many (most?) of Clinton's supporters are as passionate about her policy stands as they are about her "personality" or "character".

    Obama could have said back in June (for instance): "I've received more votes, but it's clear that several million voters prefer... a different health care plan than what I've proposed, so perhaps it would be wise to revist both good plans and forge the best plan we can, with a strategy for getting it passed by 2010."  I don't think that this would have been seen as a sign of weakness, but a sign of the pragmatic sort of "reaching across the aisles" new politcal approach that the Obama team talks about sometimes.

    Treating Clinton's supporters like marbles in a schoolyard game does not recognize the fact that voters, unlike marbles, don't go home in the winner's pocket unless they want to.

    Parent

    the Perot Factor? (none / 0) (#18)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:11:44 AM EST
    People forget about the Perot factor.

    Parent
    More ignorance (5.00 / 13) (#51)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:37:53 AM EST
    Tell me what you know about the Perot factor?

    Do you know, for example, that prior to Perot's reentry, Clinton held a double digit lead over Bush 41, and Perot cut into Clinton's lead?

    Do you know, for example, that exit polling of Perot  voters demonstrated that Perot had no effect on the margin or the outcome of the election?

    There is an unbreakable habit among Obama supporters to try ad denigrate Bill Clinton's achievements. It is one of the reasons why Obama is having trouble with Clinton supporters.

    Parent

    clinton (5.00 / 3) (#97)
    by Jlvngstn on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:28:04 AM EST
    was leading by double digits when Perot re-entered the race.  Clinton was behind through a very difficult nomination process and in fact Perot was leading before he dropped out.  Perot HELPED Bush and took votes from Clinton.  Without Ross Perot, Bill Clinton would have won in a landslide.  James Carville started the incredible run with "it's the economy stupid" and they never looked back after that.  Barack and co (although they completely surprised me in the primary) could learn a bit from history if they can deflate those egos a bit and listen.  Hell, I could be wrong and they could win in a landslide and have magic plan that has yet to be unveiled. If that is the case, it is time to let the rabbit out of the hat, the clock is ticking.

    Parent
    who was the 3rd party candidate in '96? (none / 0) (#60)
    by Josey on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:52:50 AM EST
    All I remember of '96 was Bob Dole fell off a stage and Dick Morris sucked some toes.


    Parent
    Don't sugarcoat '92 - it was a 3 man race. (1.00 / 1) (#48)
    by Casey from MA on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:33:56 AM EST
    Nominee     Bill Clinton (D)     George H. W. Bush(R)     Ross Perot(I)
    Electoral vote     370                 168                             0
    States carried     32+DC             18                              0
    Popular vote     44,909,806     39,104,550                   19,743,821
    Percentage       43.0%              37.4%                        18.8%

    More ignorance (5.00 / 13) (#53)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:39:31 AM EST
    on the Perot Factor. Obama supporters seemingly can not help themselves.

    Parent
    You've already mentioned polling data (none / 0) (#54)
    by Casey from MA on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:44:06 AM EST
    to refute a Perot influence in '92.  

    Please provide it.  Thank you.  

    Parent

    Look it up (5.00 / 3) (#71)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:06:37 AM EST
    Casey, how old were you in that year? (5.00 / 1) (#81)
    by rooge04 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:15:08 AM EST
    Because some Obama supporters now try to say basically: Clinton would have probably lost in 1992. AND 96.  Get a clue.  

    Parent
    What does my age have to do with anything? (none / 0) (#198)
    by Casey from MA on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:44:39 AM EST
    More importantly, since BTD brought up the '92 election it's fair to ask him to bring out the data.  I asked him politely to substantiate his claim that 18 mil Perot voters didn't matter.  

    However, this is a different election.  This election is about voting in a Republican who will continue the Bush policies, as opposed to voting in a Democrat who won't.

    Parent

    Debates? (none / 0) (#13)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:09:37 AM EST
    i never knew a presidential race to be over and decided before the debates?

    this is new to me.

    Yep (5.00 / 1) (#25)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:15:38 AM EST
    Debates decided the race in 1984, 1992, 1996, 2000, 2004.

    Yep, you are right. Sheesh.

    Parent

    Yep (5.00 / 1) (#35)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:21:03 AM EST
    I would like to see Obama and McCain go at it on stage  a few times and see how the polls look then before I start saying the sky is falling.  But thats just me.

    Parent
    The sky is falling? (5.00 / 5) (#45)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 07:31:35 AM EST
    You know what? This is just the type of BS that makes discussing politics with Obama supporters so difficult.

    I think Obama is going to win almost no matter what.

    But it should not be this hard.

    For crissakes, Bush is under 30!

    It should be an easy win. Here you are talking about the election being decided in the debates. Believe me, the McCain would be thrilled with that.

    Not because he is a good debater, but because he has a chance. He should NOT have a chance.

    Parent

    Obama;s underperformance with Dems (5.00 / 7) (#104)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:32:41 AM EST
    Specifically Clinton supporters.

    This is not rocket science people.

    Parent

    well (5.00 / 2) (#156)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:10:14 AM EST
    I never thought so but I am beginning to think it must be.

    Parent
    In Red states with Caucuses (5.00 / 1) (#107)
    by wasabi on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:37:33 AM EST
    1996 PEROT factor (none / 0) (#75)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:08:57 AM EST
    United States presidential election, 1996

    Bill Clinton/Al Gore (D) (Inc.) - 47,400,125 (49.2%) and 379 electoral votes (31 states and D.C. carried)

    Bob Dole/Jack Kemp (R) - 39,198,755 (40.7%) and 159 electoral votes (19 states carried)

    Ross Perot/Pat Choate (Ref.) - 8,085,402 (8.8%) and 0 electoral votes

    You are really honestly going to pick (5.00 / 6) (#83)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:16:03 AM EST
    a fight with BTD about poll numbers and a past election?  Polls bore me and the whole crosstabs thing, I didn't even know what that was until I started reading here.  It is only an opinion and it is mine but I would never argue polls with a man who had a poll fetish.

    Parent
    Yep (5.00 / 4) (#93)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:23:31 AM EST
    Bill Clinton would have won by 15 if it were not for Perot. (I am snarking, The Perot vote would have split down the middle, as exit polls showed. Clinton would have won 55-45.)

    Why people insist on showing off their ignorance is incredible to me.

    Parent

    Why do people insist on showing off ... (5.00 / 3) (#137)
    by Robot Porter on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:57:28 AM EST
    their ignorance?

    It's a form of exhibitionism, I believe.

    ;)

    Parent

    LOL. Yes that's the way to Unity. (none / 0) (#84)
    by rooge04 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:16:15 AM EST


    Celinda Lake (none / 0) (#94)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:24:47 AM EST
    said that? Personally, I must believe she is lying for Dem Unity purposes if she said that. She could not be that stupid.

    Sorry (none / 0) (#136)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:56:32 AM EST
    Her most recent poll (which does not involve Kelly Ann Conway, but rather Tarrant, a GOP polling firm (Conway is not a pollster as far as I know) has McCain up 1.

    If that is not the result of Obama underperforming with Dems, then HE is screwed and is gonna lose the election.

    Parent

    Foolish (none / 0) (#99)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:29:29 AM EST


    Obama supporter have done more (5.00 / 6) (#114)
    by Aqua Blue on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:42:18 AM EST
    to lose my vote than the candidate has.

    The scapegoating of Hillary and the demonizing of Hillary (especially of one of the prominent blog sites)  made me turn against a cadidate that I liked in the beginning of this process.

    I am sick of being accused of racism if I don't support an African American candidate.  My viewpoint is that reverse racism is prominent.

    My point is that Obama supporters are Obama's worst enemy.   And, Obama does nothing to curtail it.

    Parent

    Obama does nothing to curtail it (5.00 / 6) (#149)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:05:20 AM EST
    quite the opposite in fact.
    at every opportunity.

    Parent
    I think Obama will win (none / 0) (#102)
    by Edgar08 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:30:31 AM EST
    Everything else I have to say about Obama is off topic.  Except to say I've fully accepted the idea that one should be happy to have had at least one president during their lifetime they could be proud of.

    This will not be an election about ideas nor will it be an election about solutions, it will be an election about personalities, and Obama, the democrat for once, will win.


    FYI (none / 0) (#110)
    by Slado on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:39:26 AM EST
    Bush won the 2000 electoral college and that is how we elect presidents according to the founding fathers and our constitution.

    Gore won the popular vote and that gets you a hill of beans.

    Do I sense bitterness and fear (none / 0) (#116)
    by Marvin42 on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:44:12 AM EST
    Finally starting to realize your candidate MAY actually need the 25% of the party he alienated and that he may actually lose?

    Interesting reaction.

    Perot helped Bush ...... (none / 0) (#119)
    by Kefa on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:45:40 AM EST
    not Clinton and the Dems this Election should be a slam dunk. I worry this race is too close. We should be at least 10 points up. This is gonna be a dog fight and I fear with the non-Clinton pick we are gonna blow it.

    Perot helped Bush? (none / 0) (#138)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:57:40 AM EST
    um, no.  Clinton was elected twice because of Perot.
    and as far as Slam Dunk, with the recent history of that term and its usage I would avoid it even if I believed it.  which I certainly do not.
    but I agree that not choosing Hillary was the turning point.
    this election is lost.  time to start thinking about the next one.


    Parent
    speaking of being happy (none / 0) (#142)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 08:59:57 AM EST
    I hate Drudge but the pic and headline got a chuckle out of me.

    Does anyone know ... (none / 0) (#146)
    by Robot Porter on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:03:20 AM EST
    if this Biden video is really Biden?  I can't really tell.

    I don't think it's a big deal either way.  I actually find it rather endearing.

    color anti-bounce (none / 0) (#150)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:05:27 AM EST
    I still think the color  anti-bounce is in full effect.

    my theory is  Baracks color  in a GE  is a 10% disadvantage.

    I think Hillary would have has a similar gender anti-bounce

    Larry King was touching on that last night...ofcourse the repubs wont admit to it

    but the color anti-bounce is locked in

    Color anti-bounce (none / 0) (#152)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:07:36 AM EST
    i think the color anti-bounce worth 10 to 12 pts in a GE.

    spot mccain a 10pt lead  due to that  and u have it a dead heat in the polls

    this is funny (5.00 / 2) (#154)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:08:57 AM EST
    and sad

    Parent
    it makes a lot more sense (5.00 / 4) (#163)
    by ccpup on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:15:44 AM EST
    if your core belief is that he's not to blame for anything.

    It's our fault or the color of his skin or the Media or Hillary and Bill (who allegedly have no leverage, but ... there you go) or the way the Polls are structured or the fact that the sun was too bright that day or the clouds were too dark or ...

    The list goes on and on and on.

    But he is never, EVER to blame.  Ever.

    Got it?

    :-)

    Parent

    it is sad (none / 0) (#157)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:11:09 AM EST
    you think the color anti-bounce  doesnt exist?

    or you think a 10pt  drag  due to it is a little high.

    Parent

    if you are talking about what is (5.00 / 2) (#166)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:17:04 AM EST
    commonly called the "Bradley Effect", it exists.
    I would say 10 points at least.
    the funny part is that you say mixing it into current poll numbers would make it a dead even race.
    um, no.
    if you mix it in McCain is 8-10 points ahead.


    Parent
    What is the color anti-bounce? (none / 0) (#159)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:12:29 AM EST
    I have to know what it is before I can ask myself if I think it exists.

    Parent
    Okay, I read about it above (5.00 / 3) (#168)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:18:47 AM EST
    No, within the Democratic base I do not think that a 10 pt color our gender drag exists.  After that, the rest of the votes out there have to be earned and whether or not you have more melanin or a vagina will not decide who the people vote for when they need healthcare and jobs.  They will vote for who gives them what they need and makes it clear and concise what they are offering.  

    Parent
    in the GE (none / 0) (#177)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:23:20 AM EST
    in the general election is where the color anti-bounce will show its head ...  it will keep obama poll numbers lower than they should be up until the election.

    i think some DEMS/indies will go repub based on this ...and a portion of repubs who would have crossed over to the DEMS  for president  will stay RED as well based on it.

    Parent

    Sorry, I just don't consider Larry King (5.00 / 2) (#179)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:25:47 AM EST
    to be the voice of reason and understanding.  He's a talk show host who searches out topics that are provocative in an attempt to get people to listen to his program.

    Parent
    You appear not to understand your own argument (5.00 / 7) (#181)
    by Democratic Cat on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:28:10 AM EST
    If there is a "color anti-bounce" the effect would be that Sen. Obama's poll numbers exceed what he will get at the ballot box in November, not that his poll numbers will be artifically low until the election. If there is such an effect Sen. Obama is in a heap of trouble.

    Parent
    thank you (none / 0) (#185)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:30:03 AM EST
    and there WILL be (none / 0) (#186)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:31:04 AM EST
    such an effect.
    I never heard it called that before.  catchy.

    Parent
    Why are you here trashing up the threads (5.00 / 2) (#158)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:11:15 AM EST
    Do you really believe this?  Are you a Republican?

    Parent
    i am a firm believer (none / 0) (#169)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:19:09 AM EST
    i am a firm believer in the color anti-bounce.  

    Larry King has spoken on it several times.

    I don't think its an excuse...just has to be overcome.

    I have heard friend parents threaten dis-inheritance if they vote Obama.  It exists.

    Parent

    dis-inheritance (5.00 / 2) (#175)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:21:55 AM EST
    oooooh
    I guess he has the trust fund vote.
    but we knew that.

    Parent
    Larry King huh? (none / 0) (#174)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:20:51 AM EST
    LK is one of the few not scared to talk about it (none / 0) (#184)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:30:03 AM EST
    Why would Larry King be afraid to (none / 0) (#188)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:32:57 AM EST
    "talk" about something so emotionally charged and loaded as the possible affect of racism on an election?  He's a talkshow host.

    Parent
    "ground game and enthusiasm" (none / 0) (#171)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:19:32 AM EST
    oh man.
    sorry BTD.  I cant help taking some glee from this.


    if the color anti-bounce seems odd to u (none / 0) (#182)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:29:11 AM EST
    if the color anti-bounce seems odd to  you its probally because your generally do not care about race  and you sure dont let color  be your over-riding decision for who you vote for.

    however sadly  for alot of people  color is all that matters.

    When u see someone so staunchly against OBAMA no matter what he says or does... you may be seeing the CAB    ( color anti - bounce) in some cases

    you may be seeing the CAB (5.00 / 2) (#189)
    by Capt Howdy on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:33:33 AM EST
    or then again it could be as simple as they do not think he is ready or qualified to be president.
    I doubt very much if you are in forums with people who wont vote for him for the reasons you site.


    Parent
    in a perfect world (none / 0) (#202)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:48:40 AM EST
    Hillary would have won the primary
    picked OBAMA as VP

    crushed McCain

    won again in 2012

    Obama runs for Prez  at 55   with 8 years of VP experience under his belt  and keep it going 2016 - 2024

    I think most people thought how it would work out...but Obama time seems to be now.

    Parent

    What's the difference? (5.00 / 9) (#195)
    by Steve M on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:40:38 AM EST
    A vote against Obama because of racism is a vote against Obama, plain and simple.  It's not like we get to cancel out those votes because we think racism is an illegitimate reason.

    Saying "Obama would be farther ahead except for the race issue" is meaningless.  He is who he is, and I'm pretty sure we knew that going in.  Most of us are not looking for a moral victory here.

    Parent

    QUESTION (none / 0) (#206)
    by MrPope on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 09:53:08 AM EST
    If Bill Clinton was a "black" governor of Arkansas in 1992 running for President....everything else identical...nothing different other than skin tone.

    would he have won the Presidency?

    I've been wondering (none / 0) (#214)
    by OldCity on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 10:46:16 AM EST
    at what point do we start treating this election and propspective changes to the DNC and primary process as discrete issues?

    I think it's the thing that frustrates me the most when I read the HRC posters.  

    Simply put, the rules didn't go in her favor.  But, then again, neither did her early strategy.  Or her campaign organization and her management of that campaign...she's not innoculated from guilt as the CEO of that organization.

    If the primary illustrated one thing, aside from the refusal of many to admit that there were a whole host of complaints that either candidate could have made, and that either candidate would have been justified in making, it's that the primary process, as currently designed, is bad.  But in every contest, we play according to the rules in place at the time, and we submit to the referreeing we're given.  If we find defects, we fix them, but not retrospectively.  

    Losing this race to prove a known quantity...that there were problems with the primary...seems to be an act of self- immolation.  Since we all know were those problems are, we can fix them.  (Let's face it...many women are inclined to feel that sexism played a role, young people who supported Obama feel that their choice was derided by out of touch oldsters, etc.  Those will just never be reconciled because they're unquantifiable.  Deal with the feelings, people, because you sure, and I know I haven't, convinced either side that one offense is greater.)

    The election is taking place now.  As a lifelong Democrat, I'm sick to death of being characterized by the right as a member of a group that can't be trusted to govern (we did lose the Congress during the Clnton years).  Sick of it.  And, the Democrats have a mandate.  So why, what's the impetus to fsck it up now?  Why not win?  Why not fix the intraparty problems without sacrificing the election?

    To me, it's really that simple.  I just can't be pursuaded that Obama is the "same as McCain" or that "he's just a politician".  They're ALL politicians, McCain, Obama, Hillary.  They've all made choices with which we disagree.  However, I know that I disagree less with Obama than with McCain.  I know that McCain represents a governmental philosophy that is antithetical to mine.  And I know that a McCain presidency will have long range effects on my life, and not effect that I want to experience.  

    So many HRC supporters characterize thempselves as "committed Democrats", yet indicate that they are for McCain.  It's unbelievable to me.  Anyone can cherry pick positions or votes to validate their views, but I prefer a macro analysis.  Obama just isn't a "Republican in disguise".  His overreaching orientation is a traditional liberal one.  Personal dislike of the man should not blind anyone to that fact, especially when it's so easily juxtaposed against the orientation of a man who voted with Bush 95% of the time.

    So, my feeling is that we should do things sequentially...get the Democrat elected and the fix the party.  It's a hell of lot better than to lose the election and then spend eight years engaged in recriminations.      

    old city, i find it unbelieveable (none / 0) (#216)
    by hellothere on Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 12:14:04 PM EST
    that the democratic party of fdr, kennedy, truman is behaving the way they are shooting themselves in the feet and dissing the most successful democratic president since fdr. give me a break.