Biden 42.5%

Sanders 17.5%

Steyer 12.75%

Buttigieg 9%

Warren 7%

Klobuchar 4%

Some of my models have Biden under 40 or over 50%. And I looked at Steyer coming in second. But I couldn't quite justify those things as my final predictions.

Sanders won by not losing.

I wish she, and people like her, were in positions of power.

Some of what she says, I think is brilliant.
All of it is heartfelt.

Pete Buttigieg was the best debater, always thoughtful, informed and measured. However, it likely does not matter, since the media is wont to erase him.

Michael Bloomberg (he wants us to call him Mike, but I do not feel that I know him that well) did better than last time around, but, likely, reached a debating plateau. Without the distraction of these missing skills, we are left with his positions. It may be to his advantage to revert to
his initial debating skills, freshened by more references to the zinger, "naked cowboy".

Steyer is likeable, sort of like a neighbor. You could borrow a cup of cash, if needed.  Klobucher did not have knives out for Pete this time, focusing on why we can't have nice things.

Elizabeth Warren took after Bloomberg, once again, landing a punch on him and two punches back on her. Not sure why she did not challenge Bernie,who is  more of a primary competitor.  It may be as simple as Bloomberg epitomizes wrongs studied and reported in the body of her life's academic work.

Bloomberg can and will spend his money in the election however he wants.  Sanders has no say in it.  If fact if he did that might be a legal problem

Democrats to Be Briefed on Power of Superdelegates

February 26, 2020 at 1:32 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 139 Comments

"House Democrats will be briefed Thursday by the Democratic National Committee on the power of superdelegates -- who could play a decisive role if the presidential primary enters a contested convention with no clear nominee in July," Politico reports.

"Speaker Nancy Pelosi told her caucus about the upcoming briefing on Wednesday as lawmakers returned to the Capitol for their first gathering after a nearly two-week recess."

FiveThiryEight currently forecasts a 44% chance of a contested convention.

The Bloomberg effect is hard to gauge.  You would think he would take from Biden.  

Democratic Leaders Willing to Risk Stopping Sanders

February 27, 2020 at 7:25 am EST By Taegan Goddard 295 Comments

New York Times: "Dozens of interviews with Democratic establishment leaders this week show that they are not just worried about Mr. Sanders's candidacy, but are also willing to risk intraparty damage to stop his nomination at the national convention in July if they get the chance. Since Mr. Sanders's victory in Nevada's caucuses on Saturday, The Times has interviewed 93 party officials -- all of them superdelegates, who could have a say on the nominee at the convention -- and found overwhelming opposition to handing the Vermont senator the nomination if he arrived with the most delegates but fell short of a majority."

"Such a situation may result in a brokered convention, a messy political battle the likes of which Democrats have not seen since 1952, when the nominee was Adlai Stevenson."

Where I live a significant number of people can be cut off and unable to leave their homes because of low water bridge crossings.   Never lasts more than a few hours but still.

Haven't checked but if it's pouring here it will probably be pouring a lot of places.

Among South Carolina voters who are likely to participate in the Democratic primary on Saturday, support currently stands at 36% for Biden, 16% for Sanders, and 15% for Steyer. Candidates who currently fall below the statewide delegate viability threshold include Elizabeth Warren (8%), Pete Buttigieg (6%), Amy Klobuchar (4%), and Tulsi Gabbard (1%). Another 15% of likely primary voters remain undecided and do not lean toward any candidate at this time. In Monmouth's October poll, 33% supported Biden, 16% Warren, and 12% Sanders. It should be noted that interviews for the current poll were conducted after the Nevada caucuses, wrapping up right before Tuesday night's debate.

Only Sanders Beats Trump In Pennsylvania

February 27, 2020 at 2:05 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 105 Comments

A new Muhlenberg College poll in Pennsylvania shows President Trump and the leading Democrats in a tight race for the state's twenty electoral votes.

Bernie Sanders is the only one who actually leads Trump in a general election match up, 49% to 46%.

However, Trump ties Biden, 47% to 47%, and Warren, 47% to 47%. He holds slim leads over Amy Klobuchar, 45% to 44%, Pete Buttigieg, 46% to 45%, and Mike Bloomberg, 48% to 45%.

The right is calling him a commie, and the left is calling him a hypocrite and worse.

The article cited above from Lancet looks good to me - and Sanders has not backed away from his stance about Medicare for All. I think that is important.

"...[A] universal system, such as that proposed in the Medicare for All Act, has the potential to transform the availability and efficiency of American health-care services. Taking into account both the costs of coverage expansion and the savings that would be achieved through the Medicare for All Act, we calculate that a single-payer, universal health-care system is likely to lead to a 13% savings in national health-care expenditure, equivalent to more than US$450 billion annually (based on the value of the US$ in 2017). The entire system could be funded with less financial outlay than is incurred by employers and households paying for health-care premiums combined with existing government allocations.

This shift to single-payer health care would provide the greatest relief to lower-income households. Furthermore, we estimate that ensuring health-care access for all Americans would save more than 68 000 lives and 1·73 million life-years every year compared with the status quo."

But I wonder, does his GOTV teams have the same level of localized information?