home

Romney to Win Nevada Caucuses

By Jeralyn, Section Elections 2012
Posted on Sat Feb 04, 2012 at 05:33:09 PM EST
Tags: Mitt Romney, Nevada (all tags)
Share This: Digg! StumbleUpon del.icio.us reddit reddit

Looks like Newt Gingrich fizzled in Nevada and Mitt Romney will win the state's Republican caucusesby double digits.

Here's the makeup of voters: 4 of 5 are Conservative, 3 out of 4 said they were tea partiers, and 1 of 4 are Mormons.

Where's Romney today? In Colorado Springs, campaigning for Coloradans' votes in the caucuses which will be held Tuesday.

< Friday Night Open Thread | Kim DotCom Petitions NZ Court For Return of Assets >

  • The Online Magazine with Liberal coverage of crime-related political and injustice news

  • Contribute To TalkLeft


    • Display: Sort:
    Romney to Win Nevada Caucuses | 13 comments (13 topical)

    Readers Must Login or Create an Account to Comment

    Still early (5.00 / 1) (#2)
    by CoralGables on Sat Feb 04, 2012 at 11:27:22 PM EST
    but it looks like Romney may get less votes and a lower percentage than 4 years ago, and less voters turning out than they did 4 years ago.

    Yes, RCP's averaged estimate (none / 0) (#6)
    by Towanda on Sun Feb 05, 2012 at 01:09:27 PM EST
    of Romney's predicted win was by 20 pts, plus -- and last I saw, it looks like he came in under 20.

    Parent
    Oops, still too early . . . (none / 0) (#12)
    by Towanda on Sun Feb 05, 2012 at 06:26:21 PM EST
    . . .it turns out to count turnout or just about anything, as Nevada is repeating its chaos for the GOP that it pulled in 2008 for the Dems.

    Caucuses.  Bah.

    Parent

    Looks like (none / 0) (#13)
    by CoralGables on Mon Feb 06, 2012 at 02:46:41 PM EST
    they have finally managed to do something to finalize it. Turnout was down about 25% from 2008, and about 53% below expectations.

    My favorite part is each precinct was given five additional counted votes even with no name attached as having been there. How they chose who would get the five I have no idea. They had more ballots filled out than people attending in over 100 precincts.

    Parent

    Nevada Republican Voters (none / 0) (#1)
    by koshembos on Sat Feb 04, 2012 at 06:50:42 PM EST
    The voter age histogram of Republicans as shown in the linked source shows that most Republican voters are above 45 and many are seniors.

    This may hold for the whole primary population, or just population, of Nevada.

    This has to be cheering to Romney (none / 0) (#3)
    by jimakaPPJ on Sun Feb 05, 2012 at 10:30:47 AM EST
    He was the clear winner among every age group except for those under 30, with all but the lowest-earning voters and across all levels of education.

    It also looks like the Tea Party has swallowed their bile over the 2010 Senate race and fell in with the more mainstream Repubs.

    Of course given the double digit unemployment in NZ Romney may have profited from his business background, even among Tea Partiers who disagree/don't trust him otherwise.

    I'm not sure (none / 0) (#4)
    by CoralGables on Sun Feb 05, 2012 at 11:16:34 AM EST
    there is any good news for the GOP out of Nevada. Few showed to vote.

    The end results could have Romney with 30% fewer votes than 4 years ago and probably no more than 13% of the registered republicans cast a ballot. Looks like the Republicans in Nevada chose to sit on their hands.

    Parent

    I don't (none / 0) (#5)
    by Ga6thDem on Sun Feb 05, 2012 at 12:59:37 PM EST
    think the number that showed up to vote means anything at all. I know a ton of people that believe  it or not never vote in the primary but show up for the general.

    Parent
    Agreed. Nevada will go GOP (none / 0) (#7)
    by Towanda on Sun Feb 05, 2012 at 01:11:03 PM EST
    it seems, based on reading about a lot of ire about local issues there stoking anger against Obama and the abject failure to help homeowners.

    Parent
    Little matter (none / 0) (#9)
    by christinep on Sun Feb 05, 2012 at 04:54:36 PM EST
    Romney's previous, open support of Yucca Mtn, the Nuclear disposal project so disliked br Nevada residents. Also:  As the state with the highest foreclosure dilemma, Romney won't benefit from his remarks about letting the market "bottom out" without any attempt to help...that is a big hurdle for Romney.  Also #2:  Hispanic demographics may make the difference in favor of Democrats...for starters, Romney's outspoken & known opposition to the Dream Act is a big negative.

    While I wouldn't attempt to guess the Nevada Nov results at this point, there are some strong reasons for Dems to be optimistic there.

    Parent

    There are also a whole lot (none / 0) (#11)
    by Zorba on Sun Feb 05, 2012 at 06:15:06 PM EST
    of Mormons in Nevada (7.1% of the population), and I think that most of them will vote for Romney.  However, 26.5% of the population is of Hispanic or Latino origin, so that should way counterbalance the Mormon population.  (Of course, I realize that not all Mormons would vote for Romney, nor would all Hispanics vote for Obama, but still...)  While I'm not entirely optimistic that Nevada would go Dem, I think, given the population stats and some of the reasons you cited, it's not a slam-dunk for Romney (or any other Republican nominee, although I think it will be Romney), either.

    Parent
    You don't think (none / 0) (#8)
    by CoralGables on Sun Feb 05, 2012 at 01:14:06 PM EST
    a 30% drop off in voters from 4 years ago shows a lack of interest in the GOP candidates?

    Parent
    No (none / 0) (#10)
    by Ga6thDem on Sun Feb 05, 2012 at 06:11:53 PM EST
    it means nothing. I used to believe it meant something but it doesn't.

    Parent
    Romney to Win Nevada Caucuses | 13 comments (13 topical)

    Readers Must Login or Create an Account to Comment